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Europe Today: Trump ogłasza koniec wojny z Iranem mimo oznak eskalacji
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NewsTranscript
00:00www.youtube.com
00:30Claims from President Trump of otherwise
00:31In a sign that the conflict is escalating on all fronts
00:35Iranian missiles have been intercepted over Turkey, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates
00:40While Israel continues to target Iran and Lebanon
00:43There are reports of over 1,200 dead in Iran
00:46And almost 500 people in Lebanon, including 83 children
00:50Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has called
00:52The selection of Mastaba Khamenei as the next Supreme Leader
00:56A quote, big mistake
00:58The son of the late Supreme Leader has already reportedly been injured
01:01This as EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaya Callas calls for a ceasefire to stop Lebanon from siding into chaos
01:08She says Israel's heavy-handed response to Hezbollah attacks is destabilizing the whole region
01:14To bring us up to speed, your news has correspondents all across the region
01:18For the latest from Doha, we can now cross over to Qatar and bring in our correspondent, Adel Halim
01:24Good morning, Adel
01:25Look, we're hearing reports this morning of more disruptions, more explosions
01:28All across the Middle East
01:30Can you just tell us what is the latest this Tuesday morning?
01:35Maeve, we're now into the second week of this conflict
01:37And you're right, there appears to be no signs of letting up
01:39In fact, the situation around the Gulf only appears to be intensifying
01:43In Bahrain, a 29-year-old woman was killed
01:45And eight others injured in what the country's authorities say
01:48Was a residential building
01:50An attack in a residential building in the capital
01:52And now that's one of the clearest signs yet
01:54That civilians are now being drawn into this conflict
01:56Iran has also targeted the country's energy infrastructure
02:00Bahrain's state energy company, Babco Energy
02:02Says an attack set the country's only oil refinery on fire
02:05Forcing it to declare a force majeure
02:07Now that comes as well as Qatar and Kuwait
02:10In suspending some energy shipments
02:12As Iran escalates strikes on oil and gas facilities across the region
02:16And that's already having a ripple effect globally
02:18Oil prices surged again on Monday
02:22With Brent crude, the international benchmark
02:25Briefly climbing to nearly $120 per barrel
02:28That's the highest level since the months following
02:30Russia's invasion on Ukraine in 2022
02:33Here in Doha, people experienced several elevated alerts on Monday
02:37Just after 3 p.m. was the last one
02:39Where we received a national emergency alert on our phone
02:41Which was followed by a barrage of explosions in the skies above
02:45Now, likely the most intense and impactful
02:49That we've heard since the beginning of this conflict
02:51Now, Qatar's Ministry of Defense intercepted 17 ballistic missiles
02:55And 6 drones in that attack alone
02:57Also on Monday, Qatar's Prime Minister took part
02:59In a virtual joint session between leaders from the GCC
03:03And the European Union
03:04Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdurrahman bin Jassim Al Thani
03:08Warned that the current situation doesn't just affect one country
03:11But it threatens security of the entire region
03:14And poses serious risk to global energy markets and supply chains
03:20He also reaffirmed Qatar's commitment to working with regional and international partners
03:24Including the EU to try to de-escalate the conflict
03:28Maeve?
03:30Okay, Adel Khalim, thank you so much for that live update there
03:32From Doha
03:33Meanwhile, Russia's President Vladimir Putin
03:35And US President Donald Trump also discussed the Iran war
03:39During a, quote, frank and constructive telephone call
03:42This, as we see dramatic moves on the oil market
03:44Reversing its biggest surge in nearly four years
03:47Speaking to the press, President Trump says the war in Iran may be over soon
03:52After initially signalling it could go on for another five weeks
03:55For more, we're joined here in the studio by Euronews' EU editor, Maria Tadeo
04:00Good morning, Maria
04:01Good morning
04:02So look, is President Trump playing to the financial markets here
04:04Or does he really think the war could be over sooner rather than later?
