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八点最热报 | 过去三年,团结政府表面维持稳定,但内部其实一直暗流汹涌。双威大学政治学者黄进发指出,很多人之所以一直觉得团结政府不稳,是因为马来西亚人还没有习惯联合政府的运作。默迪卡民调中心总执行长苏菲安解释,如今的马来西亚,没有任何一个政党拥有国会多数,因此每一项重大决策,都必须在盟党之间反复协商、互相让步,才能推进,这是联合政府的运作现实。(主播:庄文杰)

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00:00A reminder before watching the video: trending websites have more content.
00:04The past few weeks have been anything but peaceful in Malaysian politics.
00:08The rift between the government and the Western Alliance is widening.
00:10The foundation of the Western Alliance itself has already begun to crumble.
00:14An allied party has declared it will run alone.
00:17The departure of key figure Rafael is a significant factor.
00:19They also started a new organization to take over the small party and fight against the Western Alliance.
00:23Anwar's unity government is bleeding on two fronts simultaneously.
00:28Therefore, in the eyes of many people
00:29Anwar's unity government is more like a
00:32The co-tenant government, which could fall apart at any time
00:35In the existing alliance
00:36Everyone shares power, yet each harbors their own agenda.
00:39On the surface, it's simultaneous interpreting, but underneath, undercurrents are surging.
00:43Anwar's unity government had initially promised to bring stability.
00:46But after three years in power
00:47Stability is increasingly resembling a fragile political slogan.
00:52The government did not collapse
00:53However, many people feel every day that it seems like it's about to collapse.
00:57However, Huang Jinfeng, a political scientist at Shuangwei University, pointed out...
01:00This is because of Malaysia's political DNA over the past 60 years.
01:03They were already used to one-party rule.
01:05Now we have suddenly entered an era of alliance-based governance.
01:08Old habits cannot be completely changed overnight.
01:12And so a most perplexing question began to emerge.
01:15When alliance politics are constantly pulling in and out of control
01:18When allies keep testing the limits
01:20Are people starting to reminisce about that one from back then?
01:24Is this the era of Barisan Nasional, dominated by a single party and based on force?
01:28Is that so-called stability really what we need?
01:33In reality, a coalition government is like multiple people sharing an apartment.
01:36You don't live alone.
01:37You are with a group of people with different values
01:39People with differing interests and incompatible temperaments are crammed into the same room right now.
01:45Golden Hair then made a metaphor
01:46Every four or five years is a good time for a coalition government
01:49The old leases will be dissolved as soon as the election is held.
01:52After the election, everyone will choose new roommates.
01:55He said that Anwar's current unity government members
01:58It's like roommates crammed together.
02:01Before 2022, they regarded each other as political enemies.
02:04Everyone was brought together by pressure.
02:07And when the pressure is relieved
02:09You'll then start to see everyone pursuing their own interests.
02:12And now, who is the most resentful roommate in this shared apartment?
02:16The answer is self-evident.
02:18It is UMNO
02:19Within the existing structure
02:21UMNO is the second largest.
02:22But he did not accept it.
02:23He's waiting for the next election.
02:25Waiting for a chance to be the boss again
02:28As for who to bring on board...
02:30That's a different story.
02:31That kind of unwillingness
02:33It is the political map of Malaysia
02:35Before it solidifies into a new shape
02:37The struggle that every old power inevitably goes through
02:41Therefore, Shaza, associate professor of the Department of Political Science at the International Islamic University, believes that...
02:44The so-called unity government is unstable
02:46The real problem isn't with this administration.
02:49It's not about Anwar himself.
02:50The real problem lies in
02:52Malaysia's political DNA
02:5460 years of one-party rule
02:56The entire political nervous system of the country
02:58They were all calibrated to a fixed frequency.
03:02UMNO has the final say
03:03The rest are just there to keep running.
03:04That voters are used to it.
03:06Officials are used to it
03:07Even the opposition party has gotten used to it.
03:09Accustomed to criticism
03:11Instead of habitually pointing out mistakes
03:13But the situation has changed today.
03:15However, the DNA has not been adjusted yet.
03:18The entire political ecosystem
03:19The evolution of species has not yet been completed.
03:22As for the coalition government of other countries
03:24Why is it able to operate relatively smoothly?
03:26It's not because of those politicians.
03:28More noble
03:29Rather, it's because they experienced
03:31Sufficiently long break-in period
03:33I understand one thing
03:35Limited choices
03:36Only by being pragmatic can one survive.
03:39Do you know that the political map only has a few parts?
03:41Three pieces
03:43You must float two pieces to form an alliance
03:44Coming and going
03:45Aren't they all the same people?
03:47Then you won't be stubborn.
03:48I don't know how to open a skylight
03:50Because you still have to deal with these people.
03:52Just keep living your life.
03:53And the most obvious one in Malaysia is...
03:56It hasn't come to that point yet.
03:58Barisan Nasional's repeated pressure on the unity government
04:01Ultimately, it did not immediately trigger a political crisis.
04:03But that force
04:05It was as if someone had suddenly put a steel bar in the way.
04:07From the framework of a unity government
04:09He pulled it out hard.
04:11The past three years
04:12Unity government maintains stability on the surface
04:14However, there were always undercurrents surging within.
04:17Huang Jingfa, a political scientist at Shuangwei University, pointed out
04:20Many people have always felt that the Unity Government is unstable.
04:23This is because Malaysians are not yet accustomed to the operation of a coalition government.
04:27Malaysia before 2020
04:30We are all one-party dominant.
04:33From the Barisan Nasional coalition to the first Simon government, it was a one-party dominant system.
