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Europe Today: Europa am wirtschaftlichen Scheideweg bei wachsenden globalen Spannungen

Lagarde warnt: Europas Wirtschaft ist nach neuen Nahost-Spannungen verwundbar. In Brüssel beraten EU-Finanzminister über Maßnahmen, Handel mit israelischen Siedlungen und Kryptoregeln.

LESEN SIE MEHR : http://de.euronews.com/2026/07/10/europe-today-europa-am-wirtschaftlichen-scheideweg-bei-wachsenden-globalen-spannungen

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00:02Untertitelung des ZDF für funk, 2017
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04:26was actually put on the table for joint borrowing in order to respond and to produce the recovery
04:31and what was it? RRF, the recovery resilience. Yeah, recovery and resilience fund. That was
04:38roughly the amount. And the commission went to market. We helped in the process because we act
04:44as an agent in that respect. And it was widely, you know, broadly subscribed, oversubscribed.
04:50So I'm not saying that this is the amount. I'm just saying that to go with the capital market,
04:56you need depth, you need liquidity, and you need to entice the savings of Europe onto that market.
05:04And that is, of course, ahead of the European Central Bank. And Maeve, this is a very hot topic
05:08in Brussels. And as you know, the question of joint debt is, in essence, very, very political
05:14in Europe. It is interesting, however, that she is saying, let's debate it on merit. You'd have
05:20countries like Germany, the Dutch too, who'd say, absolutely not. We've said we would not agree.
05:24That was a one-off. We do not want this to become a constant. But the debate is certainly now
05:29out there. And then the other point, just briefly, we spoke about China. The Europeans have said now,
05:34they've set out this deadline in October, we need to see a rebalancing in the trade relationship
05:38between the Chinese and the Europeans. They have posted a massive trade surplus last year,
05:43the Chinese, and the European deficit keeps getting bigger. I asked her what happens if in October,
05:48there's no deal. This is a difficult deadline, because it could potentially lead to a form of
05:53retaliation. And she told me, there now needs to be a serious, quote, conversation among adults
05:58when it comes to the subsidies, when it comes to the prices, when it comes to some of the practices,
06:03almost sector by sector with the Chinese, because they talk, but now they need to really walk the talk
06:09when it comes to a relationship that works for both.
06:12And another major topic you dived into, of course, the upcoming presidential elections in France next year.
06:17Look, there's a lot of speculation about the future of Christine Lagarde. There's really a lot of
06:21speculation as to what kind of role she could play in the campaign, but also what are the implications
06:27when it comes to the European Central Bank, because she will have to leave early, depart early. In
06:32theory, her term will end in the fall of 2027. But of course, the French election will happen in the
06:36spring. I asked her this question, some would like to see you be in that European voice. And she told
06:42me,
06:42she's not a candidate for anything, certainly not for the time being. But she's monitoring this
06:47election because she believes it's fundamental for France, but also Europe. Let's take a look.
06:51As a French, I have my own views. I keep them to myself. But what I very much hope is
06:57that the
06:57democratic process will continue. You know, in politics, the next, you know, eight months is
07:02eternity. So, so many things can happen. We will be monitoring. We will be looking at the risk level.
07:08We will be looking at all that carefully. And we hope that reason will always prevail and that France
07:14will appreciate whoever is the leader for France, that it is one key member of Europe and that Europe
07:20is the only playground within which member states, nations, even France can actually play a significant
07:27role. I'm not a candidate for anything, but I'm very keen that Europe is protected, that Europe is
07:33the framework within which member states operate, including France.
07:37I'm not a candidate, but I am very keen and may have just briefly on this point. There's a lot
07:41of
07:41speculation also here in Brussels, because let's say if Lagarde does leave the European Central Bank
07:47earlier, there could be a question because this was a package deal. She was put at the European Central
07:52Bank. Ursula von der Leyen of Germany was obviously named head of the European Commission, but this was a
07:57package. If the head of the ECB leaves, would that have a knock on effect on the commission? That is
08:02a
08:02serious question, because it created a perfect balance between Germany and France. That could
08:06potentially change. So, of course, in Brussels, everyone monitors the future of Ursula von der Leyen.
