00:00Weather forecasts are not equally accurate around the world.
00:03A new global study finds a clear gap between richer and poorer countries.
00:08Researchers analyzed weather forecasts from 1985 through 2020.
00:12They focused mainly on short-term temperature predictions.
00:15The findings showed forecasts were generally more accurate in higher-income countries.
00:20In fact, a seven-day forecast in a high-income country was, on average,
00:25more accurate than a one-day forecast in a low-income country.
00:28Geography explains roughly two-thirds of global differences in accuracy.
00:33But weather observation networks also play an important role.
00:36Lower-income countries often have fewer weather stations and radio sondis.
00:41Forecasting services may also lack staff, data, and computing resources.
00:46About 76% of high-income countries submit official capital forecasts to the WMO.
00:51That figure falls to just 19% among low-income countries.
00:54Researchers say stronger observation networks and better forecasting capacity
00:59could improve weather information in underserved regions.
01:03They also say international cooperation could benefit forecasts worldwide.
01:07As extreme weather increases, accurate forecasts could become even more important.
01:13This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.
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