00:00I would like to ask one thing, what is the scope of JKNPF in this election?
00:07What are the chances of going with BJP in the upcoming elections?
00:14I would like to add one more question to this list of questions.
00:18You said that this time the factor of Rashid Engineer is not working in that way.
00:23He will get some votes, but he will not be able to do the numbers.
00:25So, who will benefit if the factor of Engineer Rashid does not work?
00:35First of all, the post-election scenario that JKNPF is getting,
00:42The Pripol Alliance was formed by the National Conference of Congress.
00:48And if they say that we have formed this Pripol Alliance to keep BJP away,
00:55I do not think that this is the truth.
00:59It is a political thing to say to people.
01:04But the fact is that when the National Conference got a tag,
01:08Because whoever got a tag of BJP, their political support was ruined.
01:16So, BJP got a tag during this time that there is a backdoor conversation going on with BJP.
01:27And because of that, Farooq sahib came out of the cricket scam.
01:33So, people came to know that something must have happened.
01:38So, because he is a very expert in political matters of the National Conference.
01:45He sensed one thing and took a vow that we can have such problems here.
01:52So, I believe that he formed a Pripol Alliance with Congress on this matter.
02:00Otherwise, there was no need to form a Pripol Alliance, because BJP, as far as I believe,
02:08is not in a situation to form a government on its own level in J&K.
02:13Because it will not get much support in Kashmir and it will get support in J&K.
02:18And because of J&K, they will not be able to form a government.
02:21So, both the National Conference and Congress know this.
02:24But in the National Conference, as far as the Pripol Alliance is concerned,
02:34as far as the post-Pripol scenario is concerned, there are two options that can be formed.
02:40One is that under the India bloc, the parties of J&K are coming.
02:46One option is that they form a government together,
02:52whether it is Congress or National Conference or PDP or Taragami.
02:58That is an uncommon thing. Everyone can think that they will form a government.
03:02But I believe that the National Conference will not do this.
03:07It will try to form an alliance with BJP.
03:12My argument for this is that the people of the National Conference, the leaders,
03:19are not such comfortable people, they are not such leaders,
03:24who will protest on the road tomorrow,
03:27with their manifesto, or will be ready to go to jail,
03:33protesting tomorrow, like what happened in Hyderabad.
03:36Those leaders are not in such a pattern.
03:38First of all, they want to make themselves comfortable.
03:41They want to be comfortable in politics.
03:44Secondly, their manifesto is very big.
03:50And it will be difficult for them to do even the smallest of things in their manifesto.
03:58Because elections are being held in the Union Territory.
04:01And LG has a lot of power.
04:03So, it will be very difficult for them to do even the smallest of things in their manifesto.
04:11Until they form an alliance with BJP, which is at the helm of the US,
04:16they will not be able to form an alliance.
04:18So, they are very good at this.
04:20They can do it.
04:22And people will say that you have formed an alliance with BJP,
04:26you fought the election on some other ballot.
04:28For example, in the case of PDP, they had to fight the election against Mission 44.
04:34They had to vote.
04:36So, they formed an alliance with them.
04:38So, their situation changed.
04:40But their situation, because their cadre is strong,
04:42so their situation is not going to change much.
04:44They can easily bring this issue to a lower level.
04:48And they will not have much of a problem.
04:50That is why I believe that there is one possibility,
04:52and it is a good possibility,
04:54that there is a good chance of forming a government of the National Conference and BJP.
05:00Before this, Keshav had complimented.
05:04Here, I feel that BJP and National Conference,
05:08there are two different polls about scenarios there.
05:12But we will come back and discuss that.
05:14But Izhar, before we let you go, to shift to another location.
05:21The number of voting stations has increased from the last one hour.
05:26Please, take us through.
05:29Yes, definitely.
05:31More and more people have started coming to the polling stations.
05:35You can see, especially the youth are turning up outside the polling stations.
05:41Same has been reported from other parts of the Srinagar city and elsewhere.
05:46So, three districts in Kashmir are voting today.
05:50People are coming out gradually.
05:53And as the day progresses, we are expecting more and more people will come out and vote.
05:58These elections are going to be interesting on various counts.
06:03These elections are being held after a gap of 10 years.
06:07These elections are being held first after the abrogation of Article 370.
06:12These elections are being held after the delimitation of J&K.
06:20And these elections are being held in J&K as a Union Territory.
06:24And many political observers believe that there might be chances of a fractured mandate
06:31because there are hundreds of independent candidates as fray,
06:35secretly or openly supported by many mainstream parties
06:40and even some accuse the Bharatiya Janata Party of fielding proxy candidates from Kashmir Valley.
06:46Mute.
06:49Ahmed Aya Sahib is here.
06:52He is a political analyst.
06:54He says that there are possibilities.
06:56There are possibilities of a post-poll alliance between the BJP and the National Conference.
07:02How feasible do you think it is?
07:07Well, at the moment it seems difficult.
07:11Farooq Abdullah and his son Umar Abdullah are not going to take any chances as far as their post-poll alliance is concerned.
07:18So, they already are facing anger.
07:21There is no alternative as of now to the people as Aya Sahib rightly pointed out.
07:26So, either the people rely on traditional parties like NC or PDP.
07:32So, as of now they don't have any alternative.
07:34And I am sure that as of now NC, even if it falls short of alliance,
07:46they won't align with the Bharatiya Janata Party and anger whatever respect they have with the people.
07:58So, they won't annoy people.
08:00They won't further make people angry.
08:02That apparently is one of the reasons.
08:04And Umar Abdullah and Farooq Abdullah have categorically refused any post-poll alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party.
08:13That's the problem now.
08:16Yes, sir.
08:18For the BJP, realistically speaking, what do you think?
08:22How easy or difficult will it be to make a government independently?
08:25Secondly, in the scenario of post-poll alliance, are your doors open to everyone?
08:31See, our analysis is that I respectfully disagree with Ahmed Sahib.
08:37First of all, he has said that we have made the National Conference and Dr. Farooq comfortable about the JKCA case.
08:44That cricket case is still there, sir.
08:46There is no relaxation in that.
08:48The trial is still going on.
08:50Only an ED case, based upon that cricket prosecution, that has been set aside by the High Court.
08:57That cricket association's prosecution case is not there.
08:59That is still there.
09:00Secondly, our analysis is that the Congress and National Conference combined will not be in a position to go beyond 20 seats in the whole of J&K.
09:10You are probably over-assessing the situation.
09:14Congress-National Conference alliance will be stopping short of 20.
09:18The BJP is comfortably placed in more than 35 seats in the J&K region only.
09:25If we are having a fair number of seats in Kashmir, we will be in a position to form the government on our own.
09:38We are not looking for any ally presently.
09:41We are not considering the possibility of forming an alliance with the National Conference or with anyone else.
09:48We don't think that there will be any need for the BJP to have an alliance with some party to form the government.
09:56We are comfortably placed.
09:58And the required number, beyond what we get in J&K, we are comfortable that we will be getting those numbers in Kashmir.
10:09I will have to respond a bit.
10:12Yes.
10:34Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:38Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:42Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:46Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:49Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:52Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:55Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:59Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:02Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:06Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:10Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:14Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:18Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:22Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:26Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:29Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:33Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:37Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:41Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:45Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:49Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:53Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:56Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:00Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:04Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:08Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:12Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:16Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:20Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:23Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:27Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:31Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:35Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:39Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:43Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:47Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:50Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:54Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:58Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:02Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:06Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:10Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:14Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
Comments