08:12Some would argue it is connected in some ways with the future of Christine Lagarde too.
08:16Okay, Maria, thank you so much for that. And of course, you can catch that full interview with
08:20ECB President Christine Lagarde. It'll be broadcast straight after Europe Today, so stay tuned for that.
08:26But now, for another view coming up, we'll be joined by Roland Lescour, the French
08:30economics and finance minister, an economist by trade, and a very close ally of the French
08:36president Emmanuel Macron. Minister Lescour previously served as industry minister and
08:40chaired the National Assembly's Economic Affairs Committee. He's in Brussels today for talks with
08:45finance ministers from all across the block. So we're thrilled to have you here in the studio
08:49to give us a little insight into what's going on in that meeting before you head over.
08:52I imagine the impact the war in Iran and the Middle East is having on our economy here is
08:58kind of overshadowing the talks today. Are you preparing for a potential recession?
09:02Well, we're not there yet. Both France and in a way, the European economies have proven quite
09:07resilient. As you know, we're not exposed directly to the crisis in the sense that there was no volume
09:13issue. We still got oil, we still got gas, we still got fertilizers. But the fact that some of the
09:20oil that was flowing is not flowing anymore to Asia has risen the prices. And obviously, this has had
09:25an impact on our consumers. You know, the oil tanks have been more expensive to fill and everything.
09:29So we've had a slow first half, for sure.
09:32But you're not in panic mode yet. You're not preparing measures yet.
09:34I mean, panic mode doesn't really serve any purpose. So what we've done is we've targeted measures that
09:39are tailored, temporary, to the people who are in need, the people who are mostly affected, people who
09:44travel a lot for their work, truck drivers, farmers. And we've tailored them. We've made sure that
09:51they didn't have a major impact on public finance, which is my job. And so far, so good. I think
09:56the
09:56economy has been resilient. But we need a recovery. I think that hopefully, the short term volatility
10:03that we've seen over the last couple of days will be over soon. And hopefully, we'll be, again,
10:08taken the route towards more negotiations, more peace, and then a better economy, which is very
10:13important.
10:13And as you say, we need a recovery. We've seen some interesting proposals by the Spanish
10:17government this week to proposing a new joint EU debt instrument worth up to 850 billion euros
10:23at Carlos Corpo, the Spanish Ministry for the Economy. He's also in Brussels. And he spoke
10:27yesterday to our Maria today. Let's just take a listen to what he had to say. And then I'd love
10:30to get your reaction.
10:32Spain is actually making a pitch or proposal to centralise part of the national issuances within
10:39the Commission, within a specific facility that can help without increasing the total level
10:44of debt to reduce fragmentation and therefore reduce costs and integrate further our national
10:51markets, our national financial and capital markets. And that would, at the same time,
10:56as I said, reduce also costs for our firms. So it's a win-win situation, which we hope to
11:01discuss with our colleagues right now.
11:02So what's your view from France here? Is it a win-win situation? Would you support this?
11:06Well, it's an interesting proposal, because as you know, usually, people advocate more common
11:11debt on top of national debt. What Carlos Corpo is advocating is for some of the national
11:16debts to be pooled, and then auctioned on the market, and then lend back to the country.
11:22So it's an interesting proposal that solves some of the issues that usually debt on top
11:28of debt can address. There's one issue that concerns me. I've talked to Carlos about it,
11:32and we need to study it further. It's the moral hazard. You know, the fact that if one country
11:37transfers the debt to the whole community, that might be an incentive for that country
11:42to take more debt. So we'll have to see. But one thing is for sure. We need euro to be
11:48even stronger, even deeper, even more liquid than it is today. And the main factors behind
11:55that, to have the euro as a top-of-the-notch global currency, we need more competitiveness,
12:01we need capital market union. We need, you know, we need the whole packet. And it's not just by
12:06transferring debt that we're going to manage that. But we do need a safe asset to reassure the world
12:11that yes, they can safely lend money to the eurozone and get it back.