04:07Well, that's a very good question
04:08And it really is a question this morning
04:10Obviously, we need some context in terms of where those comments came in
04:14On the Sunday to the Monday
04:16We saw that big spike when it comes to the oil market
04:19A lot of that reflecting this anxiety that in Iran is still very much the hardliners
04:23Who are guiding the country
04:25And obviously a sort of escalation that is going to have ramifications
04:28In the transportation of oil in the region
04:31The comments from Trump yesterday appeared to suggest that the US now believes
04:36This is an operation they can wrap sooner
04:38He did say the war is pretty much, to some extent, done
04:42He talked about objectives that have been met
04:44But of course, it is unclear what the goal then would be
04:47Because the son of the late Ayatollah is still in place
04:51Now, the other factor, too, is that in the same afternoon
04:54That he went out and said again
04:56If this is a question of Iran really trying to mess with the transportation of oil
05:01There will be severe consequences
05:02And they will get bombed like they've not been bombed since this war started
05:06Let's take a look
05:07We're putting an end to all of this threat once and for all
05:10And the result will be lower oil prices, oil and gas prices
05:14But when the time comes, the US Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the strait if needed
05:20And if they do anything, the price will be incalculable
05:24They'll never be able to recover, ever
05:26And that's, of course, President Trump
05:28But if you listen to the language, this is really a message to financial markets
05:33He repeats and goes on about the price of oil
05:36What will happen if they do anything that messes with the flow of oil
05:40He is a president, and this is very particular and very important to understand when it comes to Donald Trump
05:45Is that he really monitors the stock market
05:48And he really monitors financial markets overall
05:51As an almost reflection of his performance
05:53And this is a president who has said in the early days of the campaign for re-election
05:57That he wants to see stock markets up
06:00So really, he likes to present himself as the all-time high for stocks in the US
06:04And also very low energy prices
06:06This is crucial in the US
06:09The gas prices
06:10This is something that is almost politically in the psyche of the US
06:13Incredibly important
06:14So yesterday, those comments trying to reverse those losses that we saw in the early trading on the Monday
06:20And the spike in the oil
06:22But what I would note, however, is that ultimately, Maeve
06:24This is very simple
06:26Either he manages a way to find the oil to flow and to move and to bring down prices
06:31Or ultimately, this will just be a one-day message to bring down and intervene in energy markets
06:37But ultimately, no question and no answers as to how is this operation really going to play out on the
06:42ground
06:42And meanwhile, here in Brussels, we're having these emergency talks
06:45Remote emergency talks among EU leaders today
06:47And also finance ministers are meeting yesterday and today
06:50Yeah, so finance ministers met yesterday
06:52There was also a G7 finance ministers call led by France
06:56And today, there will be a G7 energy ministers
07:00And we also understand, it's going to be a busy day on the phone
07:02That there will be an EU leader sort of debrief that is handled by Italy, Germany and Belgium
07:08So it's this new sort of coalition that is emerging
07:10Nonetheless, what is relevant from these calls is that ultimately there has been a signal that
07:15If it is necessary and needed, there could be operations to export or to escort tankers in the Strait of
07:21Hormuz
07:21Obviously, that's a crucial point for geopolitics
07:24But also, the idea that there could be a release of strategic reserves
07:28This is not the moment, that's what the French said yesterday
07:30But a concern from the Europeans that you could enter a sort of stagflation scenario
07:34If global growth is impacted
07:36And you continue to see this spike in oil, which then reflects in inflation
07:41So at this point, it is a sort of wait and see from the Europeans with concerns on the global
07:45economy
07:46Okay, and we have extensive reporting on all those meetings, of course, on yournews.com
07:49Maria today, thank you so much for that update
07:51As always, but now, moving on
07:53In this context of an escalating war and a major oil supply disruption
07:57MEPs are gathering in Strasbourg this week for a routine plenary session
08:01To hear their views on the current state of play
08:03We can actually cross now to the European Parliament in Strasbourg
08:06And bring in your news' Mared Gwynne-Jones
08:08Good morning, Mared
08:09Tell us, what is the view from Strasbourg there on the US-Israeli war on Iran?
08:15Yes, Maeve, good morning from the European Parliament
08:18Now, this institution doesn't set the EU's foreign policy, of course
08:22But traditionally, it has taken a staunchly critical stance towards the Iranian regime
08:27And to discuss more, I'm now joined by the Chair of the Parliament's Iran Delegation, MEP, Hannah Neumann
08:34Good morning, let me start with this
08:37Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been killed in this war
08:41Only to be replaced by his son
08:43Is this war doing anything, in your view, to help the Iranian people?
08:48Good morning from Strasbourg
08:50And Ayatollah Khamenei was responsible for the death and the brutal repression for so many Iranians
08:56So his death has sparked some hopes
08:59But him being replaced with his son just signals a sign of continuity and of more repression
09:05So this clearly is not what Iranians had hoped for
09:08Okay, and yesterday we heard a commission chief of Sola von der Leyen saying
09:13There's two schools of thought here with this war
09:14One saying this is a war of choice by the US and Israel
09:17And the other saying, well, this is a war of necessity, this was needed
09:21Where do you stand?
09:23Donald Trump promised that help is on the way to the protesters before he started this war
09:28Right now we see him, and I mean, some of you saw the press conference yesterday
09:32It is quite unclear what his goal are, what his strategies are to get there
09:37And he's gambling with the life of 90 million Iranians and the whole region
09:42And I frankly say I can't endorse a war
09:44I don't know what the goal is, nor what the strategy is
09:47And Iranians clearly deserve better
09:48You say you don't know what the goal is
09:50If it is regime change, is it right in your view to seek change in the regime through force?
