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Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan are once again in sharp focus — but how do the two sides compare militarily?

Pakistan fields a standing force of roughly 660,000 active personnel, backed by more than 460 combat aircraft, advanced fighter jets, air defense systems, armored divisions, and missile capabilities. It remains one of South Asia’s most structured conventional militaries with nuclear capability and established command infrastructure.

On the other side, the Taliban-led Afghan forces rely far more on guerrilla warfare tactics, asymmetric strategies, battlefield experience, and control of rugged terrain. While lacking a conventional air force and heavy military hardware comparable to Pakistan, they have demonstrated resilience in insurgency-style conflicts and border engagements.

If tensions escalate, would this be a conventional air-and-ground war — or a prolonged asymmetric conflict along the Durand Line? Can superior firepower guarantee victory against guerrilla tactics?

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00:21War has erupted along one of the most volatile borders.
00:25Pakistan and Afghanistan are exchanging air strikes, artillery barrages and intense
00:30ground fire along the disputed Durand Line.
00:34Casualties are rising.
00:36The question now is simple.
00:37If this becomes a full-scale war, who actually has the advantage?
00:43On February 27, 2026, Pakistan's defense minister declared what he called open war
00:50after days of mounting cross-border clashes.
00:53Pakistani air strikes reportedly hit targets inside Afghanistan.
00:58Taliban forces responded with attacks on Pakistani positions.
01:02A fragile status quo has shattered.
01:05Now analysts are assessing the balance of power.
01:08Is this an even fight?
01:10Let's break it down.
01:12Manpower.
01:14Pakistan fields around 660,000 active personnel, including Army, Air Force and Navy.
01:22Afghanistan's Taliban-led forces number roughly 172,000, with plans to expand to 200,000.
01:29On sheer numbers alone, Pakistan has a massive edge.
01:34Air power.
01:35The game changer.
01:36This is where the gap becomes dramatic.
01:39Pakistan operates 465 combat aircraft, including F-16s and JF-17 fighter jets, plus over 260 helicopters for attack and
01:51transport missions.
01:52Afghanistan?
01:53No functional fighter jets, only around 20 aging helicopters, many reportedly non-operational.
02:00In modern warfare, air superiority can decide everything, and here, Pakistan dominates.
02:08Ground forces.
02:09Pakistan deploys over 2,600 tanks, more than 6,000 armored vehicles, and roughly 4,600 artillery pieces.
02:18Afghanistan relies heavily on captured Soviet-era equipment, with limited armor and questionable operational readiness.
02:26Conventional battlefield advantage?
02:28Clearly Pakistan.
02:30The nuclear factor.
02:32Pakistan possesses approximately 170 nuclear warheads.
02:38Afghanistan has none.
02:39While nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used in a border conflict, they serve as a powerful strategic deterrent.
02:47Afghanistan's wild card.
02:49But this isn't the full picture.
02:52Afghanistan's strength lies in guerrilla warfare, mountain terrain, asymmetric tactics, and deep familiarity with the rugged 1,600-mile border.
03:02History has shown that fighting in Afghanistan can become long, costly, and unpredictable.
03:07If this conflict remains conventional and air power-driven, Pakistan holds overwhelming superiority.
03:14But if it turns into prolonged border warfare in harsh terrain, Afghanistan could drag the fight into a grinding, expensive
03:22stalemate.
03:23Meanwhile, regional powers like Iran and Saudi Arabia are calling for de-escalation, because if this spreads, it could destabilize
03:32South Asia at a dangerous moment.
03:33Pakistan has the firepower.
03:36Afghanistan has the terrain.
03:38The real question is not just who is stronger, but how far either side is willing to go.
03:44Pakistaníem jeepajjennara21stieruk.com
03:49One
03:50Two
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03:53Five
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