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Europe Today: NATO in Krise – Zukunft von Europas Sicherheit und transatlantischen Beziehungen?
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NewsTranskript
00:14Untertitelung des ZDF für funk, 2017
00:31Untertitelung des ZDF für funk, 2017
01:02In Slovenia, a second round of coalition talks is due today
01:05With former Prime Minister Yanis Jansa
01:08Saying the foundations of a coalition deal have been laid
01:11Raising the prospects of his return to power
01:14We'll bring you more details on both those stories
01:17In other news, Russia has launched strikes on five regions of Ukraine
01:21Including a heavy glide bomb attack on Saporizia and Kramatorsk
01:27At least 27 people have been killed according to local authorities
01:31Zelensky condemned the strikes as a quote
01:34Absolutely cynical terrorist attack
01:37The attack came hours before a ceasefire proposed by Zelensky
01:41Was due to take effect
01:43But first this morning to our top story
01:46Because the US will pause its efforts to guide ships
01:50Through the Strait of Hormuz
01:51According to President Trump
01:53But hours before that announcement
01:56Secretary of State Marco Rubio
01:58Had suggested that the US's military operations in Iran
02:01Had concluded
02:04Operation Epic Fury is concluded
02:06We achieved the objectives of that operation
02:08I'm not going to, you know
02:10We're not cheering for an additional situation to occur
02:14We would prefer the path of peace
02:16For more, I'm joined in the studio this morning
02:18By our correspondent Stefan Grobe
02:21Good to see you Stefan
02:22Good morning Merit
02:23So this announcement overnight came as quite a surprise
02:25Bring us up to speed
02:26Yes, it's another day
02:28And another surprise announcement of President Trump
02:31And as usual, it's lacking details
02:34But here we are
02:36And here's what President Trump said verbatim
02:38Based on the request of Pakistan and other countries
02:42The tremendous military success that we've had
02:45We have mutually agreed that
02:47While the blockade will remain in full force and effect
02:50Project Freedom will be paused for a short period of time
02:53To see whether or not the agreement can be finalized
02:56And signed
02:58So what does that mean?
03:00Well, it will fuel optimism
03:02That the diplomatic effort led by Pakistan
03:04To end the conflict is still alive
03:07Of course, we don't know whether or not
03:08There has been any progress lately
03:11And whether Iran is willing to go along
03:14But when exchanges of fire
03:16Between the Iranian and US forces
03:18In the Strait of Hormuz on Monday
03:21Did not reignite the war
03:23It signaled that both sides
03:24Besides our willing full-scale fighting to end
03:30And that is the situation in the Strait Marit
03:33And Stefan, briefly, what has been the Iranian response
03:37To this announcement from Trump overnight?
03:39Well, following Trump's announcement
03:42Iran touted the US failure to achieve its objectives
03:46In the so-called Project Freedom
03:48In a statement on INSA
03:50That's a state-run media outlet
03:52The statement further said
03:53Trump called off the operation
03:55Because of warnings and firm positions from Iran
03:59Now, as it stands, Iran's heartline leader
04:03Are in firm control of the situation
04:05And they want to make people believe
04:07That they are the masters of the situation
04:10In the Gulf right now
04:12And what happens next may depend
04:14On whether Trump and Iran are prepared
04:16To offer each other a face-saving exit Marit
04:20Okay, Stefan, thank you so much
04:22And of course, we'll be keeping an eye out
04:23For developments on that story
04:25Throughout the day here on Iran News
04:26But now, moving on
04:28The International Monetary Foundation
04:29Has said that Europe needs to harden its economy
04:32To a more adverse global environment
04:36In a report released yesterday
04:38The institution also warned
04:40That the war in Iran
04:41Poses a serious headwind to economic growth
04:44It said that in the most severe downside scenario
04:48The Eurozone could edge closer to a recession
04:52Now, joining me in the studio this morning
04:55To discuss more is the author of that report
04:58Helga Berger
04:59Who is the Deputy Director of IMF Europe
05:02Good morning, sir
05:03Really good to have you
05:03Good morning, Mandy
05:04We know that there's still major uncertainty
05:07Over the situation in the Middle East and in Iran
05:10But as you see things this morning
05:13What is the economic outlook now for Europe?
