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00:00 [MUSIC]
00:03 Now I have a feeling, I mean, I know which way Davis has gotta go here,
00:06 because Davis is one of his favorite prop plays was over on Patrick Mahomes'
00:11 rushing yards and his total is 26 and a half.
00:15 Davis now look, obviously if you like that prop,
00:18 it doesn't necessarily have to correlate to it.
00:20 Because as you brought up, if you think the Chiefs are gonna win and
00:24 they have a lead late, he could take a knee or two and
00:27 that counts as a rushing attempt.
00:30 But, I mean, Davis, I don't know how you could go under on this and
00:34 like the over on the attempts.
00:37 Again, they're not guaranteed to be correlated, but
00:40 I don't think that you can win both those bets.
00:43 Is that possible?
00:43 >> Yeah, I think that is accurate.
00:47 So I would go over here, but I am letting everyone know
00:51 that you are opening yourself up to the bad beat of all bad beats.
00:56 Which we literally in this game, in the 2020 Super Bowl,
00:59 we literally watched this happen.
01:01 I think Mahomes was at 34 rushing yards if my memory serves me correctly.
01:05 And on the final possession, it was just because of the way the clock was.
01:09 I don't remember exactly why they did it.
01:11 But Mahomes ran backward for 16 yards on two consecutive kneel downs.
01:16 So he rolled around in the pocket a little bit and then kneeled down and
01:19 then he did it again.
01:21 I think because they needed to burn a little bit of extra clock to get
01:24 the clock to double zeros.
01:26 So we ended up with I think 16 rushing yards off the top of my head and
01:29 ended up going under his prop that he had smoked over.
01:32 But as I've illustrated before,
01:34 the 49ers are not going to be blitzing in this game.
01:37 And they're not gonna be blitzing because they're gonna try and
01:39 keep the middle of the field absolutely packed with defenders to make Mahomes
01:43 throw outside the hashes, which has been more difficult with this group of
01:46 wide receivers.
01:48 And we've all seen this movie a million times.
01:50 You give Mahomes too much time in the pocket, he dips the shoulder,
01:53 he moves around the defensive end, and he runs for eight yards and
01:57 he gets out of bounds and the defender has to pull up to avoid trying to get
02:00 a late hit penalty on him cuz we know those flags are coming here in this spot
02:04 if you hit Pat when he's out of bounds.
02:06 So I am going over on Mahomes' rushing yardage prop.
02:10 >> Two for two, I'm over as well.
02:13 Yeah, I can't not go with this one for all the reasons that Davis laid out, so
02:16 I won't piggyback too much on there.
02:18 But it's as simple as that.
02:19 I mean, Mahomes, if you don't put pressure on him, and
02:22 you're going to take away the receivers, and
02:24 he is going to find a way to make plays with his legs.
02:26 So it's gonna be very dangerous long day at the office if they do that.
02:29 Either way, to me, I gotta pressure Mahomes in order to beat him.
02:33 I don't think this is a successful strategy, excuse me, for being the Chief.
02:37 So I think this is the way they're going to approach it, but
02:39 I think it's gonna fall short.
02:40 So I'm in the over on this one as well.
02:41 [MUSIC]