जुलाई से अक्टूबर तक आएगी जबरदस्त तेजी_ _ निफ्टी, बैंक निफ्टी और IT Sector पर बड़ी भविष्यवाणी

Nivesh Manthan

Nifty Prediction: 24,600 के ऊपर इतिहास बनेगा? | Bank Nifty | Brent Crude  क्या निफ्टी 24,600 के ऊपर ब्रेकआउट देगा या 23,750 के नीचे बड़ी गिरावट देखने को मिलेगी? इस वीडियो में बाजार विशेषज्ञ शोमेश कुमार ने Brent Crude Oil, Trump की रणनीति, Iran तनाव, Bank Nifty, IT Sector, Midcap और Smallcap सहित पूरे शेयर बाजार का विस्तार से विश्लेषण किया है। जानिए जुलाई से अक्टूबर के बीच बाजार में बड़ी तेजी आने की संभावना, किन स्तरों पर निवेशकों को सतर्क रहना चाहिए और मौजूदा बाजार में सही रणनीति क्या हो सकती है। अगर आप शेयर बाजार में निवेश या ट्रेडिंग करते हैं तो यह वीडियो आपके लिए बेहद महत्वपूर्ण है। #StockMarket #StockMarketLive #ShareMarket #Nifty #BankNifty #StockAnalysis #ShareMarketNews #IndianStockMarket #Trading #Investing #StockMarketToday #NiftyToday #BankNiftyToday #LiveTrading #Stocks  📌 Nivesh Manthan — Your Investment Partner!  शेयर बाजार और म्यूचुअल फंड्स की आसान भाषा में समझ चाहते हैं? यहाँ पाएँ — 📈 Latest Market Updates 📊 Nifty–Bank Nifty Analysis 📚 Technical & Fundamental Insights 💡 Smart Investing Tips  🎓 Paise Ki Paathshaala – Investor Education Program  Market ko samajhna ab hua aur bhi aasan! 👉 Telegram: https://t.me/NiveshManthanAdive  👉 Arattai App: https://aratt.ai/@niveshmanthan  🎙️ Expert Guidance  Bazaar vishleshak ke saath samjhiye market ki har chal, trend aur sahi investment opportunities.  📺 Subscribe Now – Apne financial goals ko reality banaiye!  📌 Daily Updates: Follow Us  🔵 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/niveshmanthan  🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/sharemanthan  📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/niveshmanthan_/  🌐 Visit Our Websites  https://www.niveshmanthan.in/  https://www.sharemanthan.in/  शेयर बाजार में निवेश और ट्रेडिंग जोखिम के अधीन होते हैं। सही जानकारी, उचित विश्लेषण और डिसिप्लिन के बिना लिए गए निर्णय नुकसान का कारण बन सकते हैं। इसी उद्देश्य से हम आपके लिए आयोजित कर रहे हैं Stock Market Weekly Analysis Webinar, जहाँ बाजार की चाल को शैक्षिक (Educational) उद्देश्य से समझाया जाएगा।  यह पूरी तरह मार्केट अवेयरनेस और नॉलेज शेयरिंग के लिए है। इसमें दी जाने वाली जानकारी किसी भी प्रकार की Buy/Sell/Hold Recommendation, Assured Return, या Investment Advice नहीं होगी।

Transcript

00:00Hello, I am Hurajiv and with me is market analyst Shomesh Kumar Shomeshi. Welcome. Today I have many things to talk to you about.

00:09The first thing that you will have to understand is that the behavior of the market is that on one side there is raw oil which you have seen in Lakshman.

00:15Gaikha K

00:27If it is doing so, then why is there this contradiction that we are expecting the price of good oil to go above Rs 80?

00:33The impact of being around eighty-five or so is less visible on the stock market and the currency market in the Karan C market.

00:40I am looking fine in

00:43See, the first thing is that it is visible less but it will be visible less in future also, this is a question, hence

00:52I will start like this, let's go with a little pinch of solid, so the effect may be less.

01:00Because the initial results are

01:08The second thing is that in our out list, we are seeing credit growth of 16-17 percent.

01:15And a few days ago, I won't say right now, but I saw Waspi a little while ago on support.

01:21When I went there, I had a little experience of AI.