12:15And you saw we had that interview with the ECB president, Christine Lagarde. I mean,
12:19she's fixated as well with the capital market union. When will we ever have this? When will it become
12:23a reality?
12:24She's fixated, and I'm obsessed. I think you're Irish, right?
12:27Yes. We have a great Irish presidency starting. It started yesterday for the ECOFIN. I mean,
12:32it starts today, actually. And I believe I had talked with Simon Harris, who's now chairing
12:37the ECOFIN Council. He's really willing to nip it in the bud between now and the end of the year.
12:42Well, they managed, though. That's a challenge.
12:44Well, that's what I'm going to say today. We need to do everything we can,
12:47both to have a deal and to have an ambitious deal, because there's no way we should water him down.
12:52And there's a lot they want to get done before next year, because, of course,
12:54there's big elections taking place in your country. How will they play out?
12:59Tell me. I don't know. It's a year away. There's still a lot of uncertainty.
13:03You know, it's going to be interesting election. And as you said, very important for France and
13:06for Europe. I started running. I was in a completely different world 10 years ago,
13:11because we had a candidate that put the European flag in all his meetings. I do believe strongly
13:16that Europe is part of the solution, not part of the problem. We have two extremes that think
13:21otherwise.
13:21Could it be up one extreme against the other? Could that be the final ticket?
13:24Everything I can to make sure we avoid that scenario. There's a big central back in France.
13:29We need to find the right candidate to carry the flag. But I'm convinced that the absolute
13:34majority of French people want progress, want order, want unity. And we just have to make sure
13:41we convince them that that's the right person to carry that flag.
13:45And just final congrats on the football. Who's going to win the World Cup?
13:47Thank you. Well, if I didn't tell you France, it'd be different, right? I think we have
13:52a great team. But, you know, soccer, football is such that anything can happen between now
13:57and next time.
13:57We're keeping a close eye on it. Minister, thank you so much.
13:59Allez les bleus, allez les bleus.
14:00Thank you so much for coming in to us today.
14:03And another topic on the table at that meeting is crypto. The European Commission has launched
14:07a consultation until the end of September in an effort to come up with new, better rules.
14:12For more on what all that means, here's our Jakobianus.
14:18If you are a crypto investor, you might know that the EU just built a massive financial
14:23fortress to tame the wild part of the markets. Brussels wanted to replace a chaotic patchwork
14:28of 27 national rules with one strict system. But here goes the surprise. The brand new rulebook
14:34might already be obsolete. Look, the entire crypto topic might be a bit complex, so your reporter
14:39will do his best to safely walk you through it. Ready?
14:45On 1st of July, the EU's landmark crypto rules took full effect. And the execution was a total
14:51bust for crypto firms, especially the foreign ones. Fewer than 1 in 5 of Europe's 1200 registered
14:57crypto companies secured a license. And those who did not, had to shut down. But the aim wasn't
15:03to regulate for the sake of regulating. Brussels wanted to stop crypto scams and protect everyday
15:08investors. And big brands like Coinbase cleared the bar. But giants like Binance got kicked out.
15:15And while Brussels was working in domestic markets, Washington rewrote the rules.
15:20Last summer, Donald Trump signed the Genius Act to back stablecoins.
15:24Ha! And if you are a bit unsure what they are, I'm here to help.
15:28They are digital currencies designed to be safe. By pegging their value to the US dollar.
15:32Like for like, but digital. And stablecoins are not a small business. 95% of these tokens are tied to
15:40American currency. And Trump is using this technology to expand American financial power.
