NBA Teams’ Performance Against the Spread Analysis

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00:00So, we're still talking about the NBA, how about best and worst against the spread from

00:08these teams so far?

00:09Yes, why don't we do that before tonight's games?

00:12Let's go.

00:13The best teams, the Warriors, top of the mountain, 9-2 against the spread.

00:19The Nets are also 9-2, Brooklyn and the Warriors, 9-2 against the number.

00:24The Cavs are 12-0, but they're 9-3 against the spread.

00:27Raptors, Thunder, Clippers, Pistons, Lakers, Pacers, and Grizzlies, all on the good list.

00:32I'm surprised the Clippers are there, to be honest with you, and the Pistons.

00:37I'm not really surprised, I guess the Raptors I'll give you, but we knew that they were

00:41covering every night, despite losing every night, but I gotta tell you, the Nets have

00:46been a blast to watch, and last night, to me, was the first night that the Knicks looked

00:52good all season.

00:54Yeah, and I believe the Knicks and the Nets are playing Friday night in one of those NBA

01:00Cup games, so you got a Knick-Knack game coming up on Friday night, I believe, if I remember

01:05looking at the schedule correctly.

01:07On the worse side of things, the Pelicans, who as we know, they're down like their top

01:13eight guys on their roster, aren't playing right now.

01:16They're 2-9 against the spread, Sixers 2-8 against the spread, Wizards, Hawks, Jazz,

01:22T-Wolves, Bucs, Suns, Heat, and Mavs on the bad list.

01:26Look at the T-Wolves, Suns, Heat, and Mavs on the bad list of teams that don't cover.

01:34Can you imagine?

01:35They were in the finals.

01:36Look at these teams, they're supposed to be so great, and yet, they obviously don't care

01:43about covers, they don't care about bettors, but for us as bettors, you can't trust them,

01:52and that's crazy, because they're, you know, allegedly the best teams in the league.

01:57Allegedly, that's for sure, but they are not sending people to the window, which is really

02:02all that we care about, is we care about going to the window.

02:05I just double-checked, by the way, I was right.

02:07Nets at the Garden against the Knicks, Friday night NBA Cup game.

02:12They're in the same group.

02:13And they're playing, as you know, they're playing the Nets, they're playing the Celtics

02:16again tonight, this time in Brooklyn.

02:18Yes, and we are going to get to that right now.

02:21We'll start, though, with Indiana and Orlando.

02:24Of course, a back-to-back for the Magic.

02:26They blew out the Hornets last night.

02:27Tonight, they have the Pacers in town, minus one and a half for Orlando, 224 and a half

02:33the total.

02:34I mean, they looked good last night, right?

02:38So, I'll take them again tonight, and the point in Orlando.

02:42Yeah, they played really well last night.

02:45You'd like to see them follow that up, that's for sure.

02:47Boston on the second night of a back-to-back, but they're in the streets as they go to Brooklyn

02:52against the Nets, who played them tough in Boston a week ago.

02:56Celtics minus eight and a half on the road, 218 and a half the total.

03:01I got to tell you, the way they looked last night, they're probably going to come out

03:05upset tonight, about last night, and try to blow out the Nets.

03:11If the Nets can survive the initial haymaker, I think they cover the eight and a half.

03:17They can score the Nets.

03:19I like the overview.

03:20They can score, yes.

03:22They can score.

03:23I like the low total there, 218 and a half.

03:26We can get that.

03:27A lot of back-to-backs tonight.

03:28The Knicks are also a back-to-back, but they'll be at home at the Garden.

03:32They have the Bulls in town.

03:34Knicks minus seven and a half, 229 and a half the total.

03:39Yeah, you know, my initial read on it is Knicks.

03:44I lay the seven.

03:45I think they're, you know, bigger and badder than the Bulls, particularly at the Garden.

03:51I like Brunson and company to handle their business.

03:54Now I know Brunson did get a little banged up last night, but he did come back in the

03:58game.

04:00They do have him listed as a game-time decision for tonight as questionable.

04:05So we shall see.

04:07Brunson always plays.

04:09Let's just get that out.

04:10Brunson, you guys, it takes a lot for Brunson to not be out there with the Knicks.

04:14So I would expect to see him there.

04:16The Cavs are in Philadelphia against the Sixers.

04:18We already told you, skeleton crew for Philadelphia.

04:21No Embiid, no George.

04:23They're obviously already been without Maxie.

