00:00Let's talk about a couple of the games today here.
00:02So Louisville ended up beating that USF team,
00:05and then now they've got Michigan State.
00:07Michigan State, I heard you say last week to me that,
00:10keep an eye on this team here.
00:11What do you see in this game?
00:13What do you like in this one?
00:14I like Michigan State minus the points of big sales.
00:17It's a really even matchup with these teams.
00:20But the key is a couple of things.
00:22I look at intangible sales, right, the little things.
00:26Well, Michigan State really good at blocking shots.
00:28I think they're in the top 20.
00:30They don't get their shot block.
00:31That's always good to me.
00:32They rebound the ball.
00:33Number one in offensive rebounding rate percentage.
00:35They're ninth in defensive rebounding rate.
00:37So I like that as well.
00:39They get to the free throw line at more of a better what we call free throw rate,
00:43meaning the percentage of times they get to the foul line versus their opponents.
00:46They do a good job of that.
00:47And then obviously the injury to Brown, the star point guard,
00:50Miguel Brown, star point guard from Louisville out.
00:53I know they're four and one straight up, but I like Sparty.
00:57And here's the other thing.
00:58We talked about this.
00:59Tom Izzo on short rest.
01:03That is a problem.
01:05He's going to have something up his sleeve.
01:07Lay the four and a half.
01:08Also look out for the freshman, Cam Ward.
01:10Really good in round one.
01:12They need that freshman to step up.
01:15Duke, opening round game was not that impressive.
01:18They got TCU.
01:19I believe it's 12 and a half right now.
01:23Duke, are you still, you think this game was close too against TCU?
01:27Yeah, I think TCU is going to hang around.
01:29I like the game to go under the number of 139 and a half.
01:32Now people think that's like wild.
01:33But if you think about two teams that are top 20 in defensive efficiency,
01:37Jamie Dixon is going to slow the game down.
01:38He can't run.
01:39But if Nagamba, the center for Duke is still out, and you don't have Proctor, well, then
01:47John Shire can't go deep to his bench either.
01:50So that means it becomes a half court game.
01:52Eight of the last nine times, Duke has held their opponents under 80.
01:57Last eight opponents for TCU held under 75, under 139 and a half.
02:03You know, this VCU team we talked about, they ended up beating UNC.
02:09The guy in Illinois, who has been one of those teams that have kind of been like Iowa State
02:13a little bit, you know, you're looking at them, you're like, can they be a team that
02:16can get to an Elite Eight?
02:18What about this game here, VCU-Illinois?
02:21Well, Illinois is one of the best offensive teams in the country.
02:24But you look at the job that Phil Mortelli Jr., you know Phil Mortelli Jr.
02:28because you know Phil Mortelli Sr., who did a great job for a long time over there in
02:32Philadelphia at St. Joe's.
02:34To me, I think they hang around long enough.
02:37I think they cover the spread.
02:39They still win Illinois, and Illinois is a very good offensive team.
02:44It's weird, because when you think of Brad Underwood, you think defense.
02:46It's actually the opposite with them.
02:48They're really good offensively.
02:50High point.
02:51I found out, Coach, he was in North Carolina.
02:54I had no idea who this basketball team was.
02:58They ended up upsetting Wisconsin.
03:00They did win 31 ballgames this year, and they've got John Calipari's Arkansas team.
03:06What do you make of this game here?
03:07I think it's like an 11-and-a-half.
03:08I may be wrong on the number, but you tell me.
03:11High point, Arkansas.
03:13Yeah, with Arkansas, I went to this last game.
03:17I went to a team total over in the first half.
03:20They could score.
03:21Speaking of guys you've got to watch, folks, go watch Darius Acosta.
03:24That kid, everybody talks about all these guys, Peterson, Boozer, the Benza, Flemings.
03:32Go watch this kid.
03:34I think his points are probably at 25-and-a-half, and I think he's probably going to go over
03:37it.
03:37But look for Arkansas to get up and down.
03:39And here's the thing.
03:40That coach at high point, after the game, kind of took people to test and kind of ripped some people.
03:46He woke up Calipari's crew.
03:48Watch Arkansas dust them.
03:50Team total over.
03:50He woke up Calipari's crew.
03:51He woke up Calipari's crew.
03:51You
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