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NFL Betting Insights: Williams and Kamara's Rushing Yards
SportsGrid
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1 year ago
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00:00
Let's talk Javante Williams first, 45 and a half rushing yards.
00:07
For me, that's a stay away.
00:09
I don't like to play unders, but I want to hear from you.
00:11
Your thoughts?
00:12
Well, I told you last week, Derek Henry was the first guy to go over 50 as an individual
00:16
against the Ravens.
00:17
Is the angry Ravens coming off a loss?
00:19
Yeah, I'll take the under on this one here with Javante Williams.
00:22
I think it's going to be a tough day at the office for him.
00:24
I like Bo Nicks yardage total more than I like Javante Williams, to be honest with you.
00:28
I just think this defense is going to have had a very angry week of practice.
00:34
Let's put it that way.
00:35
And this is the second time it's happened to them, too.
00:37
You know, they lost at home to the Raiders, and that's the one that's really going to
00:40
stick in their craw, I think, at the end of the day.
00:42
And I know that one went to overtime, and I know that was like one of these things where,
00:45
you know, again, they had their moments.
00:46
They just didn't put the team away.
00:49
And if you're going to win a Super Bowl, you have to learn how to put teams away.
00:53
And that is going to haunt them if they don't figure this out soon.
00:55
So here's an opportunity against the Denver Broncos team that is going to play good defense
00:58
and it's going to challenge you at home here.
01:02
Put them away.
01:03
So I'm going to go under the 45 and a half, which Javante, I'm fading him in my lineups
01:06
this week.
01:07
I'd rather have Rico Dowdle.
01:08
I'd rather even have Rashad White probably over him, to be honest, who also was a tough
01:11
matchup.
01:12
I think he's going to catch more football.
01:13
So let's start out with an under.
01:14
I know it's not exciting, you know, when you talk about unders, but money is fun.
01:18
So let's win some money instead.
01:20
All right.
01:21
With that said, let's move on.
01:23
We'll talk another running back here.
01:24
It's Alvin Kamara.
01:25
And this time it's the rushing yards, 63 and a half.
01:28
Most people have been off of the Saints and Kamara in totality the past few weeks, but
01:32
finally they're starting to resemble more of the Saints that we saw earlier on in the
01:36
season.
01:37
Kamara is healthy.
01:38
Olave is healthy.
01:39
Carr is healthy.
01:40
Derek Carr.
01:41
I'm sorry.
01:42
Alvin Kamara, 63 and a half rushing yards.
01:43
Over or under Joe?
01:45
I'm going under because you're also missing other guys in this team.
01:49
Like it's the Alvin Kamara workload show this week against the Carolina Panthers.
01:53
I suspect him to have a lead.
01:54
I suspect it will work a lot.
01:56
And look, this is, I'm looking for the yardage again, not the attempts because the yardage
02:01
is something you could pick up 50 to 60% of it on one play.
02:05
And then it's all just gravy after that.
02:06
I also love the touchdown bet for him today.
02:09
I would absolutely pair these two things together in a duo bet.
02:12
I've had a lot of success this year, finding the players that are going to smash and then
02:16
betting the overs on the yardage total and the old and the touchdown prop.
02:19
If you do that, you're usually in a good spot.
02:21
And just as a reminder, we talked about this in hour one, but if you joined us late, the
02:24
Panthers have allowed 15 touchdowns to opposing running backs this year.
02:27
No other team has given up more than 11.
02:29
This is what they do.
02:30
So to me, I don't think you can push this one hard enough.
02:33
Give me all the Alvin Kamara today in DFS.
02:35
Give me all the Alvin Kamara today on the overs as well.
02:39
I just think this is a perfect situation, especially with Derek Carr's return here.
02:43
I just want to manage this a little bit.
02:45
It's the Panthers.
02:46
We don't want to just blow him up here in this first game back.
02:48
He's missed a few weeks.
02:50
So if he's good enough to play, let's just make sure that we're giving Alvin Kamara the
02:52
football and budgeting it because we need Carr the rest of the season if the Saints
02:56
have any hope at all to stay relevant.
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