01:44If you subscribe, then it should come down at least by 50 dollars, that is, if it comes down below 75, 73, 75, then

01:54Maybe I can talk a little bit, I won't ask, it was temporary, I don't feel like Brent right now.

02:03Due to the situation, if it is above 80

02:07And now I would say that even if it's above 75, I'm still going to walk cautiously.

02:13Till the time Nifty closes above 24600, proceed with some skepticism.

02:23Is

02:25So here crude oil is looking at us and so today the first chart I have is of crude oil.

02:31It was imposed, if you see, just a day ago it had gone above 87.

02:38is also between 85-86, so if we look at it from the perspective of crude oil

02:44So what's going on in the Gulf is that Trump is trying to get back to power again.

02:49Sometimes they talk about imposing 20% tax, sometimes they roll it back, sometimes they say that

02:54Gulf countries will invest in us, I don't know what they want and

03:14There is trouble and India may be the most troubled, the reason being given is that since February

03:22Since then, in March, we suddenly faced a crisis which no one had anticipated.

03:27There was no preparation earlier, today we are better than before

03:30A little better prepared that if the Strait of Hormuz gets blocked, how to find a solution to it, how to do other

03:39Should we find a way out or even through Hormuz if we have to come secretly, that is, between two crocodiles?

03:45How to do it after removing it

03:48All these things have been learnt a little bit in India or other countries have also learnt them, so maybe

03:55This time it will not have the same impact if both Iran and America say that when did we go and place it on Hormuz?

04:01If someone doesn't let you go, then should I believe this?

04:17This is true, but still, I mean, the way the alarm bells are ringing over the sleeping person.

04:25Is the situation not the same as it was before? Is this the situation of the market at this time? Is this the satisfaction of the market?

04:33Whatever you said, my answer to this would be Rajya ji, even if people feel that they are in a better position

04:39I don't think it is

04:41Because for the alternative of Hormoz to come out or I mean, we can say for the alternative to come out without any impact

04:49For

04:49It would take a year and a half, if it were so in six months that Hormoz would have had an answer.

04:57near everyone

04:58So Iran still does not use it as its weapon, it knows that it is a problem area.

05:05I think it shouldn't be our barometer, I am saying that because those things are subjective.

05:10We will have to work on some objectivity and whoever is saying objectivity is from 85-90

05:18Not much comes out

05:27You have to do it and there is no such cannon, you just narrow down this chart a little bit, what do you say

05:33Yes, zoom out, no, this is what happens, and we had a breakdown of Brent crude.

05:54He's below 90

05:56After the close of 90, you can put the data of 17th April, nothing else, it is just a story.

06:06This is the only data you should see, the rest you can just subscribe, what is your 90% breakdown, it is resistance now.

06:14Area will be made, it will not go out so fast

06:26There was a breakdown in yours on 11th June, the high of 11th June is 95, that will become your swing where

06:35It has started from 95, that will become your actual problem area, so the assessment that I will be able to do will probably be done before that.

06:44I will not be able to do two more in between.

06:55If it goes that far then people will not panic as they say but if it goes above 95

07:05People will panic and will talk about the leakage, we are not saying that we are going to go there, you know.

07:10I don't have it because now my answer is that Trump...

07:18Or is it his nature that he has to keep everyone confused and as many countries as there are in the rest of the world

07:27If anyone has any pine, then Europe is useless anyway, he is old.

07:32Everyone went there, someone said yes but did not have the ability.

07:41So the problem today is that Trump is ruling, no one is standing up to him.

07:48Meaning, the whole country was sitting here just to say Salam Saath Salam Saath, that is why he did all this.

07:53is working

07:54All of you stand together and go, who will be able to do anything or not, they are all selfish people, so let us do our work.

08:00Let's see how to do it, then do it like this, but don't be complacent until Brent Curud again

08:10does not go below 75

08:14This means that you are looking at the upper part and the lower part of the candle of June 11th.

08:22Whatever it is, we are just keeping an eye on it, that its closing was done in the 90s and above.

08:30Why is it happening? It had reached almost 95-95, so this is the reason.

08:41But if it starts going then there will be a big move back or the correct thing and you will see a retracement right away.

08:51This is the 38% retracement of the fall to ninety.

