- 8 hours ago
आज के शेयर बाजार में क्या हो रहा है? निफ्टी और बैंक निफ्टी किस दिशा में बढ़ रहे हैं? इस लाइव मार्केट एनालिसिस में हम बाजार की हर छोटी-बड़ी मूवमेंट को समझेंगे। हमारे खास मेहमान Shomesh Kumar आज बताएंगे महत्वपूर्ण लेवल्स, ट्रेडिंग रणनीति, और किन स्टॉक्स में आज बड़ा मौका बन सकता है। इस लाइव सेशन में निवेशकों के हर सवाल का विशेषज्ञों द्वारा जवाब दिया जाएगा। चाहे आप डे-ट्रेडर हों या लॉन्ग-टर्म निवेशक, यह विश्लेषण आपके लिए बेहद उपयोगी है। जुड़े रहें और मार्केट की ताज़ा अपडेट्स पाएं।
📌 Nivesh Manthan — Your Investment Partner!
शेयर बाजार और म्यूचुअल फंड्स की आसान भाषा में समझ चाहते हैं?
यहाँ पाएँ —
📈 Latest Market Updates
📊 Nifty–Bank Nifty Analysis
📚 Technical & Fundamental Insights
💡 Smart Investing Tips
🎓 Paise Ki Paathshaala – Investor Education Program
Market ko samajhna ab hua aur bhi aasan!
👉 Telegram: https://t.me/NiveshManthanAdive
👉 Arattai App: https://aratt.ai/@niveshmanthan
🎙️ Expert Guidance
Bazaar vishleshak ke saath samjhiye market ki har chal, trend aur sahi investment opportunities.
📺 Subscribe Now – Apne financial goals ko reality banaiye!
📌 Daily Updates: Follow Us
🔵 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/niveshmanthan
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/sharemanthan
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/niveshmanthan_/
🌐 Visit Our Websites
https://www.niveshmanthan.in/
https://www.sharemanthan.in/
शेयर बाजार में निवेश और ट्रेडिंग जोखिम के अधीन होते हैं। सही जानकारी, उचित विश्लेषण और डिसिप्लिन के बिना लिए गए निर्णय नुकसान का कारण बन सकते हैं। इसी उद्देश्य से हम आपके लिए आयोजित कर रहे हैं Stock Market Weekly Analysis Webinar, जहाँ बाजार की चाल को शैक्षिक (Educational) उद्देश्य से समझाया जाएगा।
यह पूरी तरह मार्केट अवेयरनेस और नॉलेज शेयरिंग के लिए है। इसमें दी जाने वाली जानकारी किसी भी प्रकार की Buy/Sell/Hold Recommendation, Assured Return, या Investment Advice नहीं होगी।
📌 Nivesh Manthan — Your Investment Partner!
शेयर बाजार और म्यूचुअल फंड्स की आसान भाषा में समझ चाहते हैं?
यहाँ पाएँ —
📈 Latest Market Updates
📊 Nifty–Bank Nifty Analysis
📚 Technical & Fundamental Insights
💡 Smart Investing Tips
🎓 Paise Ki Paathshaala – Investor Education Program
Market ko samajhna ab hua aur bhi aasan!
👉 Telegram: https://t.me/NiveshManthanAdive
👉 Arattai App: https://aratt.ai/@niveshmanthan
🎙️ Expert Guidance
Bazaar vishleshak ke saath samjhiye market ki har chal, trend aur sahi investment opportunities.
📺 Subscribe Now – Apne financial goals ko reality banaiye!
📌 Daily Updates: Follow Us
🔵 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/niveshmanthan
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/sharemanthan
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/niveshmanthan_/
🌐 Visit Our Websites
https://www.niveshmanthan.in/
https://www.sharemanthan.in/
शेयर बाजार में निवेश और ट्रेडिंग जोखिम के अधीन होते हैं। सही जानकारी, उचित विश्लेषण और डिसिप्लिन के बिना लिए गए निर्णय नुकसान का कारण बन सकते हैं। इसी उद्देश्य से हम आपके लिए आयोजित कर रहे हैं Stock Market Weekly Analysis Webinar, जहाँ बाजार की चाल को शैक्षिक (Educational) उद्देश्य से समझाया जाएगा।
यह पूरी तरह मार्केट अवेयरनेस और नॉलेज शेयरिंग के लिए है। इसमें दी जाने वाली जानकारी किसी भी प्रकार की Buy/Sell/Hold Recommendation, Assured Return, या Investment Advice नहीं होगी।
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00Hello, I am Rajeev and joining me is market analyst Shomesh Kumar Shomesh, you are most welcome to the market.
