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00:00Hello, good afternoon. Welcome to another episode of RealPolitik. I am your host, Firas Maudad.
00:07And today we're going to be talking about the disasters that are heading Europe's way
00:12as the globalists decide to fight back against the rising tide of nationalism.
00:18But I'm not just going to talk to you about that. I'm also going to tie it a little bit
00:21to the
00:22Ukraine war, because the things that are happening in Ukraine look like they're going to harm the
00:29Ukrainian military quite significantly. And then you will end up in a position where Europe is
00:34insanely unstable at a time when there is an army in Ukraine defeated and demobilizing.
00:42So this is the picture that I want to paint for you today. And we will discuss it that when
00:48we do
00:48another episode of Latin American geopolitics, the sombrero will be in the room with us. However,
00:56right now, since we don't have any Taras Bulba wigs that we could avail ourselves of,
01:03we will have to make do without any headgear, unfortunately.
01:09Do you want to talk about the sandpit for a few minutes before we start? Because it looks like
01:13the war in the Middle East might be resuming. Shall we spend a couple of minutes on that first?
01:21I say, let's do that. Let's do a couple of minutes on the Middle East before we
01:27get into Europe, because it seems that it's important. Tucker Carlson is claiming that the
01:33United States is about to nuke Iran. Now, Chris Murphy, a senator who sits on the Foreign Affairs
01:40Committee, and therefore who is privy to classified briefings, said that he was familiar with the
01:49American plan to restart the war, and said that what was going to happen there would sort of end
01:54the rule of international law. This could have a couple of different meanings. It could mean massive
01:59waves of strikes on all kinds of civilian infrastructure, or it could mean a strike on
02:05pickaxe mountain where the Iranians have moved some of their uranium enrichment program and possibly
02:13some of the enriched uranium itself, with the aim of completely destroying the facility, which might
02:20involve a nuclear weapon. The issue is this, however. Given how many hundreds of meters of granite rock
02:29that facility sits under, a nuclear detonation may not destroy it fully. A nuclear detonation over
02:38pickaxe mountain may or may not destroy the facility fully. And if you've reached a stage where you're
02:45just not able to go after Iran's nuclear program, then the war is kind of lost already, and there is
02:52no
02:52point in continuing it. Now, it seems that Trump is talking to Netanyahu about resuming the war, and
02:57Netanyahu wants him to resume the war right after the midterms, which, as we are recording today
03:02on the 2nd of November, are scheduled for tomorrow, the 3rd of November. But it looks to me that the
03:09Americans don't really have a way to get the political objectives that they want, which is a
03:15change in the regime in Iran, or an Iran that doesn't have access to a nuclear program, or an Iran
03:21that
03:21isn't hostile to Israel. That's just not going to happen. And it seems that the Americans don't have a way
03:27of opening the Strait of Hormuz, which makes further bombing of Iran kind of pointless. But the
03:34alternative is to let Iran become the fourth power in the world by letting it control Hormuz and 20%
03:40of global oil exports. That would be a disastrous defeat. So the war is now going on for the sake
03:47of
03:47the war, not for any particular attainable objective, in the hope that over a long enough
03:52time frame, it'll wear down the Iranians. But in two years' time, if the Democrats decide not to
03:58continue the war, what happens then? Do the Israelis nuke everything in Iran? And then what?