08:57Thirty Eight, this entire fall that you are taking, if you take it from the top that was made around 126

09:11If we take this entire drop from 126, then 38.2 is approximately 91.6.

09:18Bash has been around, so we have a lot of data points.

09:25We can understand it ourselves, Raji ji, subjectivity should not be brought into this, people will make stories and tell something to someone.

09:31I don't know, that probably seems more logical.

09:51Because he's a deal maker and that's his style of dealing, he's proud of it.

09:58This is my style

10:00If it is a strategy then it is not a responsible strategy. You are the leader of a big country in the world, this is a very irresponsible strategy.

10:10Sailfish strategy

10:13They are selfish and they are openly saying that America's interests are more important to them than the rest of the world.

10:20Let him go wherever he wants to go. So, which stars should I keep an eye on for Nifty now?

10:28Let's talk about that, let's look at the major indices.

10:42Now especially in Nifty, keep only one level in mind, keep the lower one open even now after some discussion.

10:51I tried very hard to get profit, what would I say to 20,000 or 28,000, so make it 23,800 or 700.

10:59Rajiv ji, if this structure crosses 24,600...

11:15But why is it becoming difficult to take decisions in this structure? Because the guiding events have become negative.

11:23If Brent had remained below 80, it would not have come out, which I have now made 75.

11:31I was not worried at all, I was not worried at all

11:35But actually the war is happening again, you had said that day that thousands of missiles have been made and are ready.

11:39Sometimes if it is there then it is firing missiles then the war has started, if it is being blocked then like us

11:46Balance imbalance poses a major risk to the country.

11:49Till this structure is not crossed at 24,600, we should not ignore the double top of the steady.

11:59So for now let me tell you all what I think, either you decide to withdraw Rs 24,600

12:09Expect support to form somewhere below

12:15Today's candle is Doji again, so the market itself is confused, see where I am closing 20

12:23Am I closing above the diame or am I closing below it? The candle is also such that there is some confusion right now.

12:30It is very difficult to take a decision but yes.

12:32One thing is very clear in my mind that if you close above 24600 then my mind will not work.

12:40This is the latest pattern, take risk management into account, if a double top situation is formed then it is decided.

12:51So it means to him

12:54The first thing to identify is whether it's below the 50-day moving average or, let's say, below the 8th of July.

13:00The low of this candle is where is its low being formed, its low is being formed at 2300

13:06Roughly speaking, going below this means that you should take the possibility of a double top and move ahead with it.

13:27There will be no subscription correction, this gas chamber will remain neither up nor down.

13:38Seven Fifty is your gaze along with the candle of June 24th, only the candle of July 8th which

13:46That in itself is not enough and this is where the Fifty Day Movie Average becomes completely calm and like

13:52I have read that let's take rest for a few days.

14:07Subscribe Below, do not slip below fifty and above that till the four-quarters are above the chessboard.

14:15Turn out this is the range

14:19Roughly speaking, it will be made of a thousand points, not the full thousand, but still it will be a hot fifty points.

14:28The market will remain within this range until we get clear news or it will be good.

14:34Jaye Walks is the perfect way to start a conversation.

14:36People or missiles, something else goes off, something else, more firecrackers go off, okay, so this story is nifty.

14:46Now that you understand, if the M structure is compact, then we will look at the M structure as a double top.

14:58a natural renunciation of

15:05And now we have a person like Trump sitting in front of us in confidence, so what is the target of this chart double top?

15:12It will tell you that you will have to find the target of double top because first your ridge point will come but there will be a full retrace also.

15:37And do it, just move ahead, you already have a big M structure, now you understand, 2026 is straight

15:50Let it go up in 2026, let it go up between these two, make a bottom there, okay, we will get support there only.

15:57But when the fight started...

16:01So then you will see that when the entire retrace happens then always keep watching us in the double top.

16:09I should think about what to say, now I am even asking for the sake of saying it, it may be a little confusing, strength or weakness.

16:18It means weakness, it means

16:30We will go, if something big happens then let's go down, then you can take twenty-three thousand and twenty-two thousand rupees.

16:46It is kept somewhere in the corner of the mind, just like you suddenly write it down somewhere in college.

16:55It is okay if you read it somewhere, but

16:59If you don't want to worry too much about all this, then keep an eye on it.

