00:00Each and every week, it looks like the standard is always set with Scotty Scheffler.
00:04It's him and it's the rest of the field.
00:06And we're not talking about Scotty Scheffler's playing in a pro-am that nobody ever heard of
00:10where he's just paid the beather and there's not a lot of great superstars.
00:12Look at the names on this list.
00:15McElroy, Shelfly, Fleetwood, Matsuyama, Cantley.
00:18Legitimate golfers, he's plus 300, well ahead of the rest of the field, Joe.
00:24Isn't it a terrible?
00:25I mean, I believe Aberg won this last year, the Genesis.
00:30But yeah, this is the last of the West Coast, you know, swing.
00:36Then the next tournament, Donnie, will be here in my neck of the woods.
00:39That begins the Florida swing where they'll be here in Palm Beach.
00:43Then the Arnold Palmer and so on and so forth.
00:45So this is this final one out West.
00:49And it would not shock me if Scotty actually,
00:52as long as he doesn't shoot 70-plus on the first day,
00:55he's likely winning a tournament.
00:59The Florida swing coming up shortly here, but still on the West Coast, as Joe says here.
01:03And the funny part about this, too, is like you look at the top five odds.
01:06And it almost doesn't like, even if Scheffler's like 10 shots back for some reason on Sunday,
01:11it feels like he just does start, hey, I'm going to shoot a 62 and climb right back up
01:15and put pressure on the leaders here.
01:16Like, Scheffler, top five odds, which you know how hard it is to just finish in top fives here.
01:22He's minus 170.
01:23Like, you don't need to get plus money on a top five, which shows how incredible,
01:27where the expectations are, oh, Scheffler's in first place heading into Sunday.
01:31Yeah, all good with that.
01:32And he's also the king of Joe.
01:34I'm going to start slow.
01:35You think I'm out of it.
01:36Before you can blink on moving day, I'm back in the lead.
01:39Yeah.
01:40Well, I mean, that was just unbelievable.
01:42I mean, he was 75 to one heading into Sunday at Pebble Beach.
01:4875 to one.
01:49I mean, he's back-to-back tournaments in which he started off his worst rounds in years on Thursday,
01:57only to come back and finish top three, top five in both tournaments.
02:02Unbelievable.
02:02But good luck, because if he actually shoots a pretty good under par number here at the Genesis on Thursday,
02:08you're not catching him on Sunday.
02:11Look, Scheffler shot 63 on Sunday.
02:13Like, yeah, yeah, that course was made for birdies here.
02:15Did you watch the competition that they were playing under at that point?
02:17Yeah.
02:18The flag was blowing sideways like it was going to bend on 18.
02:21And there was even a guy putting who had to take a delay because when he put his ball down,
02:25the ball was moving.
02:26He's like, yeah, no problem.
02:2763 in those conditions, put pressure on there.
02:29It almost forced a playoff, which is how incredible that was.
02:32But if we do take a look at some of those markets that we actually like,
02:35you know, top 10, Scheffler minus 475, McElroy minus 115,
02:38that's all fine and good, Joe.
02:40But the markets where it's without Scheffler, like remove the best guy from the planet,
02:44from the equation.
02:45Now let's get down to business.
02:47Rory McElroy is actually the favorite at 10 to 1.
02:50Shaw Flay at 16 to 1, along with Tommy Fleetwood,
02:52who had a pretty good appearance there out there at Pebble as well.
02:55Yeah.
02:56And he loves those West Coast swings there.
02:58Fleetwood does.
02:59And he has actually been playing very, very well.
03:02But it's good to see Xander has actually been good.
03:04But Rory had a good Sunday, too, after having a terrible Saturday,
03:08where I think he had three double bogeys and seven birdies.
03:12He was all over the map.
03:13But, listen, I think head-to-head markets are not a bad way to approach what's happening
03:19also in this, because you can't bet Scheffler at 2-1, 3-1 pre-flop.
03:25You've got to hope he falls flat again on a Thursday,
03:28and then you can get him at a better price down the road.
03:30But I think there are some guys with some value here,
03:34as long as they get off to a good start here on Thursday.
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