00:08Today in Badwar there was a very good greenery and Nifty has 388, big fat Maliji of four hundred
00:15The surrounding
00:16There was a boom, a very good increase, but even after this increase, there was still some tension in the minds of the people.
00:24Looking at the one and a half month that has passed, one must be afraid that tomorrow some new game will start again.
00:30No one should come, no story should come right now.
00:45How to deal with it, I would say that whatever they say, keep it aside and
00:53If you make your strategy based on the best and expected price, then my understanding is that the bottom is in place right now.
01:01Till now the data says this and looking at it it also seems
01:04It is true that even Rafli Vogh is tired of fighting, resources are becoming very scarce, so one
01:12They are attacking others but also want someone to somehow try to prove themselves victorious.
01:20And after that the war is over, now there is some tussle going on.
01:26But they also want a solution, it seems clear, I don't know whether the market will fall further in this.
01:34Whether it is possible or not, if it is a matter of development news then it is not in my power to comment on it.
01:39The data is showing that volatility
01:56If it reaches around 22,300 on a closing basis, I will understand that the bottom has been formed.
02:05There are many supports on the other side too, I will tell you about them too but one final thing is to understand whether there is any problem or not.
02:10Maybe we have to assume that 22,300 is our final bottom, something in between
02:18last time understanding
02:22Keep in mind that if 23,300 or understand that 23,000, if you want to take a process deviation, if 23
02:32If the close starts coming below ,000 then the market should be closed once and then
02:39If we have to rethink, then looking at it we can say this because the market is giving a good pullback and volatility continues.
02:48will do 23,000 roundabouts
02:51Keep a benchmark for yourself, until it breaks, everything you want and then
02:59wait and watch Sir, now two numbers are coming out from your point that the same
03:06First of all, you should keep an eye on 22,300, it seems that the bottom has been formed, the second thing is that
03:13around 23,200
03:14The gap that you are seeing, is there any possibility of filling this gap if it reaches 23,000 or
03:23Even if you save 23,200, what if it comes down once to fill this gap?
03:27At that time, the work of buy tips has to be done.
03:33Since we are not in the outcome zone, sooner or later volatility may fill this gap.
03:39There are two things, one is the war going on in the country and second is our result.
03:45This could remain volatile and there are chances that the gap may get filled.
03:50It would be better to have patience and pick up the pace when the market falls and then move up when it starts rising.
03:59You should not buy it now, it will remain volatile, then the same problem will arise that the market starts falling, then you will not lose courage.
04:07does not remain
04:08I will only say that if it falls then if the risk is uptight then buy it and if the risk is uptight means risk at one time
04:17If you cannot take it after that then if it closes below 23,000 then exit.
04:23Then see what to do, then data, then we will see further why
04:28So what this means is that right now you are having a runway rally, meaning if a big worry ends then
04:35After that the clouds started moving upwards, now you are not seeing it like that, you are just guessing it.
04:41that yes you will find the below afirs and
04:47No, there will be no chance of a runway rally happening in this month, even if there is, you should understand that it is the last
04:55Around a week because this is their ceasefire deadline till 22nd April and this
05:02What kind of solution can you try to find in the middle?
05:05There is development, international pressure is there, we are seeing China, Russia, everyone is coming in between, so if
05:11The market is also going to rally, my guess is that the market will try a little before the last seven days.
05:20will remain in this mode until
05:30Where will you find resistance first because you have seen a good rally from the bottom if you trade between 22-200
05:38Look around, you have made a bottom there and from 22-200 you are at 24-200
05:43The two-color rally has come from the bottom within a few days, i.e., just eight trading sessions.
05:50There has been a two-point rally inside, where do you think a resistance will be created?
05:57Which still has to be crossed in this round
05:59At least it will be difficult.
06:29From here today's high is 24272, according to you it is a resistance, a little above
06:39If you go to 50 day movie, then this is the line on the viewer viewing chart.
06:45This is the line of resistance as 50 Day Movie Abrez
06:49It can work and if we get support from some more good news here, then what
06:59Let us take the possibility that it may not stop at 24500 and may continue for some time.
07:05Let's go towards here 200 day movie Abraz is going on
07:11All possibilities are open, Rajial ji, I cannot say that it will not happen, but at the place where it is
07:18This resistance zone is coming on many parameters, so it is possible to correct it a little and then
07:25Move but as fast as you can
07:42There is a possibility of all these things because your market has dipped right now and the governing circumstances are a little bit different.