05:16Well, when we started thinking about the outlook first
05:19Early in the year
05:20We thought we would be upgrading growth in Europe
05:22Especially for the Eurozone
05:24That's not what happened
05:25With the outbreak of the war
05:26And the higher energy prices
05:27Things have taken a turn to the worse
05:30So currently we think that growth
05:32Will be around 1.1% this year
05:34And 1.2% next year
05:36Significantly lower than what we initially expected
05:39This is because consumers
05:40Feeling the pinch in their budgets
05:42They're spending less
05:43Investors have a higher cost of doing business
05:46So they're more careful
05:47And in the worst case scenario
05:50Because you talk about the most severe downside scenario
05:53In your report
05:53You said that the Eurozone could also edge closer to a recession
05:58Is that an increasing possibility now?
06:01We're certainly accumulating downside risk
06:03But how far this will go depends on the war
06:05And that's anybody's guess
06:07The upside for Europe is that
06:09It has become much more resilient
06:10In terms of renewable production
06:12And the part of renewables in the energy mix
06:15So any increase in energy prices
06:18While it's still bad for the economy
06:19Isn't as bad as it used to be
06:21I'll come to that point of resilience in just a bit
06:23But I want to ask you about the response
06:25Of European governments
06:26And the policies they've introduced
06:28Have they properly weighed the costs of these interventions?
06:32It's difficult, right?
06:33So on the one hand you want to help households
06:34On the other hand if you do it the wrong way
06:36You dampen the price signal
06:38That comes from higher oil prices
06:40And energy prices
06:41And people will stop saving energy
06:43So you want to target the support
06:45You want to go to the vulnerable households
06:47And help them directly where it hurts
06:49But you don't want to sort of do more damage
06:51Than good with these kind of measures
06:53And have those measures been targeted enough
06:55Would you say in general?
06:57Well governments are trying
06:58It's usually a mix of good and bad policies
07:02But most governments have in some way
07:04Or the other tempered with the energy prices
07:07Which is not the way it should be going
07:09So as time passes
07:10If the situation continues
07:11We need to be more targeted
07:13Okay, and you also mentioned in that report
07:15That Europe needs to harden its economy
07:18In a world of a series of shocks
07:21In a more volatile world
07:22How feasible is that do you feel
07:25When so many governments are seeing
07:27A big fiscal squeeze?
07:29Well, you know, the countries in Europe
07:31Will need to reform under pressure
07:32That's just how it works
07:34And Europe is usually quite good at this
07:35So we need to make progress
07:37We need to deal with a single market
07:40Which is still much more fragmented
07:41Than we would like it to be
07:42Lots of trade
07:44Lots of activity stops at the national border
07:46That's not what we want
07:47Think about electricity
07:48A unified electricity market
07:50Would do wonders for the European economy
07:52Prices would be lower
07:53They would be less volatile
07:55That is the way to go
07:56Makes the European economy more resilient
07:58And growing faster in an adverse world
08:01And very briefly to close
08:03We know there's also a big issue of Europe's
08:05Competitiveness in the world right now
08:07You did flag in that report yesterday
08:09Some small concerns over some measures
08:11Including the Industrial Accelerator Act
08:13This new measure to shield homegrown industries
08:16Industrial policy has a role to play
08:18But it's very limited
08:19Where markets fail
08:20And governments need to step in
08:22But it's not a cure-all
08:23If you want to lift productivity
08:25If you want higher growth
08:26More resiliency
08:27You have to go and do the hard reforms
08:29That help the labour market
08:31Help the product markets
08:32And as I said
08:32The single market
08:33Especially for electricity
08:35Energy
08:35Would do wonders for the European economy
08:37Okay
08:38Helga Berges
08:39Thank you so much
08:40For joining us in the studio this morning
08:42And for all your insights
08:43My pleasure
08:45Now we're moving on now
08:47Because Romania's
08:48Pro-European coalition government
08:50Has been toppled
08:51After Prime Minister
08:53Ilia Bolozhan
08:54Lost a no-confidence vote yesterday
08:57Plunging the country
08:58Into renewed uncertainty
09:00And raising fears
09:01Of a fiscal crisis
09:03For more we can cross over now
09:05To Bucharest
09:06And to Euronews' Andra Diakonescu
09:08Who's standing by for us this morning
09:10Andra, good to see you
09:11So the government has been toppled
09:13What's next now for Romania?