09:56It will be quite a difficult way to get to regime change
10:00What is clear is that in the long run, regime change can only come from the inside
10:05So when people from the Revolutionary Guards, from the army, defect
10:08And when there's a broad coalition of people from inside and outside of Iran
10:12Who represent the diversity of Iran
10:15Who really come up with a new vision for this country
10:17This cannot come by bombs alone
10:19And in this context then, what can the EU do?
10:23We've seen quite a fragmented response
10:24On Spain and Slovenia outliers in the condemnation of the initial attack
10:27What can it do to exert diplomatic leverage here and urge de-escalation?
10:32I think we have to indeed urge for de-escalation
10:34The first thing is to work together with the Gulf countries
10:37This is not our war, right?
10:39We have to deal with the consequences
10:40And the same is true for the Gulf countries
10:42Even more, even worse
10:44So I think we should work together with the Gulf countries
10:47To push for de-escalation towards Trump and Israel
10:51To clearly make them understand what they are gambling with
10:54And to tell us what their goals, what their strategies are
10:57And then have a reasonable discussion
10:58But also towards the Iranian regime
11:00Because the regime is going to fall
11:02The question is how many of its own people
11:04And how much of the region are they dragging into the abyss?
11:07And I think we should make this as short as possible
11:09Okay, M.E.P. Neumann, thank you so much
11:11And Maeve, there will be a three-hour special debate here
11:14In the Parliament tomorrow morning
11:15On the escalation situation in the Middle East
11:18Back to you
11:18Okay, Marek Gwynne-Jones
11:20Thank you so much for that live update there from Strasbourg
11:22And also to your guest, the Green M.E.P. Hanna Neumann
11:25Now, just days after his appointment
11:27Iranians are very much divided over their new Supreme Leader
11:30Mushtaba Khamenei
11:31Iranian State TV is just showing his supporters celebrating with joy
11:35But many also Iranians are expressing fear of repression
11:38Critics worried, of course, about his very strong connections to the IRGC
11:42Jakub Janus takes a closer look
11:46Someone clever once said that history is not about recording dates
11:50But about connecting the dots
11:52Iran has named Mushtaba Khamenei as its new Supreme Leader
11:56And now everyone is talking about his biography
11:59But your reporter wants to take a different look
12:02Let's analyze what his appointment actually means
12:06And for Europe, that signals a cold winter of diplomacy
12:10Mushtaba is a shadow operator with deep ties in the Revolutionary Guard
12:15His rise suggests Tehran has no interest in negotiations
12:19And Europe must prepare for three shocks
12:22First, the war will not end quickly
12:26Mushtaba is a hardline choice for a hardline moment
12:29And second, oil prices are already surging past $100
12:33Threatening a new energy crisis
12:36Third, is a migration risk
12:39That instability could trigger an unprecedented refugee wave
12:43Toward European borders
12:45And for the US and Israel
12:48Mushtaba is not a statement
12:50He is a target
12:52Israel's defense minister was blunt about it
12:55Calling him an unquivocal target for elimination
12:58And for a man who lost his father, mother and wife in recent strikes
13:03Compromise with the US and Israel
13:05Might be simply off the table
13:08Finally, and most importantly
13:10What does this mean for Iranians?
13:13For the people, this transition could feel like the ultimate betrayal of the 1979 Revolution
13:19Because after all, that uprising was meant to end hereditary monarchy forever
13:25And Mushtaba inherits a nation in economic ruin
13:28Relying entirely on the military and hardline security forces to keep control
13:34And after the recent bloody crackdown on the opposition
13:37He isn't fighting for the Iranian people
13:39But for the survival of the system
13:41But one could ask
13:43Can a revolution survive by becoming the very thing it once overthrew?
13:53Yeah, could be honest there
13:54Now moving on, France and its allies are preparing a
13:57Quote, defensive mission to reopen the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz
14:01President Emmanuel Macron has sent
14:03The French president has already landed by helicopter
14:06On the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier
14:07That was dispatched to the Mediterranean
14:09Just after the US-Israeli strikes on Iran back on February the 28th
14:13For more on the purpose of his trip
14:16We can cross now over to Paris and bring in our correspondent
14:18Sophia Katzenkova
14:20Good morning, Sophia
14:21Just tell us, what is the message that Macron is trying to send with this trip?
