00:00U.S. President Donald Trump is set to give his first formal State of the Union speech
00:04of his second term on Tuesday, and it's likely to be a long night of choreographed tension
00:09and conflict.
00:11Trump's speech comes just days after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned his signature global
00:15tariffs.
00:16Trump has sharply criticized the six justices who voted to strike them down, including two
00:21he appointed and Chief Justice John Roberts.
00:24Justices who ruled against the policy striking it down, are they still invited to your
00:29State of the Union next week?
00:31And will you speak with that?
00:32They are invited, barely, barely.
00:35Andrew Smith, a political science professor at the University of New Hampshire, says the
00:39Supreme Court's fresh decision is likely to heighten the suspense during Trump's State
00:44of the Union address.
00:45My sense is, given the Supreme Court decision on tariffs, that he will be coming out swinging
00:52against Democrats.
00:54I think there will probably be more attacks in this State of the Union than typically
01:00is the case.
01:01Trump's speech also comes amid a sagging approval rating on his handling of the economy, with
01:06November's midterm elections in focus.
01:08Meanwhile, Democrats, who need to flip just three Republican-held seats in the House of
01:13Representatives to win a majority, have blamed Trump's tariffs for exacerbating the rising
01:17cost of living.
01:18But it's probably more critical for the president to do a good job in the State of the Union
01:24address, because in midterm elections, the president's party almost always loses seats.
01:30And the House of Representatives is razor thin already.
01:34The Republicans lose 5, 10 seats, which is well in range.
01:37They could even lose 20 seats this year.
01:39That means that President Trump's last two years in office are really going to be hamstrung
01:43by congressional resistance that he hasn't faced these first two years.
01:47In recent years, defining moments of presidential speeches have often been confrontational,
01:53as in 2009 when Republican Joe Wilson heckled former President Barack Obama.
01:58The reforms, the reforms I'm proposing would not apply to those who are here illegal.
02:08It's not true.
02:10This year, Democrats may use the stage to protest, as former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi did when
02:16she ripped up her copy of Trump's speech in 2020.
02:19I would not be surprised to see kind of on-the-floor demonstrations by Democratic members of Congress.
02:28And I think you're going to see a lot of cameras trained on those people to see what the reactions
02:32they're going to have for Trump.
02:33After the speech, newly elected Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger, a Democrat,
02:38will deliver the traditional televised response.
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