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A Nazi stock market gamble sounds unthinkable, but for a brief stretch in the 1930s it was wildly profitable for anyone still holding German shares. This historical analysis follows the rise of Nazi Germany’s stock market from the wreckage of the Great Depression, through rearmament, public works, and the illusion of stability, to the point where investors could still cash out and flee to Switzerland.

The story tracks how Hitler’s takeover, Hjalmar Schacht’s financial engineering, wage freezes, and Mefo bills helped drive corporate profits and push stocks higher, even as the regime became more violent and more dangerous. It also shows when the market turned, why cashing out became harder, and how war with Britain, the Soviet Union, and the United States trapped investors inside a collapsing financial system.

This is history, economics, and military history told through a provocative “what if” question about investing in Nazi Germany. It is ideal for viewers interested in World War 2 economics, stock market history, financial analysis, and documentary-style commentary about how war reshaped markets.

SEO: Nazi stock market, World War 2 history, historical finance, stock market documentary, Nazi Germany economics, military history analysis, and economic history commentary. Great for listeners searching for WW2 stories, history videos, and deep dives into how markets behaved under the Third Reich.

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Transcript
00:00Have you ever looked at your stock portfolio and thought that it could use a little bit
00:04more fascism?
00:06Probably not a good move these days, what with the benefit of hindsight and all that.
00:12But for a brief moment in history, betting it all on old Adolf was a very profitable
00:17gamble, as long as you figured out a way to keep your riches after it all came crashing
00:23down.
00:24Now, to be clear, in the early 1930s, very few people were left that were still invested
00:31in Germany's stock market.
00:33After all, Germany had lost the First World War and then had to endure massive reparations
00:40payments to the Entente, a hyperinflation crisis and a banking crisis.
00:46The summer of 1932 marked the absolute bottom of the Great Depression for Germany.
00:52Germany.
00:52Anyone holding stocks had been effectively obliterated.
00:57Worse yet, the country seemed on the verge of civil war, with Nazi brownshirts and communist
01:03paramilitaries clashing in the streets and the German Reichstag paralysed between the radical
01:09left and far right parties.
01:11Not exactly what you'd call a bullish signal.
01:14By this point, only the ultra-wealthy industrialists and a few Americans you might be familiar with
01:21still held out.
01:23And they were all definitely not rooting for the communists.
01:27When Hitler took power in January 1933, the German stock market was elated and it began
01:34a dramatic upswing over the next five years, doubling in value.
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03:00have dreamed of.
03:02It is worth noting that the gains were concentrated in firms connected to the Nazi Party.
03:09Depending on how you count, no less than one in seven public companies were in bed with
03:14Adolf by 1933, and perhaps as many as a full half.
03:19Certainly, many industrialists and aristocrats underestimated how out of control the Nazis would get.
03:27This includes Franz von Papen, the man who quite deliberately bestowed Hitler with absolute power
03:34under the childish delusion that he could then be controlled.
03:39Within mere months, Hitler had stamped out all opposing political parties and had issued
03:45his first decrees against the Jews.
03:48Bad news if you're a good person, but great news for the stock market.
03:53With political instability finally solved, German stocks did have a good reason to go up.
04:00And the Nazis would soon give them plenty more.
04:03The man all Nazi investors had to thank for their years of outperformance was Hjalmar Schacht,
04:10a conservative banker personally appointed by Hitler to lead the Reichsbank.
04:16While never a member of the Nazi Party himself, Schacht nevertheless was instrumental in most of
04:22its pre-war economic shenanigans.
04:25He oversaw the vast public works of the Nazi state, including the construction of the Autobahns,
04:32which directly reduced unemployment and brought Germany out of the Great Depression.
04:39Simultaneously, Schacht brought foreign trade and currency exchange under the state's control,
04:46specifically to assist Hitler's plans for rearmament.
04:51Yet perhaps Schacht's most brilliant contribution was the financial wizardry he concocted to hide
04:57the fact that Nazi rearmament was even taking place.
05:02The infamous MIFO bills allowed Schacht's Reichsbank to lend billions of Reichsmarks for rearmament
05:10under everyone's nose.
05:12As much as 50% of all weapons purchases.
05:16To be clear, this was all leveraged debt that had to one day be paid back.
05:21Essentially, a Ponzi scheme, so it was in no way sustainable.
05:25But overnight, German industry went from depression-level stagnation to a state-backed demand boom.
05:32So everyone was happy.
05:34And as if that wasn't enough, Hitler gave German companies a further boost by banning all trade
05:41unions and instituting wage freezes.
05:43So, at the same time that demand was surging, labour expenses remained fixed, resulting in
05:50a spectacular boom of corporate profits.
05:53Of course, it was all built on a house of cards that would inevitably crumble if the Nazi economy
06:00did not go to war.
06:01But the stock market didn't know that, so it kept pumping.
06:06The summer of 1937 was the peak of this pre-war stock market euphoria.
06:12When everything seemed to go right for the Nazi economy.
06:18Someone who had bought in 1932 would be up over 150% in 5 years.
06:24It was also still relatively easy to cash out and move your money elsewhere, provided you
