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  • 12 hours ago
Wildfire dangers are set to rise in London including in its historic centre, according to an alarming new analysis.Royal Parks are particularly and increasingly vulnerable to wildfires due to the combination of drying vegetation amid global warming, combined with the high number of visitors, says geospatial analytics company Map Impact.As the capital frazzles in record May temperatures, with a peak on Monday (25 May) of 34.8C at Kew Gardens, it compiled a series of WildfireView assessments for The Standard based on land cover condition, rainfall deficit, soil moisture to determine vegetation dryness, and human footfall.
Transcript
00:00You may not realise it but being sat in a central London park you could be in a location that
00:05is
00:05susceptible to wildfire. I'm here in Green Park in central London during a heat wave lots of people
00:11are enjoying the sun and the shade opposite one of London's most iconic landmarks but what most
00:17don't realise is that they could be sitting on top of an area at high risk of wildfires. So what
00:23we're what we're seeing here is conditions that are quite good for wildfire ignition and sustained
00:31burning so what we have is high sward grass height here that's very very dry due to this heat wave
00:37that's ongoing at the moment and the location that we're in has a lot of people there's very high
00:43numbers of people here. What we've done is combine all of that information together looking at historic
00:49trends in order to produce this data which shows the locations that are more susceptible
00:55to wildfires starting than other locations. So what our maps are actually showing is this system
01:01of high to low hazard in terms of where a wildfire could start. Now in the UK fires don't start
01:09spontaneously or it's very rare that they would start spontaneously so what we look for and what
01:14we analyse within our models and our data is where you have this kind of typically very very dry
01:19conditions but the combination of that with people which are the main ignition source and typically
01:25you can have a wildfire starting with something like a barbecue that gets out of control or something
01:31as simple as a disposed cigarette butt that's thrown on the floor. It's extremely unlikely you would
01:37see a wildfire actually break out somewhere like this so although we do see signs of susceptibility in the
01:44model that we've created and that would be reacted to very very quickly here in central London. However
01:50that picture is quite different on the outskirts of London where we do see trends in wildfires increasing
01:57so last summer summer 2025 we saw numerous wildfires in fields and parks around the boroughs and edges of
02:05London. Typically the perception of climate change is all related to storms and floods and things that
02:12generally come in winter but what we're seeing here in the UK is that perception changing and we're seeing
02:18climate risks associated with heat in the summer really increasing so you may not realise it but
02:25being sat in a central London park you could be in a location that is susceptible to wildfire.
02:31So
02:31you
02:32are
02:32you
02:33are
02:33you
02:34are
02:34you
02:34are
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