04:06It's just the whole thing is unwinnable. And it looks like it's going to start again, and it is
04:11going to get considerably worse. So I just wanted to mention that about the Iran war, because this time
04:17when the Iranians retaliate, I'm going to assume that the Americans, by resuming the war, are going
04:23to try to destroy an enormous amount of Iranian infrastructure. I'm going to assume that they're
04:28not going to use a nuclear weapon. But what does that mean? That means that the Iranians destroy an
04:33enormous amount of energy infrastructure in the Gulf, and send the world economy tanking. And already
04:40you're seeing the crashes in the stock market, interest rates at historic highs, protests everywhere in
04:46the world as a result of the growing fuel crisis. This just seems like a terrible, terrible thing to
04:53continue. And I try to be an analyst on this show, not to be an advocate, not to say this
05:00is what
05:00should be done or shouldn't be done. But just the Middle East is screwed. And the actual threat comes
05:07from the Sunnis, not from the Shia. Let it be. A strong Iran that constrains the Sunnis is actually
05:15better than this. That's what I wanted to say about the Middle East as we get ready to restart
05:21the war. Let's talk about Poland and let's talk about Europe and the disasters that are heading
05:27towards Europe. So as you saw on Stelios' segment today, there was an attempted constitutional coup or
05:35extra constitutional coup in Poland over the weekend. The Prime Minister of Poland took advantage of the
05:43president being out of the country and tried to take over the Supreme Court. I won't get into the
05:48full details of the constitutional lease and all of that stuff. But the summary of it is the president
05:54had refused to ratify some judicial appointments and said that these judicial appointments weren't
06:00legal or weren't acceptable or whatever it was. He has, in theory, a right to do that. He has a
06:07right to
06:08refuse certain appointments. The way that Poland works is that the president gets a veto. And this
06:13is down to the legacy of Poland. They don't like a very strong central state. This was always Polish
06:22tradition from the days of the Polish kingdom and nobility and the Polish-Lithuanian Union. The idea
06:29behind that was always to have a very weak king and to let the barons loot the country, do whatever
06:36they
06:36want, essentially constrained the king massively. And it was this refusal to centralize power
06:43that arguably allowed the Russians and the Austro-Hungarians and the Germans to carve up Poland
06:49and destroy it as a country. They tried to correct that after World War I. It didn't work. World War
06:56II,
06:56obviously a very strong centralized communist state subject to the Soviet Union. That went badly.
07:02So after they freed themselves of communism, they reverted back to the norm of having diffused power
07:10where different centers of executive authority could contest each other and block each other.
07:16So the president being able to block things like laws and judicial appointments and decisions by
07:22parliament is actually part and parcel of the historic memory of the Polish state. It's not a newfangled
07:30notion where the president on his own, he's deciding, you know, I will allow this. I was, I will not
07:36allow
07:37that. So anyway, Tusk tries to take over the constitutional court and the reaction from the public was quite
07:47severe. The supporters of the president of the Law and Justice Party, which is a conservative right-wing
07:53traditional party that wants to maintain Poland as Polish, that is a bit anti-globalist, that wants to
08:00work with the European Union while main, because of the benefits that have accrued to Poland from being
08:06in the EU and being able to export surplus labor. They want to work with the European Union. They want
08:11to
08:11have European investments. They want to be Germany's second factory or the second factory for German
08:17companies. But they don't want to lose their national identity, obviously. So there was a massive backlash
08:25against this attempt because it was seen as part of an attempt by Tusk to consolidate the grip of the
08:31globalists over Poland. What do I mean by that? Well, if you look at the history of this whole thing,
08:43the Polish judiciary or elements with the liberal elements within the Polish judiciary have been
08:49trying to impose liberalism on Poland by judicial fiat for some time. And this came from the legacy of
08:59communist rule, because after communism ended in Poland, the courts were still infected with
09:07far-left thinking and with leftist thinking, which kind of continued through their years in the
09:12European Union. And then the Law and Justice Party started trying to correct that. And eventually,
09:20they had a crisis with the judiciary in 2015. PIS refused the appointments from the previous liberal
09:29government. The EU did its best to say, no, no, you're violating legal norms, and you have
09:36to respect the invalid appointments of the previous parliament, etc., etc. So that didn't work out,
09:46and the PIS managed to stop that. And the reason that the PIS objected, basically, was because among
09:53the things that were being attempted by the courts were the introduction of gay marriage through the
09:58back door, essentially. What they tried to do was say, Poland won't recognize gay marriage. However,
10:09Poland will register gay marriages that are recognized elsewhere. So if you were a pair of Polish homosexuals,
10:18and you wanted to get married, you could just take a skip and a hop over the border to Germany,
10:24register your marriage there, then show up in Poland, and you would be in a position to have the Polish
10:33state recognize you as married. Which, incidentally, if you look at the United States, this was the
10:40entirety of Obergefell, the 2012 or 2013 Supreme Court ruling that recognized gay marriage. The premise of
10:49that case was that one state wouldn't recognize a homosexual marriage, quote-unquote, registered in
10:57another state. And so the Supreme Court was able to step in and impose it on a national level in
11:04the
11:04United States. They were playing the same playbook. It was the same with abortion. They tried to impose
11:13abortion on the courts, through the courts in Poland. They tried to say that for certain abnormalities,
11:20if there were certain birth defects that were detectable with medical scans and so on, then
11:27there would suddenly emerge a right to abortion and the ability to kill that baby. Well, we know how the
11:34slippery slope works. It is within living memory that the left in the United States, for example,
11:40was arguing that abortion should be safe, legal and rare. It's not rare. A third of Zoomers have
11:49already been murdered before they've taken a single breath. It is anything but rare. But you introduce
11:55it and you allow it to escalate and you allow it to continue. There was a similar case with the
12:02courts
12:02where basically the legislator tried to ban ritual slaughter. In Poland, they tried to ban both kosher
12:10and halal slaughter. The judiciary stepped in and said, no, no, no, there is a right to religious
12:16slaughter. I don't know where such a right would come from, other than from recognizing other religions'
12:23divine validity, essentially. And they tried to impose, and they did impose that on Poland that way.
