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Welcome to the official channel of Indian Express Hindi. In today’s deep-dive video, Editor Saurabh Dwivedi decodes the recent ₹3 hike in Petrol and Diesel prices.. and why experts are warning that this is just the beginning of a massive inflation storm.

From the local petrol pump to the Middle East war zone, we connect the dots. Why are government Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) facing a historic loss of ₹1 Lakh Crore? How is the crude oil price jump from $70 to $114 per barrel breaking the back of the Indian economy?

In this 'Fact to Fact' analysis, we also explore the dangerous 'Domino Effect' of expensive fuel on daily goods, freight, and agriculture. Most importantly, we decode the all-time low of the Indian Rupee against the Dollar (₹96.14) and explain the real reason behind PM Modi's sudden appeal to the nation to save Forex Reserves and avoid buying Gold.

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Transcript
00:00What was feared after the legislative elections in five states happened on May 15.
00:05Petrol and diesel prices were increased by Rs 3.
00:09This is the first increase since April 2022, but this is not the end of the news; this is just the beginning.
00:19There's a big crisis coming, written and sung by American songwriter Bob Dylan.
00:25And the signs of this crisis were visible in different parts of the country on May 15 when petrol pumpers
00:32Long lines were visible and people were seen worried at many places.
00:49But we will not support you so much that you have to give it from everyone.
00:52The common people will be troubled, the rich will not be troubled, Netal will not be troubled
01:00After the hike, the price of petrol in the capital Delhi has become Rs 97.77 per liter.
01:06At the same time, the new price of diesel has crossed the figure of Rs 90.
01:09Prices of other metro cities of the country are also visible on your screen.
01:14These can increase further, which we will discuss in detail later.
01:19But first let's take a look at the political reactions Congress leader and Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha Rahul Gandhi has made on social media
01:27Platform Expert wrote
01:28The public will pay the price for the mistake of the Modi government. The penalty of Rs 3 has already been paid and the remaining amount will be recovered in installments.
01:37Other discerning leaders also took aim and asked the question that when cheap oil was being supplied from Russia then
01:45So if there was no cut then why is there an increase now?
02:06We know that because of this, a very difficult economic situation will arise and there will be a big decline in our economic condition.
02:44Gave his statement justifying the price high
02:47The most important statement was made by Piyush Goyal, Cabinet Minister in the Narendra Modi government.
03:28It was being predicted that something was going to happen ever since the speech given by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
03:36Is
03:36On May 12, the country's Petroleum Minister Hardi Puri also hinted in this direction.
03:41At the CIA's annual business summit, he said that oil companies would not tolerate this burden for long.
03:49will find
03:49Apart from the statements of the ministers, there is also a fear that prices may increase further.
04:19All three government oil companies, Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum, have suffered losses in the April-June quarter.
04:26A total loss of approximately Rs 1 lakh crore can be incurred by the jail which is more than the total loss incurred during the last financial year.
04:33from the profit of
04:34These companies are incurring losses of Rs 1000 to 1200 crores every day. The loss is even higher.
04:42There has also been a jail which after its launch, the government has imposed a sizeable emoluments policy to keep the oil prices stable.
04:46Duty was reduced by Rs 10 on both petrol and diesel.
05:02Prices were bound to rise, discussions were already underway, it was stopped in view of the assembly elections in five states.
05:09This was because if it had been extended then it would have caused electoral losses for the Narendra Modi government and the BJP.
05:15There could have been another one
05:17It was said that this increase would not be the last; there was a debate in the government offices as to when the prices should be increased.
05:23And in how many stages should it be increased because if increased all at once, there was a fear of shock factor which could cause chaos.
05:31There was a fear of panic and
05:43The cost of economic activity increases from peak to peak, which means we saw a big crisis recently when gas
05:49There was a shortage of food, black marketing and profiteering gained strength and the prices of food items increased.
05:55forced to close down his business
05:57The kitchens of migrant workers were also affected. To understand this crisis further, we spoke to Solp.
06:02Sharma se Now let's say if I'm running a trucking line my trucks are running and Sadanli
06:11I need 3-4 percent more fuel.
06:32The price of fuel has increased, and its price increase affects other things, so fuel is a major factor in it.
06:39It rolls because of the economy that it has, in a way we can say that it runs on fuel.
06:45If fuel pressure goes up then the inflation
06:48It also has an impact and this may be a reason why it will not increase too much immediately.
06:53Look at the price, it has increased by three rupees. I feel a little sad to say this, but this
07:02Three rupees is just the beginning because...
07:07Now if you talk to any economist, he is saying that these three
07:13There should be a hike of at least Rs 10 in petrol and diesel prices because this is our petroleum.
07:22Minister Hardi Puri ji himself said
