00:00flip it over to the hard court here, which this weekend is going to be the final four. And we
00:05take a look, the number three seed, Illinois, taking on the number two seed, UConn. And then
00:09we have a battle of number one seeds here in game number two, Michigan and Arizona. So in the
00:13Kelsey marketplace here, Joe, how about this question? Some of seeds in the men's college
00:18basketball championship game, three, four, two, however you want to bet it here. Now understand
00:22this, obviously you can't get two, it's a no, so you can't bet on it, but you can get three
00:28and
00:28four, which means the combination of if Illinois plays Michigan, that's four. If UConn plays
00:33Michigan and Arizona, that is three, Joe. So the question, are we getting the sum of seeds
00:37four or three for you here to invest in? So do we think UConn is winning or do we think
00:45Illinois is winning is basically the question here. So if that's the case, if we're looking
00:51at that route, then you're looking at, this is just another market, Donnie, to supplement
00:56what you think is going to happen in that game. If you like, and here's how I would work
01:02and, and why the predictive markets are so much fun is that if I'm betting Illinois on
01:06the money line at the sports book, Donnie, then I'm likely also betting Illinois to win
01:12it all. Why? Because if they beat UConn, then I'm going to the, uh, the championship market
01:18and whatever price they are now, which I think is around 18 cents, they're going to be at least
01:24a 35, 40 cent jump from that particular point. And this market as well, Donnie, what is it going
01:30to be? Well, if I'm already betting Illinois, I've got multiple ways to cash with Illinois,
01:35not only beating UConn, but making it to the national championship game.
01:41Absolutely. I agree with you. And by the way, some of four seats here currently at a 54% chance,
01:46a hundred dollar investment would pay back 182. If you do get Illinois to win that,
01:49because that automatically would make it four because one in one Michigan and Arizona are
01:54playing in the other bracket here. How about the seed to win the men's college basketball
01:58championship, which again, Joe just saying, you're basically picking the team out here.
02:02If you want the one seed, you get two teams here involved in it, two for the price of one
02:06Michigan and Arizona, but that also is trading at a 69% chance. So it's not as if you're going
02:11to
02:11get an underdog price there. Number two seed here, which means you'd be betting UConn trading at 13%.
02:16Number three seed, which is Illinois that currently trading at 18% here, Joe, just another optic window
02:22to take a look at maybe betting who you think is going to win outside of, Hey, if I take
02:26the number
02:26one seed, I know for a fact on Monday night, I got a dog in the race.
02:31And again, multiple bets here looking to accomplish the same thing, Donnie, right? If I think Michigan
02:37beats Arizona and Michigan wins the national championship, then I'm likely just rolling over
02:43their money line, right? When it's all said and done, but I'm also investing. And I think it's
02:49right now, Donnie to win the national championship. That market is around 34 cents for Michigan right
02:57now. Well, listen, if they end up playing UConn, Michigan is going to be a much bigger favorite
03:02over UConn than they are over Illinois, which means I've got more money to be able to make there
03:08in that national championship market because the percentage is going to be higher. Same
03:14situation in here. Whatever you think is going to happen and who's going to win these next couple
03:19of games, there are multiple markets like this for you to be able to invest in and have multiple
03:25markets working for you.
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