00:00The verdict of the exit polls of 2024 is that it is going to be a hung assembly in Jammu and Kashmir.
00:07Well, the numbers are out. The exit polls for 2024 assembly elections have come out for Jammu
00:12and Kashmir and Haryana. Without much ado, let's delve into the initial numbers that we are getting
00:19as far as the exit polls are concerned for the year 2024. Let's hold it here. People's Pulse is
00:26rating agency, the polling agency and out of 90 seats, it is giving NC plus 46 to 50 seats, BJP
00:3323 to 37, PDP 7 to 11 and others are bagging 4 to 6 seats. Now NC plus is National Conference
00:40plus the Congress Party and a few other smaller parties, BJP independently contesting their 23 to
00:4737, not reaching the half a mark. But here, if you take a look here, now People's Pulse for now
00:55is giving somewhere close to the half a mark of 46 in these 90 seats, although five seats are
01:03reserved there. So we are looking at 85 seats. So the contest is there on 85 seats as far as
01:08these voting patterns are concerned. But in subsequent numbers and polling rating agencies,
01:17if you would take a look, then it's being projected as a hung assembly in Jammu and Kashmir,
01:24whether the PDP will come and join the party with a national conference and Congress remains to be
01:29seen in order to keep the BJP out of equation. That is something that many political pundits
01:35are hedging their bets on. Moving on to the next polling agency, which is Dainik Bhaskar
01:43media group, independent media group coming out with its own numbers, NC plus there you see 35 to
01:5040, not close to the halfway mark, BJP 20 to 25, PDP 4 to 7 and others 12 to 16. It has increased
01:59the number of others but again, it has cut down on the advantage that People's Pulse was showing
02:06for the national conference plus the Congress Alliance in Jammu and Kashmir. So Dainik Bhaskar
02:12not giving any clear majority to any political party pointing to a hung assembly or if there
02:18could be some equations being done from the other side or from the PDP side. Gulistan is another
02:27polling agency which does the number crunching and speaks to the people more than 8 to 10,000
02:36people are normally spoken with. That depends on a sample size also what these companies choose to
02:43go for. Out of the 90 seats, NC plus 31 to 36 is what Gulistan is giving, BJP 28 to 38, PDP 5 to 7
02:52and others 8 to 16 more or less the same figure as Dainik Bhaskar had given no clear majority to
02:58any of the parties again pointing to a hung assembly and more political drama to unfold.
03:05We will have to wait and watch for October 8th and see how the numbers are exactly stacked up.
03:12These are just the exit poll numbers, not the final figure. So I would like to remind the viewers
03:18well the other company rating polling agency India Today and C voter out of the 90 seats NC 40 to 48
03:26well this takes them closer to the halfway mark. PDP 6 to 12, BJP 27 to 32 and others 12 to 16. So
03:36what the loss that is being shown to the PDP has gone to others and at least 5 to 10 seats here
03:43that we saw from other polling agencies and that's why the others figures have gone up.
03:49Why I'm focusing on others because if this majority, if these numbers remain the same
03:55then whether the PDP would want to come and join the NC Congress, whether this alliance especially
04:03National Conference and PDP are opposing parties in Jammu and Kashmir, whether Congress would be
04:09able to the Rahul Gandhi factor, whether he would be able to convince say an Omar Abdullah or Farooq
04:15Abdullah to join hands with Mehbooba Mufti in order to keep the BJP at bay. So that is also
04:24one of the case possibilities that is being looked at. So these are the numbers as of now that we
04:30have for you from four different polling agencies as far as Jammu and Kashmir is concerned. The
04:35verdict of the exit polls of 2024 is that it is going to be a hung assembly in Jammu and Kashmir,
04:42no clear majority. How does the political arithmetic pan out that would be more clearer
04:49after I believe 2 pm on October the 8th when the results for Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir are out.
04:58All right now moving on to another polling company Metrise which is giving 40 to 48 seats to NC
05:07in NC and the alliance in Jammu and Kashmir 40 to 48, BJP 27 to 32, PDP 6 to 12 and others 6 to 11.
05:16Well once again you would see no clear majority as of now to any political party and whether the
05:23alliance picture will come into play remains to be seen. So this is how all these polling
05:31companies have analysed the results for the exit poll for Jammu and Kashmir. We bring you the
05:36poll of polls which gives you the average of all the samples that we have taken as of now here and
05:42this is how it seems as of now. If you take out all the averages of the 6 to 7 leading polling
05:49companies then out of the 90 seats the poll of polls says that National Conference and Congress
05:54would get 33 to 39 seats, BJP 25 to 33, PDP 4 to 8 and others will get 9 to 15. A sizeable number
06:04going there for the others. Why this is important as of now is giving these numbers or if we consider
06:11plus minus 5 to these numbers then again the picture is clear in Jammu and Kashmir,
06:17no clear majority to any party. It was to a certain extent I would say expected also,
06:22BJP was trying to make inroads in Kashmir, Jammu it had the stronghold whereas the
06:28historical traditional political parties of the National Conference and the PDP
06:33after 10 years of elections might have might have just touched that raw nerve with the people
06:38and could have convinced them to vote for them and not independently for the BJP. Congress there
06:43with the National Conference. These are the numbers as of now. What transpires exactly
06:49would be clear on October 8th when the results are out. Until then keep watching One India.
06:55Don't miss out. Log on to oneindia.com for more updates.
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