14:27Well, Maeve, the message that Emmanuel Macron is trying to send is that he will not be directly involved in
14:34the conflict
14:35Even as France strengthens its military presence in the region
14:40Speaking abroad, the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle deployed in the eastern Mediterranean last night
14:47The French president insisted that France is not taking part directly in the war
14:54But is looking to reassure its allies and protect its interests in the region
14:59Earlier on Monday, Macron also travelled to Cyprus, an EU member state that has become strategically important in the region
15:08as tensions escalate
15:10Just as a reminder, earlier this month, a drone struck a British military base on this island
15:16Prompting several EU countries, including France, to reinforce its defence
15:23And speaking during his visit to Cyprus yesterday, Macron framed the island's security as a broader European issue
15:32Let's take a listen
15:35When Cyprus is attacked, it is Europe that is attacked
15:38Cyprus's defence is obviously an essential matter for your country, for your neighbour, partner and friend, Greece
15:45But also for France and with it for the European Union
15:49And as you mentioned, Maeve
15:54Well, France is also working along with other partners on a future purely defensive naval mission
16:01To help reopen the Strait of Hormuz and escort commercial ships according to Macron
16:07Which is a key route for global energy supplies
16:11And speaking of energy, well, the French leader is back here in Paris on a Tuesday morning
16:17As he's hosting an international summit on nuclear power today
16:22The meeting is expected to focus on expanding nuclear capacity
16:26As countries are looking for stable energy sources amid growing geopolitical tensions
16:33And of course, I'll be bringing you the latest from the ground
16:36Back to you, Maeve
16:37And of course, the European Commission President Ursula Wallerlein
16:40Will be speaking at that very conference you mentioned
16:42Sofia Katsenkova
16:43Thank you so much for that live update there from the centre of Paris
16:46And to dive deeper into President Macron's visit and goals
16:50We're joined now by Pascal Conferfru
16:52The spokesperson for the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs
16:55Good morning, Pascal
16:56Thank you so much for joining us
16:58Just tell us more about Macron's mission in Cyprus
17:01Is the war getting closer to home in your view?
17:05No, our goal is to go for a de-escalation
17:10And to avoid any regulation of the conflict
17:14If President Macron was in Cyprus yesterday
17:17And then in the aircraft carrier
17:19There were three methods
17:20Solidarity in Cyprus
17:23Protection of our citizens
17:24Protection of our allies
17:26Allies
17:27In the region
17:27That's EAU
17:29Qatar
17:29And so on
17:30And he made it more clear
17:34The goal of a coalition
17:35And the freedom of navigation
17:37In the Red Sea
17:38And in the trade reform
17:39But you say only defensive
17:41But is there any chance we could see this shift
17:43And France getting more involved in this conflict?
17:47No
17:47Once again
17:48Our position
17:50Is that
17:50It's not our war
17:52It's a strike
17:53By the United States
17:55And Israel
17:55And Iran
17:56We're made out of
17:57International
17:58We cannot approve them
18:01But once again
18:02What we have to see
18:03Is who is responsible
18:04First
18:06Of this situation
18:07Because Iran
18:08Iran
18:08Was causing a major threat
18:10To the region
18:11With its program
18:12As a ballistic placement
18:13Or
18:16Armament
18:16And so
18:17Iran
18:17Has to change
18:18Grammatically
18:19It's
18:20Our message
18:21That we have conveyed
18:22And we have conveyed
18:23Directly
18:24When
18:25President Trump
18:25Of Iran
18:27During the
18:28So Pascal
18:29You're very critical
18:30Of Iran
18:31But is it time now
18:32To condemn the US
18:32And Israel?
18:33I mean they started
18:34With good intentions
18:35But now the situation
18:36Is spiraling out of control
18:39Once again
18:40The first responsibility
18:41Of the situation
18:42Is the threat
18:44controlled by Iran
18:45Even more
18:45After the state violence
18:47That they imposed
18:50On their own people
18:51In the beginning
18:51Of this year
18:53In January
18:54This is where
18:55Iran has to stop
18:58Sending some missiles
19:00Or some drones
19:01On the neighbouring countries
19:04And the other
19:05Because we have to
19:06Avoid
19:07Or prevent
19:08To prevent any
19:08Ritualization
19:09Or
19:10De-stabilization
19:11Of countries
19:11I can take an example
19:13of Lebanon
19:13Which is a country
19:15That risks a war
19:16Not a war
19:17Okay Pascal
19:19We'll have to leave it there
19:19Thank you so much
19:20For joining us today
19:21On Europe Today
19:22Here on Euronews
19:23And thank you so much
19:24For watching as always
19:25For more news and analysis
19:27Do visit Euronews.com
19:28Take care
19:29And see you very soon
19:30Here on Euronews
19:31To be continued
19:42To be continued
19:45To be continued
20:01To be continued
20:01To be continued
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