12:31So now you can still get halal and kosher in Poland. And that is part of the drive to
12:38diversify Poland, essentially, and to keep pushing diversity on Poland. And you have to think about
12:44this in a particular way. These people in the judiciary and in the EU, even if they're not
12:50officially part of the Fabian society in England, they are culturally Fabian, shall we call them.
12:57They are structurally Fabian. They recognize what a slippery slope is. What they're trying to do is
13:05to push you off of it. And if in a country like Poland that already has low birth rates, you
13:10also
13:10legalize abortion, the birth rates will collapse. And then they will push for more immigration to
13:16counter it. So these people are all spiritually Fabian, regardless of their official affiliation.
13:23And they're trying to get Polish society accustomed to abortion, accustomed to gay marriage, accustomed to
13:30the kinds of policies that have so thoroughly wrecked Western Europe, the United States, Canada,
13:36Australia, New Zealand, the kind of policies that are so socially destructive that they undermine the
13:43religious fabric of society, they undermine the religious values of a society. And if they impose
13:49those, then obviously they can then impose multiculturalism. Because if you can kill babies and
13:55this is just a sort of matter of choice, well, yeah, then everything is a matter of choice. And there
14:00is no
14:01validity to a particular religious conviction. And there is no validity to a particular religious tradition.
14:07Anything goes if killing babies is permissible. So you have to see it in the proper context. And you have
14:14to see
14:14this fight in the proper broader social and religious context in which it's happening. Controlling the court will
14:23allow all kinds of absurd legislation around homosexual marriages, around
14:32abortion, around multiculturalism, you will be mandated by law to pay for Hindu temples or to protect mosques or
14:41whatever it is. And then that will be used against you further and further and further. That's why I insist
14:49that you want to think about
14:50liberalism and tolerance and all of these values as a sort of social aids.
14:57The purpose is to weaken your immune system by getting you accustomed to horrible things
15:07like abortion or insane fantasies like gay marriage, and from that to push other horrible things on you.
15:17And you just have to look at Britain and Harry's segment today about the horrors of modern Britain
15:22to see what lies at the bottom of that slippery slope. It's a horrible thing. And underneath that,
15:29what they're trying to hide when the EU tells you, like the EU obviously is backing Tusk in this,
15:35in the attempt to remake the Polish judiciary. Of course, they're backing Tusk because he is their guy.
15:40He used to be a senior guy in the European Union. He's always been an EU puppet. He's continuing in
15:46this role.
15:49So, they say that the idea is to keep law neutral and to preserve institutions and so on.
15:58But this itself is a fiction. The law isn't neutral. The law is either a teacher that is trying to
16:08bring you towards a certain set of values that is trying to form you in a particular way,
16:17or it is a source of degeneracy by being extremely permissive, by allowing criminals to run free,
16:27by allowing crimes to be committed without being punished, such as abortion, by allowing all kinds
16:34of evils to be tolerated in society. But the law is never a neutral thing. And the law fundamentally
16:41comes from a set of religious values. What underpins law is a moral philosophy. And all moral philosophy
16:53is in one way or another religious. So, the law can be permissive and allow horrid behavior, and
17:02therefore encourage these behaviors to spread. Or it can be a teacher, by punishing bad behavior,
17:09behavior, maybe even rewarding good behavior, although some might find that a bit too intrusive.
