00:00tonight tips off cleveland new york admittedly i'm a little surprised by this one i would have
00:06thought new york detroit i really would have but ultimately we got a pistons no show in their game
00:11seven the cavaliers just got enough whether it was donovan mitchell jared allen sam merrill went
00:16crazy and similar to yesterday similar tomorrow for that matter we have a six and a half point
00:22line in this one danny nicks the home favorites no surprise there would you lay the number pardon
00:28me or is this a you know maybe just throw the nicks money line into a parlay yeah probably the
00:37latter i mean the more i kind of think about this game adam the more that i do think cleveland
00:41could
00:42be really competitive immediately and it's not just because of what we saw transpire last night
00:48with the spurs going against the thunder and the whole rest versus rust conversation but there's so
00:53much familiarity between both of these teams and it's flooded with veteran players who have played
00:58together in a postseason environment so while i do think the nicks win this game and ultimately win
01:03this series i don't think cleveland's going to back down as much as people think now ultimately i do
01:08believe that having back-to-back seven game series that fatigue is going to kick in so if you like
01:14cleveland maybe look at a first half angle or you could just look to in game the nicks and that's
01:19probably what i'll do more so but yeah i don't think it's going to be just as of a dominant
01:25victory
01:25is a lot of people are attributing new york to having and maybe i'm wrong look new york looked
01:30great obviously against the 76ers but i guess you could argue the 76ers had their championship when
01:35they overcame the celtics in a series a lot of people us included of course didn't think was going
01:40to come to fruition but yeah i think the best approach from a side that at least i'm going to
01:45be looking at adam is for an in-game spot with new york to get a better number because cleveland
01:49has so
01:50many scores that can just get on a hot streak right away and now we've seen some of the role
01:54players
01:55step up too so i think we can absolutely imagine that happening in the first half then getting new
02:00york maybe around like three and a half less than that and that's what i'm going to look to attack
02:04them from a side standpoint so the knicks on one hand eastern conference finals last year didn't go
02:11well against the pacers and so this team's going to have a little bit of a chip on its shoulder
02:15trying to get back to the nba finals in what feels like forever for donovan mitchell now freshly out
02:21of the second round for the first time in his career this calves team is trying to get to a
02:24place
02:25it hasn't gotten to since the lebron days now i would think it's got to be the two main guys
02:32brunson i'm looking at a 27 and a half point line mitchell in a homecoming of course grew up in
02:39the
02:39new york area we're looking at 26 and a half which guy would you be more confident riding an over
02:44on
02:45that's a great question i actually just because i have a little bit less trust in brunson i guess i
02:52would go over on donovan mitchell now i do not feel confident in that whatsoever i do have another
02:57prop with them which i'll dish out momentarily but the reason that i think that brunson is more likely
03:03to stay under is just because if you're cleveland i mean you know really how to try to limit this
03:09new
03:09york team i think your strategy has to be having carl anthony town step up having any other role
03:16players step up because if brunson gets going early then you're effectively screwed and if he's getting
03:20his mid-range jumper seamlessly that's where he's going to kill you and cleveland so is a really good
03:25defense so i would probably rather trust mitchell thinking in his homecoming with coming off of a
03:32series that they just won in seven games getting some of that momentum i would look toward his over
03:36instead but the play that i did make adam with donovan mitchell now it is chalky about minus 146
03:41i took him over three and a half assists he's averaging over seven potential assists and throughout
03:46the regular season was that four and a half now that's dwindled throughout postseason play but if
03:51you're new york you want to swarm donovan mitchell and force him to facilitate it elsewhere and i think
03:56given the weapons they have and who have emerged throughout the playoffs he can easily get over this
04:00three and a half assist mark any other props that you have on the line tonight yes
04:06speaking of carl anthony pounds man i mean this guy struggled against cleveland throughout the
04:10regular season just 14 points 10 rebounds and one assist in three meetings and he stayed under 34 and
04:15a half combined prna in all three of those meetings i think he's going to struggle against mobley and
04:20allen so i took him under 34 and a half pra and then josh hart under eight and a half
04:25rebounds adam
04:26i know he's gone over this in a majority of postseason games but again cleveland a great rebounding team
04:31a lot of guys crashed crashed the glass you have those big bodies of mobley and allen it just feels
04:37like a sell high mark for josh hart who averaged seven during the regular season and didn't get
04:42close to sniffing this in the pair of meetings he had against cleveland in the regular season now i know
04:47that doesn't directly translate here but in the playoffs a little bit more worthy of going off that
04:51sample size and a one-off throughout the regular season so also count me in for heart under eight and
04:56a
04:56half boards
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