00:00John floor is yours okay well I'm gonna start with the end what you were 11 and 6
00:10mine is 13 and 4 and I'm gonna tell you how I got there you're just gonna blurt out the
00:16answer
00:16I'm just gonna give you the answer because everyone's looking at this and and when I say
00:2213 and 4 I'm sure there's gonna be a number of people that even on this station that will say
00:27oh such a homer you know Honolulu blue glasses they have six free spaces of the games and this
00:37is where I think this is going to be obviously if they're 13 and 4 a much better season they're
00:42going to win the division they're going to be a postseason team but when they get there how good
00:46will they be because in the other 11 games that means they're only seven and four against teams
00:55that are quote-unquote competitive so I think they're a better team than they are than they
01:03were last year I think their offensive line is greatly improved I think the defensive front
01:08will be better than most expect but I do have questions about the secondary and it all revolves
01:14around when will Brian Branch be back I think he's back actually a little earlier than you thought he
01:18was going to be back and Kirby Joseph that is the bigger question for me is how long how many
01:24games
01:24can he play so the free spaces six of them these are all wins New Orleans at home the Jets
01:31at home
01:32both second year head coaches but no quarterback and don't give me the Geno Smith has won in Detroit
01:39before that was with the Seahawks team that had a really good defense the Jets don't have that Geno
01:45doesn't have that he's a couple years older it's a new system for him as well and then the other
01:50four free spaces at Arizona new head coach at Miami new head coach at Atlanta in Tennessee all of them
01:58with first year head coaches Atlanta okay not a first year head coach but first year there Kevin
02:04Stefanski yeah um the wins and I'm just going to go through the wins at Carolina and this is obviously
02:14so they start three and one I've got I'll just kind of alternate here they got the loss to Buffalo
02:19and as a player I absolutely love the fact that you could be playing in the first game of a
02:27brand
02:28new stadium there's been a build-up for how many years five years because oh there's a proposal and
02:34is it going to pass is it that all of a sudden they break ground and you see the renderings
02:38you see it
02:39and then you see it going up you see the structure and you're like oh this is going to be
02:42amazing
02:43if you could hand the bills a loss in that home opener you would crush the heart and soul of
02:50that
02:51entire city which would be amazing but it doesn't happen they lose that game in Buffalo um and but
02:57they beat Carolina on the road and these are all the games that are not the free spaces week six
03:02by week
03:03seven Green Bay that's a win Micah Parsons might be back but it doesn't matter he's going to be coming
03:12off that ACL he's not going to be the Micah Parsons of old yet and then Minnesota at home that
03:19one's a win
03:20as well New England I know you had this one as a loss I think they go to New England
03:26and Amon Ross
03:27St. Brown is just absolutely going to go off and New England knows it but they can't stop them
03:33this is a game where they go there they get a big win but the hangover effect is still there
03:41so they
03:41lose to Tampa Bay short week Chicago's on a short week Chicago is a win and you put your stamp
03:52on
03:52this division you say hey we are kings of the north so you've played Green Bay Minnesota and Chicago
03:58all of them at home and you get all wins then you've got Atlanta which is a win Tennessee which
04:04is a win
04:05and you got that Minnesota game Sunday night football in Minnesota they stub their toe they lose that one
04:12and all of a sudden everybody's gasping oh is this team good enough to do anything in the postseason
04:16they lost to Kyler Murray they lost to Kevin O'Connell they went to Minnesota and lost now two years
04:22in a row
04:22but they respond with a win on Monday night football against the Giants they also respond
04:28by going to Chicago because they have made Ben Johnson their bitch and this is a big win so that
04:41gets
04:41them to their 13 wins which means obviously they go to Green Bay and lose Micah Parsons is back to
04:49his regular self and they lose but it doesn't matter because they got the division locked up
04:55they're not going to rest that's not what Dan Campbell does but they lose and the reason I
04:59have them winning in Chicago because you went all weather on us have you ever heard of the super
05:05El Nino no it's almost guaranteed that this is going to be a super El Nino year and it's means
05:15it's going to be a very mild winter so going to Chicago going to Green Bay at that time of
05:21the
05:21year everybody looks and says oh it's going to be 13 degrees no it's going to be mild maybe a
05:26little
05:26damp but they go to Chicago and get a win that's how you get to 13 and 4 six free
05:31spaces but in the
05:32games where it should be more competitive they're only seven and four and there are still question
05:38marks going into the postseason watch out Dave Rexroth we got meteorologist John Jansen over here
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