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NewsTranscript
00:14Υπότιτλοι AUTHORWAVE
00:30Υπότιτλοι AUTHORWAVE
01:01Υπότιτλοι AUTHORWAVE
01:30Can you just tell us what is the latest this Tuesday morning?
01:35Mev, we're now into the second week of this conflict and you're right, there appears to be no signs of
01:39letting up.
01:39In fact, the situation around the Gulf only appears to be intensifying.
01:43In Bahrain, a 29-year-old woman was killed and eight others injured in what the country's authorities say was
01:48an attack in a residential building in the capital.
01:52And now that's one of the clearest signs yet that civilians are now being drawn into this conflict.
01:57Iran has also targeted the country's energy infrastructure.
02:00Bahrain's state energy company, Babco Energy, says an attack set the country's only oil refinery on fire, forcing it to
02:06declare a force majeure.
02:07Now that comes as well as Qatar and Kuwait in suspending some energy shipments as Iran escalates strikes on oil
02:14and gas facilities across the region.
02:16And that's already having a ripple effect globally.
02:18Oil prices surged across, surged again on Monday with Brent crude, the international benchmark, briefly climbing to nearly $120 per
02:27barrel.
02:28That's the highest level since the months following Russia's invasion on Ukraine in 2022.
02:33Here in Doha, people experienced several elevated alerts on Monday.
02:37Just after 3 p.m. was the last one where we received a national emergency alert on our phone, which
02:42was followed by a barrage of explosions in the skies above.
02:45Now, likely the most intense and impactful that we've heard since the beginning of this conflict.
02:51Now, Qatar's Ministry of Defense has intercepted 17 ballistic missiles and six drones in that attack alone.
02:57Also on Monday, Qatar's Prime Minister took part in a virtual joint session between leaders from the GCC and the
03:03European Union.
03:04Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdurrahman bin Jassim Al Thani warned that the current situation doesn't just affect one country,
03:11but it threatens security of the entire region and poses serious risk to global energy markets and supply chains.
03:20He also reaffirmed Qatar's commitment to working with regional and international partners,
03:24including the EU, to try to de-escalate the conflict.
03:29Maeve?
03:29Okay, Adel Khalim, thank you so much for that live update there.
03:33From Doha, meanwhile, Russia's President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump also discussed the Iran war
03:38during a, quote, frank and constructive telephone call.
03:42This, as we see, dramatic moves on the oil market, reversing its biggest surge in nearly four years.
03:47Speaking to the press, President Trump says the war in Iran may be over soon after initially signalling it could
03:54go on for another five weeks.
03:55For more, we're joined here in the studio by Euronews' EU editor, Maria Tadeo.
04:00Good morning, Maria.
04:01Good morning.
04:02So, look, is President Trump playing to the financial markets here, or does he really think the war could be
04:05over sooner rather than later?
04:07Well, that's a very good question, and it really is a question this morning.
04:10Obviously, we need some context in terms of where those comments came in on the Sunday to the Monday.
04:16We saw that big spike when it comes to the oil market, a lot of that reflecting this anxiety that
04:21in Iran is still very much the hardliners
04:23who are guiding the country, and obviously a sort of escalation that is going to have ramifications in the transportation
04:29of oil in the region.
04:31The comments from Trump yesterday appeared to suggest that the U.S. now believes this is an operation they can
04:37wrap sooner.
04:38He did say the war is pretty much, to some extent, done.
04:42He talked about objectives that have been met, but, of course, it is unclear what the goal then would be
04:47because the son of the late Ayatollah is still in place.
04:50Now, the other factor, too, is that in the same afternoon that he went out and said again,
04:56if this is a question of Iran really trying to mess with the transportation of oil, there will be severe
05:01consequences,
05:02and they will get bombed like they've not been bombed since this war started.
05:06Let's take a look.
05:07We're putting an end to all of this threat once and for all, and the result will be lower oil
05:12prices, oil and gas prices.
05:14But when the time comes, the U.S. Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the strait if needed.
05:19And if they do anything, the price will be incalculable.
05:24They'll never be able to recover, ever.
05:27And that's, of course, President Trump.
05:28But if you listen to the language, this is really a message to financial markets.
05:33He repeats and goes on about the price of oil, what will happen if they do anything that messes with
05:38the flow of oil.
05:40He is a president.