07:57If the conditions are favourable, then there are chances that this recovery may go a little higher, but then see that many
08:07�
08:07Things will play out, the report on 26th GDP, global growth, sorry, our result is coming.
08:18The commentary will come, there are many stumbling blocks ahead, so there will be no one-way movement.
08:25That if we accept that Gashnun Bhauli is yours then this personal damage is yours.
08:45It will create a problem that how fast we would still go out after the April-March post results.
08:54Now he will push back three times better than me, this bad thing has happened to him, but still if here
09:02Even if things stop and things start getting better, the damage will not be so big that recovery will not be possible.
09:07I will understand that it cannot be done and
09:16If it is assumed that this bottom has been formed then the fit trajectory upside will have to be seen and time will have to be given.
09:26If we look at mid cap and small cap here, there is also a lot of good growth there today.
09:32We have seen a rally in the mid-cap and small-cap indices, with gains around two-thirds.
09:37It is moving forward with a very fast rise
09:42And here you have two gaps in front of you. Right now we talked about only one gap in Nifty.
09:46You have two gaps here and it's back to the 200-a-moi average (mit cap)
09:52So is it possible that now the leadership is being given to Mit Cap?
10:12and the one that is wearing around 60,000 now is not going to come out easily so if
10:23Even if there is a reversal, the market will find some balance and then there will be a correction again.
10:30I will repeat it and I always repeat this thing.
10:34Our market moves in one direction, when it falls it falls and when it rises it rises and
10:41I say this every time, I will repeat this thing every time, but even after explaining, people still say
10:48So you should look at the chart carefully as
10:52It was continuously falling, life is increasing and the market is ours, so I don't feel like doing this at all.
11:09When you are running to the market, go and buy something.
11:13Whatever cash you have, keep it and buy things during the fall here.
11:22Look at the chart, this is the chart of Mitcap, you can see it very easily here, February
11:33This is a rounding top from the end of the dozer twenty-five.
11:37As it was being made and if you had asked me in January, I would have asked you till mid-February also.
11:45We had no concrete reason as to why this rounding top would form, but the chart was ready for this.
11:53Rounding bottom
11:54So for this rounding top also the actual shape depends on how the plinth is.
12:02They are shaping up, this consolidation happens from twelve to eighteen to maybe twenty-four.
12:09Which we also saw from 21 to 23, then this B...
12:24So, I repeat this thing that the market does not make money for one to two years.
12:29He gives it and if one year is a bad year, then if he takes it away then the December quarter
12:39One thing was clear from the results that improvement was
12:54Now this is such a concern that all the efforts will go in vain, those who say that now everyone should do this.
13:04I poured water on the ment, so this grand talk of yours now becomes a choking thing to say.
13:13What I mean to say is that this has become such a big problem now that it may be
13:18If your consolidation continues like this for two years, the amount below Rs 60,000 will not remain that much but they
13:25Also 52, 53,000 it may be a little longer that the consolidation lasts for about two years
13:33Only it could get out
13:45But if we are looking at this rounding top now, then the rounding top was created and after that the correction came and
13:54It is seeing a rapid comeback from there.
13:58So let us tell this to Mr. Trump and to the war between Iran and America, just this chart which
14:03When in this way, after all, the Mitkap index is also a big index.
14:11If the index is large enough, then your pass will be rounded up.
14:20If a top is formed and there is a sharp retracement from a significant retracement level such as the System Point Percentage, what does the chart show?
14:28He says in such a situation, will there be further consolidation or will we cross the previous top and move ahead?
14:35there is a possibility of
14:36There is a possibility that some government support steps may be provided to complete the entire Pori Paul and recovery from COVID.
14:47is about to deliver
14:48Whatever sector, a skydeck situation has also happened and it fell like this, after that sharp
14:53Recovery also took place, this happens when we totally fail to assess an event.
14:59Is
15:00If we can assess that event even a little, then the event falls in a graded way.
15:06If we do not assess it, it will be like a black swan, then its recovery will also be like that and after that when
15:11Once he recovers then people will start thinking.
15:28It is that the reason was not understood which fell and just like it happened in Covid, the same thing has happened this time too.
15:40You might think that the event is over, let's recover that much, now we will assess the amount of bite damage.
15:45This means that India's GDP is now at 1.5 or 1.5
15:48I don't know, it was 8:30 now and it is further ahead, meaning this scenario is not his assessment.
15:59So a scenario was created that if oil
16:04Whether it is 125 or 150, now grandmother is small in front of us.
