One strip of the Pacific is running about 1.4°C warmer than normal—and the consequences may reach farms, fisheries, reservoirs and grocery bills thousands of kilometres away.
This evidence-based investigation follows the strengthening 2026 El Niño around the planet. We explain trade winds, the thermocline, Walker circulation and teleconnections; compare risks across the Americas, Africa, Asia, Australia and Europe; and show why El Niño changes probabilities rather than controlling every storm.
The forecast figures in this video are dated snapshots and may change as new observations arrive.
CHAPTERS
00:00 The ocean moves the weather
00:26 Welcome to Across Timme
00:50 El Niño is not a storm
02:39 What is happening in 2026?
03:55 How the Pacific reaches other continents
05:59 From weather to your grocery bill
08:02 The ocean ecosystem flips
09:10 El Niño and climate change
10:24 The forecast is an early-warning system
Sources:
NOAA Climate Prediction Center: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/monthly_climate/fxus07.html
NOAA ENSO Discussion: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html
NOAA Climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/el-nino-and-la-nina-frequently-asked-questions
World Meteorological Organization: https://public.wmo.int/publication-series/el-ninola-nina-updates
Food and Agriculture Organization: https://www.fao.org/el-nino/en/
World Bank: https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/developmenttalk/when-risks-stack-up--threats-to-global-food-markets-in-2026
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