17:16And then from that, try to form a superior society, improve social well-being, teach people
17:26to do what is right out of fear of just punishment. And eventually, over time, when you iterate this
17:33process over hundreds of years, that's how you get a functional high-trust society. That's how you do it.
17:40It is through the law. That's why controlling the courts is so important. And that's why the idea of
17:47legal neutrality is such a fiction. The law can be neutral when you have the same moral assumptions,
17:56and when you have a shared identity, and when basically there is so much between you that is
18:02in common, that essentially what you're debating is technicalities. Should the boundary line of this
18:08land be here or there? Are you owed X amount or X amount plus interest? Are you owed this punitive
18:16award or are you... It gets into the technical details. Did he commit the crime? Didn't he commit the crime?
18:23But when the question in law is, is a crime a crime, or are you a people to begin with,
18:32the law can't be neutral about these kinds of questions. The law can't be philosophically neutral.
18:37The law can't be morally neutral. By definition, it takes a position. So what the EU does is that
18:44they try to gain control over a legal system in order to impose their degenerate agenda.
18:52And if you just take a step back and look at what was done legally, you know, under the rule
18:58of law,
18:58the Romanian elections were cancelled on pretty much false pretenses. The guy involved did not
19:05receive help from the Russians. It was all a myth. The law is being used to try to ban the
19:13AFD in Germany.
19:15They're calling it an extremist group. They're placing it under investigation. They're saying that to
19:20preserve the rule of law, the AFD can't have access to high-level intelligence. This is all to protect
19:28the rule of law. In France, the rule of law is being applied selectively so that Marine Le Pen has
19:36to run
19:36for an election with an ankle bracelet. So they even tried to get her off the ballot and ban her
19:42from
19:43running for an election. This is the rule of law. Think about the number of times where people voted
19:49against this EU treaty or that EU treaty and how they were made to vote again and again in the
19:55Netherlands,
19:56in Ireland, in France, in Ireland, in France, until they got the right result. So the idea of this legal
20:03neutrality
20:03is utter nonsense. People aren't governed by laws. They're governed by religion and by men.
20:11That is what's being hidden in the whole Poland discussion. That is what's being hidden in this whole
20:18nonsense around this issue. Now, there is, as usual, when you think about Poland, a German angle, of course,
20:28because who's afraid of Poland? Well, Germany. And who's afraid of Germany? Well, Poland.
20:36There is this theory that is coming around from somebody in Poland and it seems to have taken off where
20:43basically the idea is that Germany is trying... Why are they saying that Germany is trying to control
20:49Poland? Let's answer that question first. They're saying that Germany is trying to control Poland
20:54because German police were seen crossing the border into Poland and because some of the videos and some
21:00of the numbers on helmets seem to suggest that the police officers that were involved in policing the
21:08protests that took place after Tusk tried to take over the Constitutional Tribunal were in fact German.
21:15And this led to the following theory. That basically what is happening is that Germany is trying to
21:23control Poland so that it can make sure that the pipelines that are going from Russia into Germany keep
21:32functioning. I think that this is utter nonsense. It is very unlikely that the Germans suddenly discovered
21:39the importance of Russian gas and of Russian energy. If they did, they wouldn't have committed the economic
21:46suicide involved in green energy and all of that nonsense and in shutting down nuclear and all of that.
21:52And if they did, they would just push the EU to lift the sanctions on Russia or get energy from
22:01Russia directly
22:02and dare the EU to sanction its own biggest economy. Whatever the Germans want in the EU, they can get.
22:11So there is no credibility to this idea that these people are acting to try to control Poland for the
22:19sake of
22:19accessing Russian energy. I don't buy it for a second. A lot more likely is that they want to do
22:29to Poland
22:31what they did to Hungary, which is run people like Tusk or like Magyar in Hungary on a kind of
22:40right-wing
22:40platform and then once they are in power, slowly dismantle any right-wing agenda that they might have had.
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