07:24It is true that normally the government does not give such a warning but they themselves have said that our oil marketing companies
07:31He is incurring a loss of Rs. 1000 crores daily, Rs. 30,000 crores monthly, so what is the cost of this?
07:39So apart from this price hike, you can do something else.
07:42Three can be stopped by what the government has done, excise duty, because it does not affect the consumer.
07:53The reason for this was that this subscription was also there but now the government has taken the first step of three rupees but you
08:03What I said was that it was 10 rupees less than us.
08:12What is the difference between the cost or revenue of the company and the selling price? Half of the recovery is inside.
08:21We will be able to compensate even half of it if the rate per liter increases by ten rupees, but saying this is for the economy.
08:30It is easy but the common people who
08:33If the petrol price increases by ten rupees, it will be very difficult for everyone, I think.
08:40This is just the beginning, gradually increasing it by three rupees, then two rupees, then another two rupees.
08:49Rupee
09:03Rupee is at its highest level in 42 months against the dollar and has gone to time low.
09:10Currently, the price of one dollar is Rs 96.14, the reason being the increase in the price of raw sesame.
09:17Because India has to spend dollars to buy it.
09:20If dollars have to be spent then the rupee weakens further and if the rupee weakens further then inflation increases further.
09:26It means there is a kind of loop. It is also being feared that in the coming days the rupee will fall by 100 rupees.
09:32The figure can also be crossed by other countries
09:48But due to this reason inflation increased in these countries, you can also see this data.
09:53It is believed that on an average this increase is 2-5 percent, which means that life is going to become expensive.
10:00I am telling you all this so that you can understand the coming crisis.
10:16According to the data, OPEC's oil production is at its lowest level in the last two decades. OPEC has a total of 11
10:22The countries include Iran, Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia from the Middle East, and six from Africa, including Algeria and Nigeria.
10:29Country is a country
10:35The production of about 100 million barrels of oil is decreasing, it is being said that if there is an immediate halt now
10:40Even then, it may take until 2027 for improvements to occur, which is a matter of concern for India.
10:46It is also because it imports 88 percent of its oil requirement from outside and
10:5040 percent of the funding comes from the State of Hermuz, even after the State of Hermuz reopens, according to the report.
10:55Due to the lack of logistics and tankers, it will take time for supplies to arrive, which is why efforts are being made to save foreign reserves.
11:01Appealed also
11:02The foreign reserve, an emergency piggy bank, is being used to stabilize the country's currency and make international payments.
11:09It is for, buying goods, importing crude oil from abroad, or any electronic goods, or
11:14Then someone
11:15So its payment is not done in rupees, but in US dollars, because it is the most accepted currency in the world.
11:21Therefore, you may have seen or heard when the possibilities of trading another currency against the dollar are considered.
11:27Yes, so American
11:28The rulers are mixing sesame seeds, the situation is changing, we live on foreign reserves, the foreign reserves of every country.
11:34It consists of currencies and bonds of other countries, of which the share of US dollars reaches about 90 percent.
11:38In addition, a large part
11:41While the country also includes finance received from the International Monetary Fund, India currently has about 640
11:48Foreign exchange reserves are worth 61 lakh crore rupees or billion dollars, which is enough to cover imports for 10 to 11 months.
11:56is sufficient for, safe
12:00It is being expressed that if the situation worsens further, foreign investors will enter the Indian market even more rapidly.
12:06may exit, which could cause the foreign reserves to fall sharply, as these investors are currently the most vulnerable.
12:11Bharose Man International Currency
12:13They are investing in dollars, hence the rupee is falling even faster, their going out will affect the rupee.
12:19The situation will worsen, and hence Prime Minister Narendra Modi also appealed to save forex, and in this exercise
12:25The value of gold has increased
12:38Expenses, gold is also important for India because it accounts for 16 percent of our forex reserves, reserves
12:44Bank of India has recalled 168 tonnes of gold held in the IDR last year, with the deadline to March 24.
12:50Reserve Bank of India
12:51We have a total of 880 tonnes of gold, but India's real gold is in our and your homes, approximately
12:58The value of 354 tonnes of gold is Rs 4500 lakh crore, which is more than the GDP of the country.
13:04Currently it is at Rs 370 lakh crore, which means Indians buy gold and do not have to spend dollars for this purchase.
13:21So while you are leaving, keep listening to the news of the war, but not in prose but in poetry, unique Hindi poet
13:29Listen to Naveen Sagar's poem, the news of war suppresses all other news, dominates, peace
13:36praise the efforts of
13:49It's a thrill to see pictures of destroyed settlements, it's embarrassing to later wonder how we survive alone.
13:57And we continue to believe that we will survive, but remember, bombs will fall anywhere in the world.
14:05So this will affect us too.
14:15The next time you choose one site and applaud the talents of another, remember that these applause
14:23The noise is creating holes in our and your pockets, my heat is reaching us.
14:31My name is Souraf Divedi, this is Indian A.
14:33Press Hindi
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