05:41And this is very particular and very important to understand when it comes to Donald Trump,
05:45is that he really monitors the stock market and he really monitors financial markets overall as an almost reflection of
05:52his performance.
05:53And this is a president who has said in the early days of the campaign for re-election, too, that
05:57he wants to see stock markets up.
05:59So really, he likes to present himself as the all-time high for stocks in the U.S. and also
06:04very low energy prices.
06:06This is crucial in the U.S., the gas prices.
06:09This is something that is almost politically in the psyche of the U.S., incredibly important.
06:14So yesterday, those comments trying to reverse those losses that we saw in the early trading on the Monday and
06:20the spike in the oil.
06:22But what I would note, however, is that ultimately, Maeve, this is very simple, either he manages a way to
06:27find the oil to flow and to move and to bring down prices,
06:31or ultimately this will just be a one-day message to bring that and intervene in energy markets.
06:37But ultimately, no question and no answers as to how is this operation really going to play out on the
06:41ground.
06:42And meanwhile, here in Brussels, we're having these emergency talks, remote emergency talks among EU leaders today.
06:47And also finance ministers are meeting yesterday and today.
06:50Yes, so finance ministers met yesterday.
06:52There was also a G7 finance ministers call led by France.
06:56And today there will be a G7 energy ministers.
07:00And we also understand it's going to be a busy day on the phone that there will be an EU
07:03leader sort of debrief that is handled by Italy, Germany and Belgium.
07:08So there's this new sort of coalition that is emerging.
07:10Nonetheless, what is relevant from these calls is that ultimately there has been a signal that if it is necessary
07:16and needed,
07:17there could be operations to export or to escort tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
07:21Obviously, that's a crucial point for geopolitics, but also the idea that there could be a release of strategic reserves.
07:28This is not the moment.
07:29That's what the French said yesterday, but a concern from the Europeans that you could enter a sort of stagflation
07:34scenario if global growth is impacted.
07:36And you continue to see this spike in oil, which then reflects in inflation.
07:41So at this point, it is a sort of wait and see from the Europeans with concerns on the global
07:45economy.
07:46OK, and we've extended reporting on all those meetings, of course, on yournews.com.
07:49Maria Tzayel, thank you so much for that update.
07:51As always, but now moving on.
07:53In this context of an escalating war and a major oil supply disruption, MEPs are gathering in Strasbourg this week
07:59for a routine plenary session.
08:01To hear their views on the current state of play, we can actually cross now to the European Parliament in
08:05Strasbourg and bring in yournews' Mared Gwynne-Jones.
08:08Good morning, Mared.
08:09Tell us, what is the view from Strasbourg there on the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran?
08:15Yes, Maeve, good morning from the European Parliament.
08:18Now, this institution doesn't set the EU's foreign policy, of course, but traditionally it has taken a staunchly critical stance
08:25towards the Iranian regime.
08:27And to discuss more, I'm now joined by the chair of the parliament's Iran delegation, MEP, Hannah Neumann.
08:34Good morning.
08:35Let me start with this.
08:37Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been killed in this war, only to be replaced by his son.
08:43Is this war doing anything, in your view, to help the Iranian people?
08:48Good morning from Strasbourg.
08:50And Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was responsible for the death and the brutal repression for so many Iranians.
08:56So his death has sparked some hopes, but him being replaced with his son just signals a sign of continuity
09:03and of more repression.
09:05So this clearly is not what Iranians had hoped for.
09:08Okay, and yesterday we heard Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen saying there's two schools of thought here with this
09:14war.
09:14One saying this is a war of choice by the U.S. and Israel, and the other saying, well, this
09:19is a war of necessity, this was needed.
09:21Where do you stand?
09:23Donald Trump promised that help is on the way to the protesters before he started this war.
09:27Right now we see him, and I mean, some of you saw the press conference yesterday.
09:32It is quite unclear what his goal are, what his strategies are to get there.
09:37And he's gambling with the life of 90 million Iranians and a whole region.
09:42And I frankly say I can't endorse a war.
09:44I don't know what the goal is nor what the strategy is.
09:46And Iranians clearly deserve better.
09:48You say you don't know what the goal is.
09:50If it is regime change, is it right in your view to seek change in the regime through force?
09:56It will be quite a difficult way to get to regime change.
10:00What is clear is that in the long run, regime change can only come from the inside.
