00:00This forecast show an exceptionally high likelihood of nearly 100% that El Nino will persist through to February 2027,
00:12nearly 100%.
00:14This is the first time that we expressed such a degree of certainty.
00:21El Nino is firmly established in the tropical Pacific.
00:25Sea surface temperatures in the region are already well above average and are continuing to rise.
00:32Subsurface ocean temperatures are also exceptionally high, and in some areas, more than 8 degrees Celsius above normal during July
00:42and early August.
00:45This means that there is a huge pool of very warm ocean waters that will fuel the intensity of El
00:54Nino.
00:55Thank you.
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