16:15He will go to Bhaja, I want to know how much damage will be caused and then when and how will he repair it and how much will he pay.
16:27Yes, the small cap chart in front of us is also showing a very fast recovery.
16:35Yes, there wasn't a rounding top structure here, but after a fairly sharp movement you had a
16:43It formed like a falling channel, the breakdown below that falling channel was also visible, now it is back, I would say that
16:50Nifty small is trying to bounce back towards the upper trend line of the same falling channel.
16:55cap 100, what do you feel after seeing this?
17:00My understanding is that small caps will not be able to reach the level of Rs 18,000, secondly, where
17:10It has come to Rs. 17,000, and there is a lot of struggle here too.
17:16So it has 17,000 and 18,000, it is a choke point, until it comes out of this choke point, 18
17:23,000 was already a choke point, and after that we had to resort to, which one, the 16,000 one,
17:31There was no support after 16,000, it could be 15,000, 14,000, anything, it could be 15,000.
17:37Went,
17:37So now 17,000 is a choke point, 18,000 is a choke point without me, so it looks a little like this to me
17:45It is being said that now 3-6 months will come,
17:50But let's assume, let's take a chance, that Nifty Small Cap in this chart, this trend line which
17:58Resistance is forming above, right next to your 200-day moving average, this trend line.
18:03of also, if this is crossed
18:05If it starts to rise above 18,000, what will be the necessary conditions for it, and does it mean that
18:13It will happen that now you forget Iran and Iraq, now you forget America and Israel, now you forget
18:18what problems we had in the last
18:34What is their damage? Are they saying that we will absorb the damage in a quarter and we
18:39If you can reset the good people, then the market will want to hear that, if they say no brother, now there will be another damage.
18:47Two quarters are going to run, 18,000 is not available.
18:50It will come, it will come from the brander market, secondly, I don't know but some kind of government again if something
18:57Although there is no chance of liquidity support, there is not even that much room, and so much money has already been spent.
19:03is on oil, if
19:05If some support comes from there, which can create liquidity in the market, then perhaps that will be a
19:11The second one could be Philip, I don't see any other reason for calling him these two, the first reason is more important.
19:18That is why we completely
19:20We were aiming for 15-18% EPS growth in FY27, now we will aim for 12-13% growth.
19:29We have excavation of Rs. 1000 crore, it can happen at some places, even 10% will go, so now if 12-13%
19:35What growth has also remained, Raji ji, so this is as much as we have seen Nifty at 22,000.
19:4028,000 has also been mentioned in this financial statement, now only the corporates will be able to tell that at least
19:47We will also generate EPS of 12-13%, what are you waiting for, so here we have some good news.
19:57And there is some bad news, what should we talk about first, let's talk about the bad news.
20:04Yes, I have only heard bad things till now, our wholesale price seems to be reaching close to 4%,
20:10This time the figure has come to 3.88%, so what will be its effect, and also what will be the good thing after that
20:18Let us also see the news, what IMF has recently announced for India.
20:34Yes, he knows everything in the country, in the world, with India, he sees and understands everything, he
20:39The growth rate has been kept at 6.5%, which is the fastest in the world, otherwise it is a relative factor, right?
20:48Our 6.5% growth is almost a trillion dollars.
20:56They are sitting with twenty-five trillion dollars, thirty trillion dollars, showing growth on that, so the apple number also
21:02It matters, I don't think 6.5% GDP growth is a promise to excite investors, but
21:09The kind of fight that took place
21:24I feel the opposite, we are moving towards the end, this GDP of 7% will become the norm, this is the problem
21:33Yes, I think there is a chance that there will be another interest revision, this financial revision will be towards 7%, right now
21:39Whatever it is, I cannot do any assessment.
21:52Yes, I will keep buy now but will lower the price target again, right now I still feel,
22:05If things go well here, you will hear, our growth rate will be around 7%, Rabi I said.
22:13Also our growth estimate
22:14It's kept nearby, it totally depends on how much more damage we're going to see, if
22:22This damage occurs beyond April, so you should understand that it can also be of six or seven months.
22:30So for how many days does the damage drag us along?
22:33This is very important, I am of some opinion, I will take half of it with me, I can guess whenever I am with you.
22:40Maybe, you may get a surprise towards the end of the year.
22:48Yes, so right now the good news about GDP is from IMF, it is very positive right now.
22:58You are leaving no stone unturned, but your own estimate is better than the latest IMF estimate.
23:04There is a possibility that by the end of the year everyone will be together.
23:23But will you come?
Comments