00:00Why the political crisis that lives in Venezuela for the election of Nicolás Maduro
00:03has consequences in the peace negotiations with the armed armed forces of Colombia?
00:07There are two important things that help understand the key role of this country in the dynamics of organizations
00:12such as the guerrilla of the ELN and the dissident of the Farc.
00:15The first is that these groups have a binational character,
00:18because several of their structures have no only on the coast of Colombia,
00:22but also on the other side of the border.
00:24No hay que olvidar, for example,
00:25that leaders disidentes like Jesús Santrich, El Paisa y Edinson Romagna
00:29were assassinated in the Venezuelan territory.
00:31The second point has to do with the historical support that this country has given to the peace process
00:36with the rebel groups of Colombia since the 1990s,
00:39under the role of a guarantor, as a leader of the dialogue or as a facilitator.
00:43In fact, in the last few months,
00:44they have carried out in Caracas some of the rounds of negotiations
00:47of the government of Gustavo Petro with the Ejército de Liberación Nacional
00:50and the II Marquitalia, the dissident of the Farc,
00:53commanding by Iván Márquez.
00:54So, at the end of the tension that they have taken out
00:56the denunciations of lack of transparency in the elections,
00:59in Colombia has increased the concern
01:01for the coletazo of the Venezuelan crisis in the dialogue of peace.
01:05The issue no necessarily has to do with who he is in power,
01:08but would expect that,
01:09under an event of the government of Edmundo González,
01:11also the negotiations with the ELN and the dissident.
01:14The question is rather if Venezuela is able to maintain his role,
01:18as explained Andrés Preciado,
01:20an investigator of the Fundación Ideas para la Paz.
01:22The political crisis also makes the disponibility of resources
01:27and political support that had in those processes,
01:30in particular, the ELN, the II Marquitalia,
01:32the Estado Mayor Central,
01:34from Venezuela, will be limited.
01:36And I think that there has to think Colombia
01:40and evaluate how much will a country
01:43is guaranteed that no one has a disposition
01:46and that there is a political problem
01:48that is enough grave to not be able to pay attention to this type of things.
01:51The question is about the impact of the political crisis in the process of peace
01:56with the ELN, which has been several months quiet.
01:59From some sectors,
02:00it has pointed out that the guerrilla supported the government of Maduro
02:03and was interested in maintaining the dialogues
02:05until the elecions develop.
02:07But now,
02:08with the tension in the country
02:10and the pressure of the international community
02:12to clarify the denunciations,
02:14it is possible that even more complex the situation with the ELN,
02:17a par that it creates the risk of difficulties in the frontier areas.
02:21If you want to stay aware of the development of this topic,
02:24we invite you to visit the website and the social networks
02:26of Colombia Más 20 and El Espectador.
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