06:31paid the Reich's modest 25% exit fee.
06:35Unless, of course, you happened to be Jewish.
06:38In which case, you would have lost your German citizenship in 1935 and would be lucky to escape
06:45with a fraction of your wealth.
06:48Things started to turn sour in 1938 after Hitler annexed Austria and threatened to invade Czechoslovakia.
06:56Potential war against France and Britain kept investors on edge as everyone feared that
07:03Hitler might drag Germany into a war.
07:08While nobody went to war to save Czechoslovakia, the Nazi stock market remained flat for another
07:15full year.
07:16When Hitler invaded Poland, everyone held their breath as Britain and France finally declared
07:22war on Germany.
07:24Yet Poland was crushed by the Germans in less than a month with help from Hitler's favourite
07:30frenemy, Joseph Stalin.
07:32When it became clear that Britain and France would just hide behind the Maginot Line twiddling
07:39their thumbs, the Nazi stock market exploded upwards faster than a hand at a Nuremberg rally.
07:46The conquests of Denmark, Norway, Belgium and the Netherlands pushed the Nazi stock market
07:53to new highs.
07:55And by the time France fell after six short weeks of half-hearted fighting, the Nazi investor
08:02could happily look at their portfolio having tripled in value from the depression lows.
08:07Nazi stocks had beaten not just the S and P, but half of Europe.
08:12Now, towards the end of 1940, it was still plausible for you to sell your Nazi stocks and move your
08:20gains to a conveniently neutral country like Switzerland.
08:24Yet cashing out was becoming increasingly difficult.
08:28The Nazis were closing all the loopholes to keep investors locked into the Nazi financial
08:33system and the war effort.
08:35The Nazis were never fans of freedom, especially for capital markets.
08:40So, even though stocks were rising, people's ability to enjoy those gains was shrinking.
08:47If one didn't have strong connections in the Nazi party, the winter of 1940 and early 1941
08:55was probably the last real opportunity to liquidate your gains and run off to greener pastures.
09:02But Nazi investors were not immune to the fear of missing out, so most kept their money in
09:09the market.
09:10At first, their greed paid off.
09:13When Hitler invaded the Soviet Union in June 1941, he dealt terrible blows to the Russians,
09:20destroying armies with millions of soldiers in the first months of the war.
09:25Like the Blitzkrieg in the West, the Nazi stock market reacted by shooting up euphorically.
09:32Yet, before long, the Berlin Stock Exchange realised something that it took most Nazis,
09:39and the rest of the world, at least another year to grasp.
09:43The war with the Soviet Union had fundamentally failed.
09:47It would not be the quick plundering that all of Hitler's previous conquests had been.
09:53The Nazi stock market peaked in the autumn of 1941, nearly at the peak of Germany's
10:00territorial expansion into the Soviet Union.
10:04While the Wehrmacht's patrols were in sight of Moscow's spires, the Nazi stock market foresaw
10:11that the momentum had shifted.
10:13The Soviet Union did not crumble, and now the Nazis were at war with Britain, the Soviets,
10:19and in short order, the US.
10:22By this point, your hypothetical Nazi portfolio was looking less like a store of wealth,
10:28and more like a hostage note.
10:30From 1942 onwards, investors could only sell their stocks to the Reif, and not for cash,
10:37but for government bonds. So in practice, almost everyone was trapped.
10:43Nazi propaganda minister Joseph Goebbels was working overtime to convince the Germans
10:48that this was fine. But the defeat at Stalingrad shattered any such illusions.
10:54For any investor paying attention, the question was no longer about beating the market,
10:59but about getting out with more than the clothes on your back.
11:04After Stalingrad, the Berlin Stock Exchange froze its prices, and in August 1944,
11:11the market was closed indefinitely.
11:14By the time the Soviets were knocking on the gates of Berlin, Nazi Germany had no financial system
11:20to speak of, and Reichsmarks were abandoned as a currency in favour of cigarettes and Hershey's bars.
11:27Whatever fortune you might have built riding the Nazi wave was now trapped in a country occupied
11:33by four different armies. If your stocks were in companies in the Soviet zone, they now belonged to
11:40the proletariat and were worth exactly zero. But if you were lucky enough to be in West Germany,
11:47you had some chance of recovering assets, provided you weren't a convicted Nazi war criminal.
11:53Actually, you'd be surprised at how many Nazis were let off the hook at the end of the war,
11:59but that's a story for another time. When the West German Stock Exchange finally reopened in 1948,
12:07stocks of surviving companies opened trading at prices about 90% lower than the high of 1941.
12:14The only consolation for you would be that if you'd continue to hold West German stocks,
12:20you'd make back all your money and a ton more, thanks to the so-called Wirtschaftswunder.
12:26West German stocks would boom from the 1950s onwards, in no small part thanks to aid from the US.
12:35The companies that once built the Nazi war machine quietly rebranded, and their shareholders did very
12:41well. A fact they'd prefer you not dwell too much on. What you should dwell on is liking and subscribing
12:50to our humble little channel. It's free, unlike leaving the Third Reich. If you enjoyed this brief
12:57tour through history's least moral market, consider supporting us on Patreon. Also consider checking out
13:04our first ever merch, the Stars and Stripes Pinset, linked in the description. Let us know in the
13:10comments what other topics you'd like us to cover, and stay tuned for the next dubiously profitable
13:17episode of SideQuest. Why did Hitler never ride cabs? He was more of an Ubermensch.

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