Framber Valdez Aims to Lead Houston to Victory Today

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00:00Houston's ace is Frambois Valdez.

00:02He gets the start today for the Strohs

00:04as they look to even up this weekend set early here on this Friday.

00:08Minus 164, that updated money line price,

00:11and a total now up by a hook DRS to what we see here in game number two in Houston.

00:18Probably a good pitching performance here,

00:20and hopefully you get that for Houston.

00:21You didn't get it yesterday.

00:22Starting pitch was okay.

00:23Bullpen was absolutely terrible.

00:24Then you're going to lean on Frambois Valdez,

00:26third overall in the card today with XFIP numbers

00:28on a total of 28 pitchers.

00:31He's coming in with an 82 XFIP minus a 3.39 ERA and a 3.36 XFIP number.

00:36You take a look at Valdez here.

00:37Let's just go over the past 30 days as a left-handed pitcher.

00:40How about a 25% strikeout rate?

00:42How about lefty striking out against him at a 42% clip here?

00:45And you take a look at the ISO power number,

00:47which means extra base hits and power, an 0.85.

00:50And you take a look at the weighted on base percentage, 267.

00:53Equal opportunity too, Ben.

00:54Dominating lefty and righty batters here.

00:56You flip to that Tampa Bay Rays lineup,

00:58which I usually like the lefties in that lineup.

01:00But again, lefties on lefties against a lefty pitcher that dominates lefties

01:04usually doesn't work out in your favor.

01:06Now, having said that, Diaz, Caminero, Lowe, and also Moral,

01:09all Lowe weighted on base percentages and ISO power numbers

01:12going up against left-handed pitching.

01:14Danny Jansen, the only bright spot in the middle of that lineup,

01:16but that's not good enough.

01:17You can't have one or two guys that are hitting left-handed pitching well

01:20when you're going against an elite left-handed hitting pitcher.

01:22So it is a heavy favorite for Houston,

01:24but a bounce back should be in place today.

01:26Take a look at Pepio on the other side.

01:27He's actually had a pretty clean last 30 days.

01:30ISO power number, 116, weighted on base percentage, 273,

01:33which over the entire parts of the season, 261 batters faced.

01:37Those numbers are elevated.

01:38So two pitchers coming in in really good form,

01:40but again, it is a small ballpark that usually doesn't hold home runs

01:44and runs all that well like you saw last night,

01:46particularly from Tampa's side.

01:47Maybe more of a lean to the under today,

01:49even though that lineup today for the Houston Astros

01:52really checks out well against right-handed pitching

01:54over the past couple of weeks.

01:56So if I'm saying, you know what,

01:57lean towards the money line on Houston more

02:00than maybe the under in the game.

02:02Junior Caminero, by the way,

02:04a career best six RBIs yesterday,

02:06a part of the 13 runs scored by the Rays yesterday.

02:11A big one for Tampa to start off.

02:13The Rays, the only other team right now in the American League East,

02:17not name the New York Yankees above 500.

02:20Yeah.

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