00:00 Basically, all I've done is keep my promise.
00:05 Trump is facing several different kinds of trials.
00:08 In a civil case, the damages are measured in dollars.
00:12 In a criminal case, the consequences can get pretty severe pretty quick.
00:16 That can lead to jail time, it can lead to house arrest, it can lead to all sorts of
00:20 different consequences.
00:21 I'm Walt Hickey, I cover politics at Business Insider, and I'm going to tell you what's
00:24 actually going down.
00:25 Court's in session.
00:27 The Manhattan Hush Money trial, essentially this alleges that Trump illegally paid Stormy
00:33 Daniels to be quiet about their affair, and as a result, constituted a crime in the city
00:38 of New York.
00:39 It was interesting because it was the first one to come down, and so this was the one
00:42 that was like, "Oh wow, Trump's been charged with a crime.
00:44 He's one of the first presidents to be charged with a crime."
00:47 This does come with potential prison time, up to four years potentially.
00:51 If he does lose, he will not be able to pardon himself because it's not federal.
00:55 So do I think that he will face prison?
00:57 No, I do not think he's going to face prison.
00:59 He's an American president.
01:00 They don't put presidents in jail, and it would be ridiculous, just from a security
01:04 perspective, just to try to handle that.
01:07 And so the thinking goes is that there's very few situations in which this man genuinely
01:12 sees the inside of a prison cell.
01:14 More likely, talking house arrest.
01:16 So in terms of what it means for him electorally, it's a lot of felonies.
01:20 34 is a lot.
01:21 That's a very high number, and that's not really great.
01:24 That being said, he's got nothing but token opposition in the primaries.
01:29 It's not like he's going to lose the primaries over some Manhattan district attorney, right?
01:34 And so as a result, it's not the biggest issue for him.
01:37 I think he's got far bigger issues going on down south.
01:41 Georgia case is a complicated one because it involves a lot of people.
01:44 So Trump himself has been hit with 13 different charges.
01:48 These charges could potentially lead to prison time, but as we've mentioned, this man is
01:51 not going to go to prison.
01:53 They also involve 18 co-conspirators because at the crux of this case is a conspiracy allegation.
02:00 The idea that these folks conspired to steal an election, essentially.
02:04 And so the charges that they're filed under is something called RICO.
02:07 RICO is essentially used against corrupt organizations, so to speak.
02:11 It was pioneered in many ways by a promising young attorney named Rudy Giuliani in taking
02:16 down the mob in the late 80s and early 90s.
02:18 And now Rudy Giuliani has been charged in RICO.
02:21 So you know, the world's funny.
02:22 It's funny sometimes.
02:24 Listen, overturning election doesn't look great.
02:26 It's not a great thing for a person who's running for president to do.
02:28 That being said, this case has some other issues going on with it when it comes to timing,
02:32 whether or not they're actually going to get this one in before the election goes down.
02:35 And it's also got some issues when it comes to Trump has really been litigating it in
02:38 the press.
02:39 He's been going very hard against the district attorney who has charged him with these things,
02:43 and it remains to be seen how that's going to turn out.
02:47 The documents case.
02:48 This one's interesting.
02:49 This is part of Jack Smith, who is a special prosecutor appointed to investigate Trump.
02:54 This is essentially looks into what he did when he left office, which by all evidence
03:00 is take an enormous amount of classified documents to his house in Mar-a-Lago.
03:05 He took genuinely a horde of these things.
03:08 The photographs are rather damning.
03:10 This is a very potentially damaging case for him.
03:13 He faces a lot of charges for this.
03:15 On the other hand, Trump has two very good things going for him in this case.
03:19 One of them is Judge Eileen Cannon, who has been very helpful to his side of the case
03:25 when it comes to timing, when it comes to jurisdiction, and when it comes to all sorts
03:30 of different manners of prosecuting it.
03:32 The Cannon incidentally is a Trump appointed judge, so not bad, playing a little bit of
03:36 home field advantage, so to speak.
03:38 The other thing going for him is that following the discovery of a genuine dragon's horde
03:42 of classified documents in Mar-a-Lago, several other former presidents and vice presidents,
03:47 including Joe Biden, cop to, "Yes, we do actually.
03:50 Also, I have a little bit at home too."
03:52 These gentlemen all returned their documents at one point or another, and there were considerably
03:55 fewer of them, to be clear, than Trump had.
03:57 I'm going to crank this one up a little bit.
03:59 I mean, listen, if this were a normal government official, if it was just a guy from the NSA
04:06 who had this stuff, they would bury him underneath the jail.
04:08 This has happened many times before, so this could be a situation in which he does potentially
04:13 face penalties that, owing to his position as a former president, are potentially mitigated.
04:19 But nevertheless, it looks very bad.
04:23 The D.C. insurrection case.
04:26 This is the big one.
04:27 Trump has essentially been charged with conspiring to overturn an election and lead the insurrection
04:33 on January 6th.
04:34 The reason that we have laws against insurrections in this country is because we had one.
04:37 It's called the Civil War.
04:38 It wasn't a great time for the people of this country.
04:40 And so as a result, we would like to prevent that again.
04:42 The charges that he faces in D.C. are bad.
04:45 They have a lot of penalties with them.
04:47 There's a very strong possibility that Donald Trump will be facing a three-month trial in
04:51 D.C. over the course of the months at which he would ordinarily be campaigning for the
04:56 presidency across this country.
04:58 It's going to be in the news every day leading up to an election.
05:01 This one is probably the one that's going to keep him up at night and make him very
05:05 frustrated with how things are going.
05:07 So yeah, that's going to be a rough one.
05:09 A civil case that Trump has had in New York is the E. Jean Carroll case.
05:13 And this is kind of two cases, one of which was ended last year.
05:18 And that was a $5 million verdict against Trump that found him liable for, number one,
05:24 libeling E. Jean Carroll, and number two, sexual assault.
05:27 And following that case, Trump repeatedly denied that he knew E. Jean Carroll.
05:33 And E. Jean Carroll saw that this was liable and said, "I'm going to sue you again."
05:38 And so sued again in the city of New York.
05:41 And that eventually did turn up a verdict against Trump yet again.
05:45 That was an $83.3 million verdict that came down in January.
05:50 It's going to hit him in his wallet.
05:51 He does have to pay that money to the court, which is a lot of money.
05:57 And he also has to, you know, go through the rest of the election as a person who has been
06:00 found liable for sexual assault, which is going to be a deeply unpleasant moniker that
06:04 he will have to bear.
06:05 And for that reason, I think that this one is actually fairly severe.
06:10 So if he were to be convicted in one of these, and, you know, hey, let's get real hypothetical
06:14 here.
06:15 Yeah, he could absolutely run from prison if that were a thing that happened to him.
06:18 You're allowed to do that.
06:19 There's nothing in the rule book that says you can.
06:21 So if he becomes president, like, he could really just pardon himself.
06:24 He could make all of this go away.
06:26 And at the same time, the question is, will he become the president if he has all of this
06:30 facing him down?
06:32 Thank you.
06:33 God bless you.
06:34 And God bless America.
06:36 [MUSIC PLAYING]
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