00:00So, at a glance, makikita po natin na patuloy po yung monitor natin itong low-pressure area sa labas ng
00:06ating Philippine Area of Responsibility.
00:09Latest location as of 7 a.m., 1,575 kilometers east of Mindanao.
00:16So, yung scenario po natin dito ay high chance na maging bakyo within the next 24 hours.
00:21So, possible within the day, tuloy mag-develop na po ito into a tropical cyclone.
00:27And sa ating latest satellite images, makikita natin itong signature ng mga brightness temperatures, itong malalamig na cloud tops.
00:34Nakikita po natin na nakaka-apekto over most of itong southern portion ng ating bansa.
00:40So, itong trough or extension, itong low-pressure area, posibleng magtulot ng mga pagulan dito sa northern and eastern portions
00:48po na kamitin ako.
00:49Samantala, ito namang signature ng mga kaulap pa natin nakikita dito sa kanurang bahagi ng ating bansa ay signature na
00:56po na tinatawag natin na southwestern living flow o yung panimulang hangin na kahabagat.
01:01So, itong southwestern living flow, posibleng magkaka-apekto over Palawan and itong western portions ng Mindanao.
01:09So, Palawan as well as yung mga regions po ng Zamkuanga Peninsula, Bar, Soxargen, as well as portions po ng
01:15northern Mindanao, makaka-apekto po itong southwestern living flow.
01:19So, as of 8 a.m., may mga advisories na rin po tayong issued, localized advisories issued over portions of
01:27Mindanao.
01:27Dito sa eastern section, inasaan na po natin yung possible na mga pagulan na dulot ng trough or extension itong
01:33low-pressure area.
01:34So, over the easternmost portions of Karabi and Davao region.
01:38Meanwhile, may mga expecting na rin po tayong mga pagulan dito sa western portions, sa portions po ng Zamkuanga Peninsula
01:44and Bar.
01:45So, asahan natin later in the day, mas rarami pang lugar yung mga makakaranas ng pagulan.
01:49So, most likely, most of Mindanao na and makakaranas rin tayo ng mga pagulan over Palawan.
01:56So, for Metro Manila and the rest of the country, so for the rest of Luzana and Visayas, generally fair
02:01weather ang ating inaasahan for today, partly cloudy to cloudy skies.
02:05Pero, na dyan pa rin yung mga chance na ng usual afternoon to evening ng mga rain showers or thunderstorms.
02:10So, for sea condition, as of now, wala pa naman pong gale warning na nakataas.
02:15Slight to moderate seas yung ating inaasahan.
02:17Possible moderate seas over the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao.
02:22And for our five-day forecast scenario, ito po yung ating scenario for the next five days.
02:28So, magpapatuloy yung effect ng southwesterly wind flow dito sa Palawan and western portions of Visayas and Mindanao until the
02:37weekend.
02:38So, inaasahan natin na tulad nga po na nasabi ko kanina, yung low pressure area possible maging tropical cyclone, high
02:45chance of tropical cyclone development within the next 24 hours.
02:48So, isang factor ito na posibleng mag-trigger nitong southwesterly wind flow.
02:52So, magiging continuous yung effect niya over Palawan and western portions of Visayas and Mindanao.
02:58So, as of now, ito moderate seas pa yung ating sea condition pero towards the end of the week dahil
03:05due to the approaching potential tropical cyclone na ano nga po pala, once it enters na par, domek po yung
03:12ating next rockening.
03:13So, possible itong magdala ng moderate thorepsis especially over the eastern seaboard sa ating bansa.
03:19And today until tomorrow, magpapatuloy po yung mga pag-ulans, scattered rains, and thunderstorms over Mindanao and Palawan dahil sa
03:27pinagsamang effects ng trough ng LPA and southwestern wind flow.
03:31And by Thursday to Saturday, so kahit nakikita natin na yung peak intensity or possible intensity ng low pressure area
03:39na eventually high chance na maging tropical cyclone, possible peak intensity niya ay typhoon category.
03:45So, as it consolidates, mas magiging compact po yung cloud structure nito.
03:49So, yung mas magiging concern natin in terms of heavy rainfall, itong effects po ng southwesterly wind flow especially over
03:55the western portions ng ating bansa.
03:58Dito sa mga Palawan, western portions po ng Visayas, western portions ng Mindanao.
04:03So, sa mga regions po yan ng Zamboanga Peninsula, Barm, Soxarogen, western Visayas, Negros Island region, and Palawan.
04:11So, itong mga lugar na ito na especially Visayas, Palawan, as well as Mindanao, patuloy po tayo mag-monitor ng
04:18mga localized advisories natin,
04:20mga possible heavy rainfall warnings or rainfall advisories na i-issue in the future.
04:25And paghanda po tayo sa mga possible na mga kapantan ng flash floods or landslides,
04:31dalong-dalo na kung tuloy-tuloy po yung mga pagulan na ating mararanasan.
04:45You
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