10:05So when people from the Revolutionary Guards, from the army, defect,
10:08and when there's a broad coalition of people from inside and outside of Iran who represent the diversity of Iran,
10:14who really come up with a new vision for this country, this cannot come by bombs alone.
10:19And in this context then, what can the EU do?
10:22We've seen quite a fragmented response.
10:24Spain and Slovenia outliers in the condemnation of the initial attack.
10:27What can it do to exert diplomatic leverage here and urge de-escalation?
10:32I think we have to indeed urge for de-escalation.
10:34The first thing is to work together with the Gulf countries.
10:37This is not our war, right?
10:38We have to deal with the consequences.
10:40And the same is true for the Gulf countries, even more, even worse.
10:44So I think we should work together with the Gulf countries to push for de-escalation towards Trump and Israel,
10:51to clearly make them understand what they are gambling with,
10:54and to tell us what their goals, what their strategies are, and then have a reasonable discussion.
10:58But also towards the Iranian regime, because the regime is going to fall.
11:02The question is how many of its own people and how much of the region are they dragging into the
11:06beast?
11:07And I think we should make this as short as possible.
11:09Okay, MEP Neumann, thank you so much.
11:11And Maeve, there will be a three-hour special debate here in the Parliament tomorrow morning
11:15on the escalation situation in the Middle East.
11:18Back to you.
11:19Okay, Maret Gwynne-Jones, thank you so much for that live update there from Strasbourg.
11:22And also to your guest, the Green MEP, Hannah Neumann.
11:25Now, just days after his appointment,
11:27Iranians are very much divided over their new Supreme Leader, Mushtaba Khamenei.
11:31Iranian state TV is just showing his supporters celebrating with joy,
11:35but many also Iranians are expressing fear of repression.
11:38Critics worried, of course, about his very strong connections to the IRGC.
11:43Jakub Janus takes a closer look.
11:46Someone clever once said that history is not about recording dates,
11:50but about connecting the dots.
11:52Iran has named Mushtaba Khamenei as its new Supreme Leader,
11:56and now everyone is talking about his biography.
11:59But your reporter wants to take a different look.
12:02Let's analyze what his appointment actually means.
12:06And for Europe, that signals a cold winter of diplomacy.
12:10Mushtaba is a shadow operator with deep ties in the Revolutionary Guard.
12:15His rise suggests Tehran has no interest in negotiations.
12:19And Europe must prepare for three shocks.
12:23First, the war will not end quickly.
12:26Mushtaba is a hardline choice for a hardline moment.
12:29And second, oil prices are already surging past $100,
12:33threatening a new energy crisis.
12:37Third, is a migration risk.
12:39That instability could trigger an unprecedented refugee wave
12:43toward European borders.
12:46And for the US and Israel,
12:48Mushtaba is not a statement.
12:50He is a target.
12:52Israel's defense minister was blunt about it,
12:55calling him an unquivocal target for elimination.
12:58And for a man who lost his father, mother and wife in recent strikes,
13:03Compromise with the US and Israel might be simply off the table.
13:08Finally, and most importantly,
13:11what does this mean for Iranians?
13:13For the people, this transition could feel like the ultimate betrayal of the 1979 revolution.
13:19Because after all, that uprising was meant to end hereditary monarchy forever.
13:25And Mushtaba inherits a nation in economic ruin,
13:28relying entirely on the military and hardline security forces to keep control.
13:34And after the recent bloody crackdown on the opposition,
13:37he isn't fighting for the Iranian people, but for the survival of the system.
13:41But one could ask,
13:43can a revolution survive by becoming the very thing it once overthrew?
13:53Yeah, could be honest there.
13:54Now moving on,
13:55France and its allies are preparing a, quote,
13:57defensive mission to reopen the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz,
14:01President Emmanuel Macron has sent.
14:03Except the French president has already landed by helicopter
14:06on the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier
14:07that was dispatched to the Mediterranean
14:09just after the US-Israeli strikes on Iran back on February the 28th.
14:13For more on the purpose of his trip,
14:16we can cross now over to Paris and bring in our correspondent,
14:19Sophia Katzenkova.
14:20Good morning, Sophia.
14:21Just tell us,
14:22what is the message that Macron is trying to send with this trip?
14:27Well, Maeve, the message that Emmanuel Macron is trying to send
14:31is that he will not be directly involved in the conflict,
14:35even as France strengthens its military presence in the region.