04:36Therefore, we don't actually have a tradition of coalition governments.
04:41In the past, people were used to one-party rule.
04:43Then your situation changes today.
04:45It's about the change in our environment.
04:48But the DNA hasn't changed.
04:49Because you need more time
04:51So you see this problem
04:52That means if you appear again next time
04:55Operating the government
04:56You may still face the same problem
04:58Therefore, under such circumstances
05:00You need to assess whether the political situation is stable.
05:02You need to see the overall form.
05:05And not mistakenly believe that
05:07It's possible that this instability isn't limited to any particular government.
05:10Huang Jingfa believes that in the past few decades
05:12Malaysians are accustomed to a certain planting method
05:15A long-term alliance to correct
05:17One boss makes the decisions
05:18So when I saw the allies make statements today...
05:21Withdraw support and exert mutual pressure
05:23Many people's first reaction is
05:25Is the government about to collapse?
05:27But the problem lies in
05:29Malaysia today is not the Malaysia of the past.
05:32Political landscape fragmented
05:33Split votes
05:34Rise of East Malaysian Power
05:36No political parties
05:37It can also easily govern alone.
05:39Associate Professor Shaza of the International Islamic University also pointed out
05:43It's now an alliance within an alliance.
05:45Multiple political camps forced to co-govern
05:47Any allied party that threatens to withdraw
05:50All of these could potentially shake the structure of the government.
05:52But this may not necessarily be a bad thing.
05:54This was the first time we stood up.
05:57Subscribed to Saudi Arabia
05:57Sand in Sand
05:58No one is more pone
05:59We have many sand-loving people.
06:02Removing it is a matter of life and death.
06:04From both sides, truly and indeed
06:06Yes
06:06It is unstable
06:08Because again
06:09It is missing
06:10One of the days
06:34The biggest reality of a coalition government is not ideological consensus.
06:38Rather, they are both temporarily unable to live without each other.
06:40Goldman Sachs believes
06:41Today's Malaysian politics is more like a large house shared by many people.
06:46Everyone shares power, resources, and government.
06:49But everyone still has their own plans.
06:52This so-called unstable phenomenon
06:54This is a problem that any coalition government will face.
06:58I think you should look at it this way.
07:00A coalition government is like living together
07:02And you're not living together as a couple.
07:04Are you living with multiple people?
07:06It's a bit like renting a house.
07:08Of course there are love and hate involved.
07:09Each election lasts four or five years.
07:11You need to terminate the original lease.
07:13Choose a new partner
07:15Who will live together?
07:17So the current situation is...
07:19UMNO believes that
07:20Under the existing cohabitation
07:22I'm the second child, and I'm not reconciled.
07:24I hope I can be the boss next time.
07:25Next time I'm the boss, I might choose you as the second-in-command.
07:28It's also possible to pick someone else.
07:29Therefore, there is such instability in it.
07:32That unstable situation
07:34In fact, any political party could appear.
07:37Sofian, CEO of the Modica Research Center, also pointed out
07:41This kind of scheming isn't limited to UMNO.
07:44This is the structural dilemma facing the entire unity government.
07:46Every member of this government
07:49Before forming an alliance
07:51They were once each other's fiercest rivals.
07:53And now after being forced to live together
07:56It's not based on trust
07:57It relies on pressure
07:59And once the pressure is relieved
08:01Instinctive reactions of all parties
08:02Take care of yourself first.
08:31Sufian pointed out today's Malaysia
08:33No single political party holds a majority in Congress.
08:36Therefore, every major decision must be repeatedly discussed between the Mongol party and the Mongol party.
08:40Negotiation
08:41Mutual concessions are necessary for progress.
08:43This is the reality of how a coalition government operates.
08:45Shazah also stated that Malaysians need to start adjusting their mindset.
08:49Accept this new model of governance
08:52I think I believe
08:53I think I believe
08:54I think
08:56I think
08:56I think
08:57I think
08:58I think
08:58I think
08:59I think
08:59I think
08:59I think
09:00I think
09:00They have a strength
09:02You are now
09:03chief
09:03Or you are now
09:04chief
09:05You should be able to do
09:06All
09:07but
09:08That's what I think.
09:10We should perform
09:10Start to refuse
09:11Let us have
09:11Demokrasi
09:17When we have
09:36Several
09:47Group review after three years in power
09:49More and more people are beginning to have a dangerous suspicion.
09:52This political alliance, championed by Pakatan Harapan (PH) with calls for reform...
09:56Will it increasingly resemble a beautifully packaged event?
09:58But what about political fraud groups that are constantly revealing their flaws?
10:02Because what the people are seeing now
10:04It's not just that reforms are slowing down.
10:06Instead, the allied parties are testing each other every day.
10:09Mutual extortion
10:10scheming against each other
10:11So let's make a statement today.
10:12Withdraw support tomorrow
10:13Renegotiations will begin the day after tomorrow.
10:15The government did not collapse
10:16But every day it looks like it's about to collapse.
10:18And the most ironic thing is
10:19Anwar's biggest enemy
10:21It may never have been the National Alliance sitting across from us.
10:24Instead, they are allies sitting at the same table.
10:27They governed together
10:28Let's wait together.
10:30Let's see who jumps off the ship first.
10:31Who stabs their ally first?
10:33Turn yourself over first
10:34Become the boss again
10:35Even now
10:36I don't want to wait even a moment longer.
10:38This is also a unity government
10:40The most real and cruel dilemma
10:43Not everyone wants to continue the collaboration.
10:44Rather, it is everyone
10:46While cooperating
10:47For the next power war
10:49sneakily
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