15:46After all, money is power. But here goes the plot twist. According to Euronews' exclusive report,
15:52the new EU rules fail to regulate companies outside Europe, so foreign companies can bypass them.
15:58And EU diplomats already admit the rules must be changed next year to better address how tokens
16:03created outside the EU are regulated. Look, I know it all sounds a bit complex, but it's worth
16:08knowing what all this crypto fuss is about. And you know, if you want to keep your money under the
16:13bed,
16:14to me it's fine. I won't judge you.
16:20And now moving on to another big story here in Brussels. The European Commission has proposed
16:25banning trade with Israeli settlements as part of a so-called options paper sent to EU capitals
16:31earlier this week. A majority of EU countries had been calling for proposals to restrict trade
16:36with the settlements in response to the deteriorating situation in the occupied West Bank.
16:41For more, I'm joined here in the studio by our correspondent, Marid Gwynne. Thanks for joining us.
16:45Good morning, Maeve.
16:45Just tell us, remind us, perhaps, why there's been increasing pressure on Brussels to restrict
16:50trade with Israeli settlements.
16:51Well, yes, Maeve, the political pressure has been increasing in recent months, particularly
16:56because of the deteriorating situation in the West Bank, violence against Palestinians there,
17:01and the way the Israeli government has also been expanding these settlements.
17:05Settlements which are, of course, considered illegal under international law and by the EU.
17:10So calls now on the Commission to really do more, to restrict trade with these settlements.
17:15This is different to the calls to ban trade with Israel, to suspend parts of the EU's trade
17:21deal with Israel, calls that have been existing as well. We've heard plenty about them on the
17:25show, of course. This is about the settlements. So the Commission finally coming forth with a
17:30proposal on Wednesday outlining potential concrete options. We first reported this on Euronews
17:36yesterday. And essentially, there are three things on the table now. First would be to
17:40oblige companies in settlements to acquire special exporting licenses. Secondly, to place
17:47more punitive tariffs on these products to make it more difficult for them to be imported into the
17:52EU. And finally, and crucially, Maeve, a proposal for a full or partial ban, which is what many
17:58governments have been pushing for for months now. This will be discussed by EU ambassadors here in
18:04Brussels when they gather for closed door discussions today. And then, of course, by foreign ministers
18:08when they're here in Brussels next Monday.
18:10And the big question, everyone's wondering, how likely is it that this will pass?
18:13Well, this is where it gets tricky, Maeve, because on paper, any trade measures in the EU should be
18:18approved by 15 member states, representing 65% of the EU population. But the Commission has suggested
18:25in this options paper that in fact, this is a foreign policy tool and needs the unanimous backing of all
18:31member states, which is obviously a higher bar, a higher threshold to reach. And many feel that
18:35that isn't quite unfeasible because, of course, there are many staunch allies of Israel within
18:40the Council. And this is feeding into the narrative that the Commission might be delaying or even
18:45obstructing a decision. This has been slow coming. And also, although foreign ministers will have a
18:50discussion on this on Monday, we won't hear more until they gather next in October. So don't expect a
18:55decision any time soon. OK, we'll keep a close eye on that, Mary Gwynne. Thank you so much for that.
18:59And now it's time for the World Cup.
19:07After France booked its ticket for the semi-final last night with a 2-0 victory over Morocco,
19:13all eyes would be on Spain against Belgium tonight, who go face to face at nine local time. Whoever wins,
19:19it's clear now that at least one European team will make it to the big final. And there's more
19:24deja vu ahead. France against Belgium would be a replay of the 2018 World Cup semi-final,
19:31the last time France won the World Cup. And France and Spain, on the other hand, clashed more recently,
19:36remember, in the semi-final of the Euro 2024 with a better end for Spain. Whatever happens tonight,
19:42the mood here in Brussels is electric, with multiple watch parties taking place tonight. So enjoy
19:47the games. But that does bring this edition of Europe Today to an end. Thank you so much for
19:52your company. As always, take care and see you soon on Euronews.
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