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U.S. Presidential Debates in History That Moved the Needle
TIME
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1 year ago
Presidential debates have been a staple of campaigns for decades, and history has shown that they can have the power to sway undecided voters and solidify public perception of the candidates.
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00:00
Presidential debates have been a staple of campaigns for decades, and history has shown
00:04
that they can have the power to sway undecided voters and solidify public perception of the
00:10
candidates.
00:11
In 2024, it was a debate that arguably changed the course of the campaign completely.
00:17
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump met on stage in Atlanta on June 27 for
00:22
the first presidential debate of the 2024 election, which may have ultimately led to
00:27
Biden ending his bid for re-election.
00:29
Thoughts were shaken when the 81-year-old stumbled his way through the debate, mixing
00:33
up names and figures, losing his train of thought, failing to parry back against Trump's
00:38
lies, and struggling to describe his own accomplishments and vision for a second term.
00:44
The total initiative relative to what we're going to do with more border patrol and more
00:49
asylum officers.
00:50
President Trump?
00:51
I really don't know what he said at the end of that sentence.
00:54
I don't think he knows what he said either.
00:56
His disastrous debate performance spurred a dramatic revolt within his own party in
01:00
the weeks that followed, with top Democrats calling for Biden to step aside.
01:05
Biden dropped out of the race on July 21 and endorsed his Vice President Kamala Harris
01:09
to take his place.
01:10
I made my choice.
01:11
I made my views known.
01:15
Let's look back at some of the other debates in history that have also moved the needle.
01:21
The 1960 debate between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon.
01:25
The first debate between Kennedy and Nixon is considered one of the most significant
01:28
because it entrenched the idea that appearances are an important part of presidential campaigns.
01:33
The debate is also considered the first nationally televised presidential debate in history.
01:38
The best-known narrative about the debate is that then-Vice President Nixon lost the
01:43
election because he looked old and tired during the debate, while Kennedy, then a senator
01:48
from Massachusetts, wore makeup and appeared young and vibrant.
01:53
People who watched the debate on television generally believed that Kennedy had won the
01:57
debate, but those who listened to their speeches on the radio believed that Nixon had performed
02:02
better.
02:03
Now, some historians argue this explanation doesn't hold up because of different demographics
02:07
between TV viewers and radio listeners, and we have very little empirical research to
02:12
suggest that's why Kennedy won the election.
02:16
The 1976 debate between Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford.
02:21
After the Nixon-Kennedy election, a long period passed without any general election debates
02:26
until President Gerald Ford fell behind during the 1976 campaign and decided he needed to
02:32
debate then-Georgia Governor Jimmy Carter.
02:35
The debates are best remembered for a single moment during the pair's second debate.
02:39
There is no Soviet domination of Eastern Europe, and there never will be under a Ford administration.
02:48
Did I understand you to say, sir, that the Russians are not using Eastern Europe as their
02:52
own sphere of influence and occupying?
02:55
Historians argue that the moment was particularly damaging for Ford because of the media reporting
02:59
after the debate, which contributed to the narrative that he was clumsy and not up for
03:04
the presidency.
03:07
The 1980 debate between Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan.
03:10
For most of the 1980 campaign cycle, Jimmy Carter had been unwilling to debate Ronald
03:15
Reagan, who was considered a master of visuals and humor.
03:19
But Carter changed his mind about 10 days before the election after realizing that he
03:24
was trailing in the polls and needed a last-minute pitch to undecided voters.
03:29
Carter peppered his rhetoric with facts and policy, and Reagan countered with one-line
03:33
catchphrases.
03:35
Are you better off than you were four years ago?
03:39
Governor, there you go again.
03:43
Historians argue that Reagan went on to win the election one week later, in part because
03:48
he came across as very confident and amiable in that debate.
03:52
The 1992 debate between George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Ross Perot.
03:58
Unlike most other presidential debates where candidates respond to moderator questions,
04:02
the second debate in 1992 was conducted in a more relaxed town hall format suggested
04:08
by Bill Clinton's campaign.
04:10
The format was seen as benefiting Clinton, who voters thought seemed more likable than
04:15
his opponents over the course of three debates.
04:17
In one famous moment during the second debate, President Bush was caught on camera looking
04:21
at his watch as a voter in Richmond, Virginia asked a question about the national debt,
04:27
giving viewers the sense he was being passive or bored.
04:30
The debates also introduced the public to third-party candidate Ross Perot, who garnered
04:35
almost 19% of the vote.
04:37
Recent polls suggested that Perot took votes from Clinton and Bush about equally.
04:43
The 2000 debate between George W. Bush and Al Gore.
04:48
The debates were particularly important in the 2000 election.
04:52
Vice President Al Gore had been in high-profile debates before, whereas Texas Governor George
04:57
Bush was a relative newcomer known to stumble over his words.
05:02
During the first debate, microphones caught Gore loudly sighing in response to Bush's
05:06
answers.
05:07
In the state of Texas, that's what a governor gets to do.
05:10
At the third debate, Gore walked up to Bush as he was speaking, seemingly to intimidate
05:14
him.
05:15
Bush smirked and continued on, but the moment prompted the audience to laugh.
05:21
Time wrote in 2000,
05:22
The pundits and the polls agreed Gore had won the debate.
05:27
Then he lost.
05:29
Within a week, Bush had opened up a lead in several polls, as voters apparently decided
05:34
they were tired of Professor Know-It-All.
05:36
In 2024, following his debate with Biden, Republican candidate Donald Trump went on
05:41
to debate Vice President Kamala Harris just once.
05:44
The race remained deadlocked, and it likely will not go down in the history books as a
05:48
debate that moved the needle.
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