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  • 7 weeks ago
An India Today special report on the Mood of the Nation survey examines public approval ratings for prime ministerial candidates and political leaders. Prime Minister Narendra Modi leads the choice for the next Prime Minister at 49 percent, while Rahul Gandhi trails at 27 percent. Actor-turned-politician C. Joseph Vijay enters as a new entrant with 9 percent, ahead of Arvind Kejriwal at 1.2 percent. The panel notes that while PM Modi maintains a significant lead over opponents, his approval rating has dipped slightly from earlier polls. However, voters moving away from the BJP are not automatically gravitating toward Rahul Gandhi, who receives 29 percent support to lead the INDIA bloc and 41 percent to lead the Congress party. Panelists highlight that emerging alternatives like Vijay are capturing the interest of younger voters and Gen Z seeking change, posing a challenge for Rahul Gandhi to consolidate the anti-BJP vote share.

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00:00Best suited to be next PM. Narendra Modi 49%. Rahul Gandhi 27%. Since you mentioned Rahul Gandhi, sir.
00:09Joseph Vijay has come in as the new entrant. I don't think in India today mood of the nation and
00:15even factored him till the other day at 9%.
00:18Now majority or large number may be from Tamil Nadu.
00:29Now this is of course a direct question. Best suited to be next PM.
00:34Rahul Gandhi's performance as LOP. Outstanding was 24% Jan 2026. August 2026 remains almost the same 23.
00:42Good then was 20. Now they say 25%. Add the two. There is a markup but not significant about 4
00:49% in all.
00:50Average 18% then. 18% now. Poor 17. Very poor. Sorry. Poor 14. Very poor 13. Best suited to
01:00lead India block.
01:01Rahul Gandhi is at 29%. See Joseph Vijay is coming at 12%. This is first day, first show, big hit.
01:11Mamda Banerjee is at 9%. Best suited to lead Congress. Rahul Gandhi 41%.
01:18Priyanka Gandhi 7%. Now is this the coming again of Rahul Gandhi or is he where he is?
01:27Basically, before is it coming of age of Rahul Gandhi once again.
01:31Yes.
01:32Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains on top of the pack after 12 years of being Prime Minister and there is
01:39no one anywhere close to Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
01:42You know, Prime Minister, if I may, is at 48.7 and Rahul Gandhi 21 points behind him.
01:49Then, let's, you know, just a point of clarification that it is correct that the Prime Minister is very high
01:54at 48.7.
01:55Though, when you compare to the earlier poll in February, he drops away about 5 to 6%.
02:01Let's say Donald Trump would be very happy with these numbers because he's in the low 25s, 30s, so 48
02:06% is very good.
02:07But if you take a look at Prime Minister Modi's track record, he normally goes right up to 50, 60,
02:1370%.
02:13So, this time, he needs to be concerned that it is dropping a little below.
02:18His highest approval rate was around 70% at one stage.
02:21Yes, it was at one stage.
02:22In your mood of the nation, it's down today to 51%.
02:24But as Gaurav says, if you ask a direct question, 49% say Modi's, 27% say Rahul Gandhi.
02:30No, that's the point that you have to look at, is that, yes, Prime Minister's popularity or whatever it is
02:35drops a bit by 6%.
02:36That 6% doesn't go to Rahul Gandhi.
02:39Instead, it goes to all the other leaders that's there.
02:42The second point I think you need to look at, and that is what I think is changing a lot
02:46of the polls,
02:46is what you mentioned earlier about the biggest achievements of the NDA government.
02:50I think we haven't discussed that, but if you look, political stability is one that you mentioned.
02:55Ram Temple is the other.
02:56Infrastructure development is the third.
02:59What is happening now, because of the Gen Z agitation,
03:02is that the first big thing that the NDA government provided us was political stability.
03:07That is beginning to show cracks, because status quo is no more being accepted.
03:12But Raj, those numbers are not out yet.
03:13We're going to know.
03:14I think you're here.
03:15Yeah, I did.
03:16Biggest achievement is at 13%.
03:17Yes, go ahead.
03:18So, therefore, if you look at that, political stability, as an ace in them,
03:23begins to have a little crack, because Gen Z is asking for enough of status quo, let's go for change.
03:28We're going to look at the Gen Z numbers in a moment.
03:30Just take a look at Ram Temple.
03:32Again, a great achievement.