17:09All these things are about that, it will be 23,000, it will be 22,000, all that is after that.

17:14If you don't go then it's over, but if you don't go then there's no need to worry.

17:29The pass will continue but there is a feeling inside the mind that God blesses with the kind of results that are coming.

17:38What I am thinking is if it happens like this then July to October can be the time of the Piri Rally.

17:44Does not know the index but may be in the broader market

17:59If all this explains it, then when you are talking about the trader market, then the Mitkab index is our

18:07It is in front and it has been closed around Basat 950, two G canals are still there.

18:13But the difference from Nifty is that here you have to

18:23Whether there is weakness in the strain or not, it is not necessary to see how strong the weakness is.

18:29Pjani means I am going to speak in a very angry tone, I am also not able to understand the intensity.

18:38Upstart means no, what will you say?

18:53We will get the answer to this almost by July-end or maybe in August when the result will be declared.

19:02Micro caps will start coming, they are not there yet, so when will we have to wait for that, but very

19:09These things are strength

19:24Now let us take a look at the banking sector and IT sector and see what is the situation in them. So today, banking sector

19:32If the sector remains strong around half-century, then it can be said that it will play a role in maintaining the market.

19:40Definitely yoga

19:52So I have given you support, today I will explain some points in the bank, everyone should understand them well and try one

20:02We have higher highs but the strength of these higher highs is not very high, it is an extension of previous highs.

20:11are you the one below it

20:14No, this is the top one above the main one and the last one, what is there in it, see this

20:25There is no shake off in the one but now is shake off enough according to me if this

20:33Shake off a little bit and let 56,000-56,000 be towards friends, at least once.

20:40The heat that has built up should go away even if it goes below this, but around 56,000-200

20:47If it reaches 200-200 then the heat of this higher station will be released and then

20:56There will not be much problem in raising what you are saying for Rs 62,000.

21:06This is because there has not been enough cooling. Now to remove this, the previous pattern which is shown on your chart is

21:17You should see the length of its correction and the other rally, let me assume that this is a stand rally in this.

21:23Must stay straight

21:36So, that's a bit of a competence issue for me, but even in that, Philip Side will remember the day he gets 58,000.

21:43It will close above Rs. We will move towards 62,000.

21:50Which level did you mention, above 58,000, means you should wait for the top at 58,700

22:01There is no need for you to take the goods, now the story has begun, just just just just fifty-eight thousand

22:07Up close, we are ready, so now let's look at the IT sector.

22:14Let's do it and here in front of you, I mean, an attempt to make a bottom from the bottom, but that attempt is

22:22Very mean again I think it's scary you shouldn't be in it

22:33Based on the resorts that are coming up, I think this rally will not fizzle out immediately.

22:40If you want it, what do I think, firstly your supply has started from around Rs. 32,000

22:49Is

22:52Chances of a retrace till there will be high and now we have to wait and see if it goes below 26,250 again.

23:04Do you get closing from

23:06Unless it is below 26,250, unless the price is below 32,000, we will

23:16I want to keep it aside, it is 24,000, so now you understand that the thing worth 28,500 is 32,000.

23:27has a potential of

23:29Meaning approximately three and a half thousand points means around 10% so if around 10%

23:37If it rallies around 2%, it alone can add to Nifty if it crosses 10%.

23:44But I should not be right, yes if it works 10% then you should consider it as 15-20%.

23:50If it does, it can add a rally of around 2%, at least on its own.

23:55If the rest goes out then four thousand points there, four thousand points there, you can understand from there that

24:07If you remove 25% from there then it will be around

24:12If he can add a rally of 2000 points, then you see, it means how much 10%

24:20Two and a half percent, this five to seven percent rally, so both of them together can at least create a direct cover

24:26There is so much space in both of these that if the bank goes above 58

24:44And in the results that have come, is there any special observation whose results did you find annoying, who did you find it a sign of his weakness?

24:53We have seen the market's own reaction, so we have all seen which stock the market was happy with.

24:59I'm having a Thichi's bar

25:09The observation of the subscriber is that we have gone with the least excitation as compared to the mutated excitation.

25:15I am not seeing the situation of Biloid at this stage, in fact I probably have given the last dose from IC.

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