00:00I think in the beginning of the war, the United States and Israel were aligned,
00:03but they went to war on the wrong premise, that the war would be short, will achieve regime change,
00:10and as a result of it, the nuclear issue would resolve itself, the issue of ballistic missiles
00:17supporting proxies. So it all resolves itself because the asymmetry in military power will
00:23achieve quick and absolute victory. Four months later, it doesn't look anything like that.
00:30And then their interests start to diverge. While for Trump, ending the war can help him with the
00:36election. This is not necessarily the case for Netanyahu. It might be exactly the opposite.
00:42Yeah, again, it didn't start now. It's from the terrible fiasco of October 7, 2023, all the way
00:52promising the total defeat of Hamas, the annihilation of Hezbollah, then ending Iranian nuclear.
01:05None of it actually, despite some military tactical achievement, nothing has been translated into clear
01:13political achievement of what Netanyahu promised. This is the time there are also a lot of domestic
01:19issues of great concern for Israelis. And two, three months before election, its best bet is to continue
01:27conflict and say, I'm still your only protector. Can you trust any one of the other candidates
01:33to be as your defender as I am? And this will be a decision for the Israeli people. At least
01:40I know,
01:41I think I know what should be the answer, but it doesn't mean that it's going to be translated
01:45into election results in Israel.
Comments