09:17Good morning from Bucharest
09:19Now the President
09:20Nico Jordan has the floor
09:21Because he needs to host
09:24All the talks with the political parties
09:26He has urged all the political parties
09:29To do a coalition
09:30Pro-European one
09:32And this is now the impossible situation
09:35Because Ilia Bolozhan's party
09:37Has just decided
09:39Yesterday evening
09:40That they will go to opposition
09:42So now
09:43Four of the pro-European parties
09:47In Romania
09:48Need to do this coalition
09:50As the President has urged
09:52But two of them
09:53One, Ilia Bolozhan's party
09:55Are deciding
09:57That they are not going to do that
09:59So it's a long period
10:01Of instability
10:02Here in Romania
10:03Of course
10:04With a society
10:05Facing economic crisis
10:07A very, very low
10:09Leo
10:10Besides Euro
10:12And of course
10:13Political instability
10:14And Andra
10:15Very briefly
10:16The AUR party
10:17The far-right party
10:19Also filed this motion
10:20Of censure
10:21In collaboration
10:22With the left-wing socialists
10:24What are their next moves
10:26From the far-right
10:29Well, they had a lot of gaining
10:31Before doing this motion
10:35Against the government
10:38And of course
10:39They gained a lot of likes
10:42As they were saying
10:43On Facebook yesterday
10:44So now
10:45They are playing everyone
10:46We are really looking
10:48Into how they are going
10:49To do their cards
10:51In the next days
10:53Because
10:53They are saying
10:55That they can go
10:56With the Prime Minister
10:58And they can propose
11:00Of course
11:01To do the government
11:02At the Kotrochen Palace
11:03But again
11:04Nikush Ordan
11:05Has said
11:06That he doesn't want
11:08A government
11:09Against EU
11:10He wants
11:11A pro-European one
11:12Okay, Andra
11:13In Bucharest
11:14For us this morning
11:15Thank you so much
11:17Now
11:18Another EU country
11:19Fighting a political deadlock
11:21Is Slovenia
11:22A knife-edge election
11:23In March
11:24Delivered an inconclusive result
11:26Despite the ruling
11:27Liberals
11:28Initially claiming victory
11:30Now
11:30Former Prime Minister
11:31Janis Jansa
11:32Is hinting
11:33That he could form
11:34A coalition government
11:35For more
11:37We're joined by
11:37Alia Pengov-Bitenk
11:39A Slovenian political analyst
11:41And journalist
11:41Really good to have you
11:42With us this morning
11:43Tell us first
11:45How likely is it
11:46In your view
11:46That Janis Jansa
11:48Could return to power
11:50Good morning
11:51And thank you
11:51For having me
11:52To answer a question
11:54It is highly likely
11:55He seems to be
11:56The only one
11:57Able to command
11:59Something akin
12:00To a majority
12:01In the parliament
12:01As shaky
12:03As that majority
12:04Will probably
12:05Turn out to be
12:06And so
12:07What would that mean
12:08Then for Slovenia
12:09As you mentioned
12:10A shaky majority
12:11And for the European Union
12:12As well
12:14Well in terms of
12:15European Union
12:15I suspect
12:17Not much
12:18Janis Jansa
12:19Was something
12:20Of a player
12:21In his last stint
12:22As prime minister
12:23Not in the least
12:25On account of
12:25Viktor Orban
12:26Being in power
12:27In Hungary
12:27And now that
12:28That has changed
12:29Recently
12:30He has lost
12:31One big potential ally
12:33As far as
12:34Slovenia is concerned
12:35There are of course
12:36Challenges
12:37The draft coalition
12:39Agreement
12:40That was sort of
12:41Endorsed yesterday
12:42Points those out
12:44However
12:44The narrative
12:45That is spreading
12:46Within the
12:48Janja
12:49Rather
12:49Right wing circles
12:50In Slovenia
12:52Is something quite
12:53Different
12:53And it seems
12:54To be a rather
12:55Suspect
12:56Return to
12:57Bashing NGOs
12:58And public media
12:59Probably even
13:00Academia
13:01This time around
13:01So we might get
13:03A little bit of
13:04Reform oriented
13:05Official policies
13:06And a lot of
13:07Right wing populism
13:09Unofficially
13:10And narrative wise
13:11And very briefly