04:26Cavs looking to go 13 and 0, and they're laying 11 and a half here on the road, 218 and a

04:31half total.

04:32I mean, how do you feel about it?

04:33I still think it's got to be the Cleveland Cavs, the way they're playing, and what's

04:38going on in Philly, and none of those guys are playing at all.

04:42All of their best players are out.

04:45I just think Cleveland's going to kill them.

04:48It feels too easy, right?

04:52Like they should destroy them tonight.

04:55Sixers have nobody playing in this game.

04:58Are you going to take Philly in the 11 and a half?

05:01Last year, this worked a lot for us.

05:03When a team's missing all its players, and they're getting a big number, sometimes we

05:10got to look in their direction.

05:12I'll take the Sixers with the 11 and a half in spite of it.

05:15All right, let's do it.

05:16Won't win, but they'll cover the 11 and a half.

05:19Next, New Orleans, who also we know has a lot of issues, are in OKC.

05:25Here's another big number for you, 14 and a half against the Thunder, 224 and a half

05:31the total.

05:32I mean, they don't have Holmgren either, and Ingram can flat out score 35 by himself.

05:42I think the number's too big.

05:45I really do.

05:46I like the 14 and a hook.

05:49I'll take it, too, with you.

05:50Let's take all the big numbers tonight, 14 and a half with the Pelicans in OKC.

05:55Let's go.

05:56The Clippers, who we just showed you, have been very good at covering the number despite

06:00the fact they are six and five now, too.

06:02They're getting four and a half in Houston against the Rockets, 213 and a half the total.

06:08I'll take the four and a half with the Clippers after what you just showed me, so we're really

06:13going for it tonight.

06:14What do we have to lose?

06:16Why not?

06:17Take some big numbers.

06:19Both of these teams played last night.

06:20The Pistons are in Milwaukee against the Bucs, Bucs minus six and a half at home, 212 and

06:27a half is the total.

06:29I'm taking the points again here.

06:30I'm taking Detroit with the number in Milwaukee.

06:34I think that game sucked the life out of Detroit last night, and I thought the Bucs

06:39had an easy night and looked good at five serving.

06:42They're there again tonight.

06:43I'm on the Bucs.

06:45No game time again, of course, for Milwaukee tonight.

06:48Didn't play last night, not going to play tonight either.

06:52More big numbers for you.

06:53The Spurs are home tonight for the Wizards, 10 and a half for the Spurs, 224 and a half

07:01the total.

07:02I'm on the Spurs.

07:04The Wizards stink.

07:07How bad do you got to be that you're catching 10 and a half from the Spurs?

07:12I get, you know, like they're not exactly the Suns or any of the better teams, 10 and

07:18a half.

07:19That is enormous.

07:20The Grizzlies are in Los Angeles against the Lakers tonight.

07:24Remember they thumped the Lakers in Memphis.

07:27What was that a week, week and a half ago at the end of that road trip, they smashed

07:31them.

07:3210 and a half point favorites tonight, 232 and a half the total.

07:35Yeah.

07:36I got Memphis at seven.

07:37I'll take the Grizzlies.

07:40No jaw either.

07:41Remember that.

07:42So no jaw for the Grizzlies tonight as well.

07:44He is not playing in that game.

07:46So I know that changes everything for anyone, but I'll take the Grizzlies with you either

07:50way.

07:51Minnesota.

07:52So back to back nights, the Timberwolves are in Portland against the Trailblazers.

07:56Same game as last night.

07:58And tonight they're laying 10 and a half.

07:59They slept walk last night.

08:01Do they care tonight?

08:02I mean, they couldn't stop Williams or Grant in that game last night.

08:07You're giving me a 10 spot again at the Moda.

08:09I'll take it.

08:10The T-wolves just have been unimpressive.

08:14And finally, the Suns are in Sacratomato against the Kings tonight.

08:20Kings minus seven and a half in this game.

08:23You've got some to be determined.

08:25Beal might not play the second night of it back to back.

08:28Obviously Durant's out.

08:29So take all that into account.

08:31Yeah, I still like the Suns in seven and a half with Booker on the floor and whatever

08:37else they have out there.

08:38I mean, I just think it's too big of a number.

08:41No Durant, potentially no Beal if he doesn't play.

08:45Booker 40 plus tonight.

08:4740 plus for Booker.

08:48And then the Kings are still overrated.

08:49It's not even funny.

08:50They never get it done.

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