03:34Didn't bring them the numbers.
03:35But this time, if you look at what is coming up,
03:38is that people say that the Chandachori thing has impacted the Modi government's and Yogi government's image,
03:46which could have an implication that's there.
03:47And finally, this point of infrastructure development.
03:50Okay?
03:52No doubt that Prime Minister Modi, and particularly under Gadkari and others,
03:56there's been phenomenal amount of growth of roads under Mr. Vaishnav, railways and others.
04:01But the Gen Z is saying, that's great, but are you giving me jobs?
04:06And secondly, what was seen as very important in terms of roads and everything else, is now seen, look...
04:13All that is taken.
04:15Why is this not necessarily benefiting...
04:18You see, Rahul Gandhi's performance, Congress is getting about 21% of the vote.
04:23Others are about in 10 to 12%.
04:25Large amounts of Congress voters are choosing Rahul Gandhi.
04:28He is not getting additional incremental voters.
04:32The BJP voters, those who switched to the BJP over the last 12 years,
04:36are not looking at Rahul Gandhi as an alternative.
04:39So, why is that...
04:40Modi has warning signals.
04:42There are warning signals there for the Congress and Rahul as well.
04:44There is a rationary tale which is built in right here.
04:46Quickly, yeah, we've got two minutes only.
04:47One by one.
04:48Yes, Mario.
04:49There is electoral dominance of the BJP, that's given.
04:52Yes.
04:52But now people are questioning whether electoral dominance is also linked to public trust.
04:58And at the same time, when public trust is there, does it have to do as much with governance?
05:04Or is the public trust also demanding...
05:07Why is Rahul Gandhi not getting the benefit of these weaknesses in the BJP?
05:11That's the question that is there.
05:12Let's pull out the numbers of best suited to be the next Prime Minister.
05:16And this is the cautionary tale which has been built in.
05:19C. Joseph Vijay, 9%.
05:21Abhiji Dipke, 1.3%.
05:23Over 10% of the people here, Rajdeep.
05:25And who defines this gentry?
05:27It is the Gen Z.
05:28If you remember, C. Joseph Vijay was the spark which led to the entire...
05:32How much did we debate about the Gen Z propelling C. Joseph Vijay to be the Chief Minister?
05:37And this is the lot which doesn't seemingly have as much faith in Rahul Gandhi
05:42as somebody new who they can...
05:44So the challenge for Rahul Gandhi, correct me if I'm wrong,
05:48the challenge for Rahul Gandhi is to start getting the entire cohort
05:51of those who are disgruntled or frustrated or anxious about the future...
05:58Rahul Gandhi has a role for Rahul Gandhi.
06:02I think it is weird here, Rajdeep.
06:04What I want to please.
06:05But it doesn't mean that I'm moving through switches.
06:07What I want to why the viewers won't know what you're saying.
06:08Raj, just asking you a quick question.
06:10Break the data down of C. Joseph Vijay because I was looking at the micro-detailing of your data.
06:14It really, the popularity doesn't really come from Tamil Nadu.
06:17It comes from the Northeast.
06:18So there is a section, Rajdeep, that is looking at new alternatives and they are quite...
06:24You see, again, that's not...
06:25See, Joseph Vijay is not a contender in the Northeast.
06:27The point I'm making...
06:28But he's popular.
06:29No, the bigger point is...
06:31The point is, if you have to win an election,
06:33you have to start getting a large chunk of the anti-BJP vote gravitating to...
06:37And is he a 24-7 political leader if Rahul Gandhi is not a 24-7 political leader?
06:43So where do we get the votes from?
06:45So even if the voters...
06:47Yes, just a minute.
06:48Firstly, Vijay replaces, in some senses, Kejriwal.
06:51Because earlier, Kejriwal is together at 8%.
06:53So that has moved over there.
06:55Now, as you rightly said, they have to attract...
06:58Rahul Gandhi has to attract all those who are fleeing the BJP, if they are fleeing that.
07:04I think Maria makes a very good point.
07:05The BJP is highly resilient.
07:07It hasn't collapsed in a way.
07:09Don't ever imagine that through these polls.
07:11It has just dipped a bit.
07:13It's still very strong where it is.
07:15So Rahul Gandhi has to eat into the BJP warts.
07:18He has also to capture the imagination of the young,
07:20which right now, the alternatives seem...
07:22So we'll take...

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