13:12To close
13:13It was a very
13:13Tight
13:14Knife edge
13:15Election
13:16What has
13:17Slovenia
13:17Do you think
13:18Learned from
13:18That experience
13:20Well first of all
13:22The fact that
13:23Active citizenship
13:24Can go both ways
13:25The turnout
13:26Was
13:27This was the
13:27Second election
13:28In the row
13:29With a huge
13:30Turnout
13:30So that is
13:31Encouraging
13:31But also
13:32That you know
13:33Choices need
13:34To be made
13:35Responsibly
13:36Whichever way
13:37The government
13:38Goes in the end
13:38Okay
13:39Alia Pengov-Bitenk
13:41There for us
13:41Thank you so much
13:42For that analysis
13:44Thank you
13:44Now we're moving on
13:46Because of Marco Rubio
13:47The US Secretary of State
13:48Is heading to Rome
13:49And the Vatican
13:50To mend
13:51Strained ties
13:52As Jakob Janus
13:54Explains
13:57US Secretary of State
13:58Marco Rubio
13:59Has a new mission
14:00He visits
14:01The Holy See
14:01And Rome
14:02Tomorrow
14:02And as a Catholic
14:04Rubio is the mediator
14:05After the fallout
14:06Between Donald Trump
14:07And the first American
14:08Born pontiff
14:09Pope Leo XIV
14:10But what does it mean
14:12For Europe
14:14Relations are strained
14:16After Trump
14:16Publicly labelled
14:17The Pope
14:18As weak
14:18Due to the Holy See's
14:20Vocal opposition
14:20To the US-Israeli war
14:22On Iran
14:22In a bid
14:24To calm tensions
14:25Rubio is meeting
14:26Cardinal Pietro Parolin
14:27The Vatican's top diplomat
14:29And Parolin
14:30Has been a key figure
14:31In the Vatican's
14:32Calls for Peace
14:33In the Iran War
14:35And as he visits Rome
14:36US Secretary of State
14:38Will also meet
14:39With Italian
14:39Foreign Minister
14:40Antonio Tajani
14:41And Defense Minister
14:42Guido Crosetto
14:43To discuss security topics
14:45But there is also
14:46A bigger picture
14:47After Italian Prime Minister
14:49Giorgia Meloni
14:50Defended the Pope
14:51Trump questioned her courage
14:53And threatened to withdraw
14:54US troops from Italy
14:55And it is no small footprint
14:57As there are currently
14:58Around 13,000 US military personnel
15:01Based across seven naval bases
15:03In Italy
15:03And with US midterm elections
15:06Approaching
15:06The administration is wary
15:08Of alienating Catholic voters
15:09Especially as the Pope
15:11Continues to say
15:12That God doesn't listen
15:13To the prayers of those
15:14Who wage war
15:15And looking back
15:17At the rich
15:18And complicated history
15:19Of European Catholicism
15:20One could even say
15:22That coming back
15:22To the Vatican
15:23After a spot
15:24Is the most European thing
15:26The Trump administration
15:27Has done so far
15:33Jakob Janis there
15:34Now
15:35Baroness Catherine Ashton
15:37Was the EU's
15:38Foreign policy chief
15:39Between 2009
15:40And 2014
15:42Just before that
15:43She briefly served
15:44As the EU's
15:45Trade commissioner
15:46And brokered a deal
15:47With the US
15:48Following a long-standing
15:50Dispute over beef exports
15:52Our correspondent
15:53Angela Skugins
15:54Caught up with
15:55Baroness Ashton
15:56Yesterday
15:57And started by asking
15:58Her what advice
15:59She'd have
16:00For the current
16:01EU trade chief
16:02Maros Shevkovic
16:03As he seeks
16:04To salvage
16:05The EU's
16:06Fraught trade deal
16:07With the US
16:09What I would say
16:10Is that it's really
16:12In the interests
16:12Of business
16:13Right across Europe
16:14Especially
16:15To have some
16:16Consistency
16:17And certainty
16:18About the markets
16:19They're dealing with
16:20And we do have
16:21A president
16:21That sees
16:22The willingness
16:24Of others
16:26To kind of
16:26Talk to him
16:27About trade
16:28As both
16:29An important
16:30Part of the
16:31Conversation
16:31But in a sense
16:32Almost to weaponise it
16:34To make clear
16:35That if we don't
16:36Do things
16:37That he thinks
16:38Are really important
16:38Then we can't
16:40Expect the benefits
16:41And it's very
16:42Transactional
16:43And he's always
16:43Been very clear
