Quinn Ewers Now Leads Heisman Odds, Surprising Stats

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00:00Let's start with the odds to show you where things stand currently in the

00:07Heisman Trophy race. You see there, Quinn Ewers, now the Heisman Trophy favorite

00:12after the performance last week in Ann Arbor. Kev, it wasn't overly statistically

00:18overwhelming, less than 250 passing yards but three passing scores. It was, as you

00:24can see, a plus 500 price for Ewers now to win the Heisman with a plus 550

00:29number on Texas to win a national champion. Yeah, so for Quinn Ewers, he now

00:33jumps up to the favorite. What you see there are the top six quarterbacks, which

00:37does no longer include Dylan Gabriel. All those guys are the only ones that

00:40are 10-1 or less. Dylan Gabriel, I thought that was noteworthy, bounces

00:44outside of that top six range there, opened as the favorite. The idea was

00:49those weapons, that offense, what Bo Nix did last year. I think one of the big

00:54surprises for Oregon this season so far has been offensive line struggles, Joe.

00:59Absolutely. Seven sacks allowed already. They only allowed five throughout the

01:05regular season and they're not covering numbers. He's definitely putting up the

01:08type of numbers that we saw with Bo Nix. 83% completion percentage, Ben, and

01:13they're averaging well over 300 yards per game, but they're not covering lines

01:17and until they do that or beat a top-10 opponent like Ohio State, he's not going

01:22to catapult into the top five. It is really interesting. Statistically, Dylan

01:26Gabriel is putting up numbers you would expect early on in this season. Bo Nix

01:30last year, tied with Mac Jones for the best ever completion percentage in the

01:34history of FBS college football, 77.4%. Dylan Gabriel better than that so far

01:39against Idaho and Boise State. So here you see those six quarterbacks that are

01:44the frontrunners currently. There's all their mugs on the other side. Quinn Ewers,

01:48Cam Ward, still certainly a part of the conversation. Carson Beck, Jackson Dart

01:51has been great. Nico Iameleava, a great week last week against NC State and

01:56Jalen Milrow down here at the bottom. But Kevin, it's not just the correlated

02:00markets of individual success, meaning team success, it's also making sure

02:05you've got the stats to back it up, which is where we stand here through two weeks.

02:08Yeah, so look, just a quick compiling of the numbers of these top six and I want

02:12to make this very clear that this was not something that was arbitrarily

02:14pulled out to make any one of these individuals look bad. These are just the

02:18top six guys through the odds. And here is my big point to make today is that

02:24Quinn Ewers is massively been overvalued because he's the quarterback who beat

02:28Michigan. If you want to talk best wins anybody has this season, you know,

02:31somewhere Texas beating Michigan would rank inside that. Is that going to be

02:35the best win we see all season long? I highly doubt it. Plus I've made the

02:39point continuously. I think we are going to see the statistical outliers really

02:44get involved when it comes to winning this Heisman trophy. So where does

02:47Quinn Ewers stack up total yards second to last? How about total

02:51touchdowns tied for last yards per pass attempt? Look, I put that in because

02:55maybe you would say, well, his yards and touchdowns are lower because they're

02:58blowing people out. Dead last yards per pass attempt and passer rating a tricky

03:03college stat, which is ultimately you just kind of got to go off of it, but

03:07he is dead last of this top six. He is. I don't see any argument to be made

03:13Statistically, the least impressive quarterback and yet sits as our favorite

03:18right now. That is my beef with Quinn Ewers because again, Joe, if he's going

03:23to win this, it's gonna be because what Texas wins the SEC. Well, then bet that

03:27it plus 3 40. Well, he might have that opportunity, but he also sat out. They

03:31beat up on Colorado State. He didn't play the second hand. So same here with

03:36all these guys. He didn't throw the football in the second half against

03:39Western Kentucky. He didn't throw the second football in the second. I get it,

03:43but Colorado State right to put up those type of numbers against Colorado

03:47State in Michigan are fairly good, even though there are a lot lower than

03:51Jackson Dart that basically played FCS opponents in the first two weeks. I will

03:56only say Jackson Dart, but I'm just saying we'll get to that in a second.

03:59From the odds perspective, Texas, one of six programs that is a perfect two and

04:03oh against the spread this year against FBS foes. So that is taken into it a

04:07little bit. And of course, the right way. But I agree with you. His price when

04:11you have to win the Heisman Trophy is shorter than Texas's number to win a

04:15national championship. Again, those are the odds correlated. Can I just say one

04:19thing in regards to the Heisman? It's almost like a body of work for the most

04:23part, right? He had that jump up because of the victory against Alabama. He made

04:27this to the college football player. Same thing with Carson Beck. Why is he

04:31there? Well, he he was there with a team that won 29 or 30 games heading into

04:36this season. Number one ranked team, right? The other one passed her last

04:39year and he was too. But my point is, he came in based off of last year's

04:45success. We talk about the carryover with the MVP in the NFL too. When you

04:49have a body of work, it does carry through. Cam Ward went from Washtenaw to

04:53Miami. If he puts all those type of numbers at the end of the year, he'll be

04:57there. Probably overtake yours. Look, my point. Here's a simple point, right? I

05:02think that this year the statistics will win out. But if you think it's going

05:04to be the winning, he's still not the guy because then he's going to lose out

05:08to Carson back or Texas is going to have to pull off pull off upsets. My point

05:13is, is if you have a great Quinn Ewers number, you better, you know, 15 or so.

05:16You're gonna need to start adding to your portfolio here. Your guy, Jackson

05:19Dark is the only one that is top two in all four categories. But I don't feel

05:24confident right now because where's the marquee win, right? I mean, yours will

05:28have to square off. Daniels didn't win a single marquee game last year. He did

05:33not win one big game last year. Highlighting this is the statistical

05:37output and Jackson Dark. Look at this number to 47.4 in terms of his passer

05:42efficiency rating. It is the best in college football. We know what he did

05:45against Furman in the opener and even last week against Middle Tennessee

05:48State with an opportunity in Winston Salem this week against wake to do it

05:53against an FBS and power conference foe. You have to like the numbers you are

05:58seeing out of Jackson Dart. Knowing Ole Miss is a college football playoff

06:01high on Jackson Dart. I think based off the body of work right now, he's

06:05deserving of a seat at the table in regards to New York. But again, if he

06:08loses to a team like Alabama or L. S. U. That's where he takes a step back.

06:13You need those Heisman moments against top 10 top five opponents and Quinn

06:17Ewers has that Heisman moment at least to start. I think we also have a guy

06:22that has a Heisman moment as well outside of Texas's quarterback, Ashton

06:27Gente, the running back for Boise State. Look at these numbers. 4.59 on

06:3245 carries nine rushing scores already. The nation's leading rusher, the only

06:37guy with more than 400 yards, and he's done that against Oregon and Georgia

06:42Southern. He put up nearly 200 on the ground and had three rushing scores

06:45against the Ducks. Six rushing touchdowns the opening week of the year

06:49against Georgia Southern. By far the shortest price of any non quarterback

06:53in the Heisman Trophy.

06:57Mhm.

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