14:40Speaking aboard, the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle
14:44deployed in the eastern Mediterranean last night,
14:47the French president insisted that France
14:50is not taking part directly in the war,
14:54but is looking to reassure its allies
14:56and protect its interests in the region.
14:59Earlier on Monday, Macron also traveled to Cyprus,
15:03an EU member state that has become strategically important in the region
15:07as tensions escalate.
15:10Just as a reminder, earlier this month,
15:12a drone struck a British military base on this island,
15:16prompting several EU countries, including France,
15:20to reinforce its defense.
15:23And speaking during his visit to Cyprus yesterday,
15:27Macron framed the island's security as a broader European issue.
15:32Let's take a listen.
15:35When Cyprus is attacked, it is Europe that is attacked.
15:39Cyprus's defense is obviously an essential matter for your country,
15:43for your neighbor partner and friend, Greece,
15:45but also for France, and with it, for the European Union.
15:53And as you mentioned, Maeve,
15:54well, France is also working along with other partners
15:57on a future purely defensive naval mission
16:01to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz
16:04and escort commercial ships, according to Macron,
16:07which is a key route for global energy supplies.
16:11And speaking of energy,
16:12well, the French leader is back here in Paris on a Tuesday morning
16:17as he's hosting an international summit on nuclear power today.
16:22The meeting is expected to focus on expanding nuclear capacity
16:26as countries are looking for stable energy sources
16:30amid growing geopolitical tensions.
16:33And, of course, I'll be bringing you the latest from the ground.
16:36Back to you, Maeve.
16:37And, of course, the European Commission President,
16:39Ursula Wallerlein, will be speaking at that very conference
16:41you mentioned.
16:42Sophia Katsenkova, thank you so much
16:43for that live update there from the centre of Paris.
16:47And to dive deeper into President Macron's visit and goals,
16:49We're joined now by Pascal Confaffreau,
16:52the spokesperson for the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs.
16:55Good morning, Pascal.
16:56Thank you so much for joining us.
16:58Just tell us more about Macron's mission in Cyprus.
17:01Is the war getting closer to home, in your view?
17:05No.
17:06Our goal is to go for a de-escalation
17:10and to avoid any regulation of the conflict.
17:15President Macron was in Cyprus yesterday
17:17and then in the airfare period,
17:18there were three methods.
17:20Solidarity in Cyprus,
17:23protection of our citizens,
17:24protection of our allies in the region,
17:27like EAU, Qatar and so on.
17:30And he made it more clear,
17:34the goal of a coalition to the freedom of navigation
17:37in the Red Sea and the Great Home.
17:39But you say only defensive,
17:41but is there any chance we could see this shift
17:43in France getting more involved in this conflict?
17:47No.
17:47Once again,
17:48our opposition is that it's not our war.
17:52It's a strike by the United States and Israel and Iran.
17:56We're made out of international law.
17:59We cannot approve them.
18:01But once again,
18:02what we have to see is,
18:03who is responsible for first of this situation?
18:07It's Iran.
18:08Iran was causing a major threat to the region
18:11with its program of ballistic placement
18:13or nuclear armament.
18:16And so Iran has to change dramatically.
18:19It's our message that we convey,
18:22and we even convey directly,
18:24when President Macron talked to President President
18:26of Iran during the war.
18:28So Pascal,
18:29you're very critical of Iran,
18:31but is it time now to contend the US and Israel?
18:33I mean,
18:33they started with good intentions,
18:35but now the situation is spiraling out of control.
18:39Once again,
18:40the first responsibility of the situation
18:42is the threat to Iran,
18:45even more after the state violence
18:47that they imposed on their own people
18:51in the beginning of this year in January.
18:54This is where Putin has to stop.
18:56Iran has to stop sending some missiles
19:00and some drones on the neighboring countries
19:03and the other because we have to avoid
19:07or prevent any revitalization
19:09or destabilization of countries.
19:11I can take an example of Lebanon,
19:13which is a country that risks the war.
19:16Pascal,
19:18we'll have to leave it there.
19:19Thank you so much for joining us today
19:21on Europe Today here on Euronews.
19:23And thank you so much for watching,
19:25as always,
19:25for more news and analysis.
19:27Do visit Euronews.com.
19:28Take care
19:28and see you very soon here on Euronews.
19:41and see you very soon.
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