16:44As the president
16:44That he takes
16:46That view
16:47That being a
16:48Transactional president
16:49Is the way
16:50That he wants
16:50To go forward
16:51And I think
16:52That's really
16:53How Europe
16:54Has to respond
16:54Or any country
16:55Has to respond
16:56Is to try and
16:57Work through that
16:58It is very difficult
17:00Because of the
17:01Changing landscape
17:02But in the end
17:04This all comes
17:05Down to the fact
17:06That with all
17:07That's happening
17:08Especially in the
17:09Middle East right
17:10Now we are
17:11Moving to a time
17:12When there are
17:13Additional issues
17:14Globally that we're
17:16All going to have
17:16To grapple with
17:17And so the more
17:18That we can work
17:19Together on trade
17:20The better
17:21During your post
17:22As the EU's
17:22Top diplomat
17:23You negotiated
17:24With Iran
17:24To temporarily
17:25Curve some of
17:26That country's
17:27Nuclear activities
17:29For sanction
17:30Relief
17:31You clearly know
17:31How to speak
17:32To the Middle
17:32Eastern country
17:34Diplomatically
17:35How would you
17:36Currently assess
17:36The way that
17:37Trump is
17:39Speaking with
17:40Tehran and the
17:41Tenor from the
17:41EU as well
17:42In particular
17:42I think there's
17:43A different approach
17:44That's being taken
17:45It's much more
17:46To raise the
17:48Temperature
17:48Rather than to
17:49Lower it
17:50And it's a bit
17:51Of ensuring
17:53That there's
17:53A complete
17:54Clarity about
17:55What could
17:56Happen
17:56So the
17:56Critical thing
17:57Seems to be
17:58To address
17:58The Straits
17:59Of Hormuz
17:59And to find
18:01Ways that you
18:01Can get
18:02These open
18:02Because of
18:03The impact
18:04That it's
18:05All having
18:05Globally
18:06And actually
18:06Then start
18:07To build up
18:08A negotiation
18:09That can resolve
18:11The conflict
18:11Altogether
18:12The UK
18:12Could pay
18:13One billion
18:14Pounds to have
18:15Greater access
18:15To the single
18:16Market
18:17We know
18:17That the
18:17British Prime
18:18Minister
18:18Keir Starmer
18:19Wants to
18:20Reset relations
18:21Between the
18:22EU and the
18:23UK
18:23But some
18:24Critics
18:24Have
18:26Criticised
18:26This news
18:27Stating that
18:28It's merely
18:28Pay to
18:29Play
18:29What do
18:30You make
18:30Of this
18:32There's no
18:32Question that
18:33Keir Starmer
18:34The Prime
18:34Minister
18:35And many
18:36Of his
18:36Colleagues
18:36Have
18:37Absolutely
18:37Recognised
18:38That there
18:39Is a need
18:40To get
18:40Closer
18:40To the
18:41European
18:41Union
18:42And to
18:42Europe
18:42Generally
18:43That's
18:44Partly
18:44Because of
18:45The security
18:46And defence
18:47Issues
18:47That we're
18:48Confronted
18:48With
18:48Not least
18:49The war
18:50In Ukraine
18:51But also
18:52The economic
18:53Realities
18:53Of the world
18:54In which we
18:55Live
18:55And I think
18:56All of this
18:56Talk
18:57Now about
18:58What money
18:59Is
18:59What should
18:59Be done
19:00How it
19:00Would work
19:01Is really
19:02All about
19:02Laying the
19:02Groundwork
19:03For the
19:03Summit
19:04Which is
19:04Coming
19:04I hope
19:05In the
19:05Next
19:06Few
19:06Months
19:07Where they
19:08Can actually
19:08Start to
19:09Bed this
19:09Down
19:09And make
19:10Sense
19:10Of it
19:13Our
19:14Correspondent
19:15Angela
19:15Scudgen
19:16Speaking
19:16To
19:16Baroness
19:17Catherine
19:17Ashton
19:17There
19:18But that's
19:18It from
19:18Us
19:19Today
19:19Thank you
19:19For choosing
19:20To start
19:20Your day
19:21With Europe
19:22Today
19:22This morning
19:23Remember
19:23We want
19:24To hear
19:24From you
19:25Send us
19:25Your feedback
19:26By emailing
19:26Us at
19:27Europe
19:27Today
19:27At
19:27Euronews
19:28Dotcom
19:29And we'll
19:29See you
19:29Again
19:30Tomorrow
19:32To be
19:33To be
19:33To be
19:33To be
19:41To be
19:43To be
19:49To be
19:49To be
19:49To be
19:49To be
19:49To be
19:49To be
19:53To be
20:00Untertitelung des ZDF für funk, 2017
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