00:00The expectations from the book with, of course,
00:02Zach Charbonnet out is he will receive a bell cow level workload,
00:07an 18 and a half rush attempts prop,
00:09certainly nothing cheap in the receiving game either expected to get around
00:14a hundred total scrimmage yards,
00:16a huge favorite for an anytime touchdown in this game as well.
00:20As someone like yourself, who is leaning Seattle really likes over,
00:26what are your, even if you're not going to be betting his numbers,
00:28what are your expectations for Kenneth Walker in this football game?
00:31Again, you know, I put him in, I told you anywhere from 14 to 22 carries.
00:38I don't think he's getting, and I think 22 is, is really high for him.
00:43I really do.
00:44Even though I've seen them do it in college,
00:45obviously at Michigan state in the NFL with Kubiak and McDonald,
00:50they haven't really given him that bell cow.
00:53Now I think about two weeks ago, he starts off.
00:57He had like 90% of the productivity in the first quarter, right?
01:00I mean, in the receiving game and the underground, he caught a screen pass.
01:04He, he, you know,
01:06almost had 50 yards rushing in the first quarter.
01:09It seemed like he, he went into half.
01:11It looked like he was well on his way to a hundred yards and he finishes with
01:1462, you know,
01:15the game script and game flow took them right out of the rushing attack.
01:19Like, and so you look at this game and you're saying, okay,
01:23I think they will test the front seven of, of new England early.
01:29I think that Seattle will go in a little bit more balanced in the game in the
01:34first quarter than I believe new England will.
01:36I don't think new England will look if they're smart.
01:39I don't think McDaniels is just going to run into the front of Seattle and see
01:43if they can run the football.
01:44I think it has to be Drake may getting into a rhythm and working and being
01:48aggressive on a first and second down.
01:50That being said, could Walker get through his number?
01:53He can.
01:54If, if you're asking me, what would I bet on Walker?
01:57I probably would take a shot with the receiving and rushing total.
02:01I wouldn't take just rushing.
02:03I like to combine for him just because he can get there and he's got
02:10breakaway ability.
02:11Am I keen Kenneth Walker in this game?
02:13No, I'm not.
02:14For me as someone who likes new England, right?
02:20I'm already kind of at arm's length with Walker,
02:22but when you tack on the snap counts that you and I have gone through, Joe,
02:28this is not a guy that they have shown any interest in giving 80% of the
02:33snaps.
02:34We'll get to, we'll get to, you know, we'll get to him.
02:37All right.
02:38Um, his 18 and a half under rush attempts is a very, it's one of those numbers.
02:46Listen, we know what today is.
02:48I just want to say this.
02:49It's a Superbowl.
02:51A lot of SGP boosts out there.
02:53I need a leg, need a leg.
02:55That could be something.
02:57I'm like, all right, we're tacking on.
02:58We're tacking this on.
02:59Let's see what we can do.
03:01Because I, I just, I find this number still to be very, very bizarre.
03:10Um, I'm curious for you as someone who thought this number would work the other
03:14way.
03:14Now, maybe you're going to say, Hey, look, still time, right?
03:18Not, not, not wrong until I'm wrong, which would be fair.
03:22Are you surprised Joe, that this has worked back up to a plus, a minus five, a minus five
03:29and a half in spots on new England.
03:31I mean, on, on Seattle.
03:33No, uh, again, if, if, if the, if the perception and the information that they're putting out
03:3970% of the money is on, uh, and the bets are on Seattle.
03:43Well, yeah, they move it in that direction.
03:45It's no longer a divergence, right?
03:47Where we saw earlier, we saw five and a half earlier, 70% of the money and the money and
03:52the line goes the other way.
03:53That's typically a divergence.
03:54I don't buy into that type of action, right?
03:57You just, something doesn't make sense, right?
03:59Either the information or, or, uh, you know, what money is being wagered.
04:04I just don't, you know, it's a trading term, but that's just the way I look at it.
04:08I, I do feel, and again, I, I do feel Seattle's the better team.
04:13So, and the book, I told you when they put out the opening number at three and a half,
04:18that's still over a key number with the hook.
04:21That's a significant line.
04:23If you think about it, I mean, a field goal, you know, with the hook is a significant line
04:28on a neutral field with or without the hottest quarterback in Sam Donald, because think about
04:32last year, the one and a half point spread.
04:34Yeah, this team is undefeated on the road and they're still tacking in a three and a
04:39half opening line on that.
04:41That's, that's a Seattle number.
04:43That's a huge, the book is telling you there's a significant advantage.
04:47I believe quarterback and obviously defense with Seattle and, and look, if I'm wrong, I'm
04:59wrong on this one, the side, but I just think it's Seattle.
Comments