00:00I want to start with UCLA and Minnesota.
00:04It's funny, as someone who stepped up and faded the Bruins
00:08when they hosted Michigan State, at 16 and a half,
00:13I understand Minnesota are better than Michigan State,
00:16but just to see this number, it makes me feel as if I was on
00:19something a little bit here, that this UCLA dream
00:23may come crashing down.
00:25It also, though, has, I mean, it's just the number's so, so small.
00:30Here now, Dave, are you playing Minnesota or UCLA?
00:32Do you have a lean on this one?
00:34Every part of me wanted to play Minnesota this week.
00:37Every part of me wanted to, but I couldn't get there
00:38because the line's too low.
00:39You're right.
00:40I mean, this is a covering machine.
00:42UCLA, 7-0-1 against the spread this year, 8-0 overall.
00:45Like, they're a covering machine, even when they don't play well,
00:49and they didn't play well against Michigan State.
00:51You actually, probably on the right side of that one
00:53until it was too late.
00:55UCLA averages over 200 yards a game in rushing,
00:57and I think they can control the game and score here.
01:01I wanted to take Minnesota.
01:02I didn't.
01:03My only lean would be the under here, but it's not a strong one,
01:07so 38-1-1 is just too low when you know these teams can score,
01:11but you saw what Minnesota did last week in the loss to Penn State,
01:14and we escaped with the under there because it went to overtime.
01:19I lean 24-20 UCLA, but I can't play it, no.
01:26The interesting thing, again, for the Bruins is what, if any, wiggle room
01:31do they actually have?
01:33Again, there's probably a handful of metrics that suggest this team
01:36should be ranked inside the top five.
01:38They're ranked eighth, a loss to Minnesota, and they will plummet.
01:42And, again, the thing about the committee is once they drop you,
01:47you know, win against Illinois, win at Michigan,
01:49like that's not really going to make the difference here.
01:52This is a UCLA team that's right now minus 170
01:56to make the college football playoff on one book.
02:00I think if you asked a committee member if they think that UCLA
02:03should be minus 170, they will tell you, no, they should not.
02:07I think it's not.
