Key Insights on NCAA Football Matchups and Predictions

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00:00I got to ask you about these, you know, you mentioned tomorrow, Clemson SMU, sir.

00:08We already bit that one.

00:10Let's go to the other three, Iowa State and Arizona State in the big 12 championship.

00:18I think they're playing that one in Arlington, right?

00:20And then Georgia and Texas at the bends in Atlanta, and then Penn State and Oregon at

00:27Lucas Oil in Naptown in Indianapolis.

00:30What do you think of those three puppies tomorrow?

00:33I think if anybody, if there's any handicapper out there that is selling, I have the lock

00:38of the century in the Arizona State, Iowa State game run far away because this is sort

00:43of the old coin to flop, you know, flip, isn't it, man?

00:48This is like a lot of these games.

00:49They're all all the point spreads are all pickles, one and a half, two and a half, etc.

00:53But to me, guys, the difference in this football game is going to be special teams and third

00:59down.

01:00And now I'll bust out some X's and O's here on this.

01:03Listen, Arizona State lost their top wide receiver, all right, the guy that they throw

01:07to like 75% of the time on third down is not playing in this game.

01:12So they lose their number one target.

01:15Number one wide receiver, their go to guy.

01:18And to me, that's a big time loss.

01:21All right.

01:23On the other side, the Iowa State Cyclones, bro, they have like the 13th ranked secondary

01:28and pass defense in college football.

01:31They terrorize you like they really do.

01:33Like they're it's almost impossible to throw the ball on these guys.

01:36Now Scatterbowl is a badass back, right?

01:39But they're going to be kind of one dimensional here.

01:42And you know, looking into the numbers here, Scott, as expected, like a team like Iowa

01:46State, they're really good on special teams, right?

01:50They've got a good field goal kicker.

01:51They got a really good punter.

01:53They pin you.

01:54You don't.

01:55They minimize punt returns.

01:56Meanwhile, oh yeah, by the way, they have one of the best punt returners in the game.

02:01There's a differential of 20 yards per special teams play, which I think is going to add

02:08up over the course of the game for Iowa State.

02:12Just the little things.

02:13And hey, Dillingham's done a great job, all right?

02:16And this guy, he's a big motivator, Scott, if I pick ISU right now, he's going to find

02:20this and he's going to find every clip of anyone that ever picked against him and use

02:24it as motivation.

02:25But without being stated, bro, Matt Campbell's a very good coach.

02:29This guy's been around for a while.

02:30He was the youngest coach.

02:31They'd call it football at Toledo.

02:33He went to Iowa State.

02:34He's done a great job here.

02:35First time they've ever won 10 games.

02:37I think Campbell gets to the playoffs.

02:39I think Iowa State's, you know, Beck has been there forever, bro.

02:43Like they're just, they're an experienced football team.

02:46ASU kind of came out of nowhere, right?

02:49Like, oh my God, they're a three and nine football team.

02:52I just think, I like, I just think ISU can systematically make this, you know, the little

02:57plays here, the punt here, the missed field goal or whatever there, punt return, good

03:01field position.

03:03I think it'll add up.

03:04Iowa State wins a close game in my opinion.

03:06What about Georgia, Texas?

03:09This one, well, listen, we got a rematch, 30-15 from the last time they played.

03:14You know, let's remember in that football game, Quinn Ewers had just come back from

03:18injury.

03:19A lot of people thought they should have just left Manning in there.

03:21So that was Ewers' first game back.

03:23Was he good?

03:24No.

03:25Georgia's defense was really balling at that time of the year and their offense was kind

03:28of struggling.

03:29Now, like it's kind of reversed a little bit.

03:32People are moving the ball on Georgia now, but suddenly Beck isn't turning the ball over

03:36as much.

03:37But the big key to this football game, guys, the Texas Longhorns are ranked six in the

03:43country in first half scoring, all right?

03:48They score 21 points, 21.6 points per game in the first half.

03:53The Georgia Bulldogs, and in the first quarter, Texas averaged like seven and a half points

03:59a game in the first quarter.

04:01So overall, they score early, Texas.

04:04That's what they like to do.

04:05They like to score early, rely on their defense, run the ball, you know, dink and dunk passing.

04:10But Georgia are very slow starters, guys.

04:13Look at all these Georgia Bulldog games this year, right?

04:16I mean, hell, even the Clemson game in week one was like six nothing at the half or whatever,

04:20right?

04:21It was, you know what I mean?

04:22They don't, they're very slow starters on offense, Georgia.

04:26And in fact, they're ranked 79th in the country, all right?

04:29They only scored 12 points a game in the first half and a lot of it sort of come in the last

04:33couple of weeks.

04:35I think the first half is key here.

04:37I think Texas are going to get that lead and I think they will get the Carson Beck.

04:41I think the old cliche, hard to beat the same team twice in the same season as in this instance

04:47comes into play here.

04:48Give me the, give me the horns here, Scotty.

04:50All right, and real quick, Penn State, Oregon in the Big Ten.

04:53Well, you know, I know it's cliche to talk about, oh, Jay Franklin doesn't win big games.

04:57This isn't about Jay Franklin.

04:59This is about Dan Lanning having the best team in college football.

05:01This is about Dillon Gabriel making the right decisions.

05:03They're good on offense.

05:04They're good on defense.

05:05Ducks win, Ducks cover.

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