00:00Joe, the Super Bowl is set. The Pats taking on the Seahawks.
00:04We have a four and a half.
00:05We have a four and a half point spread in favor of the quote unquote road Seahawks.
00:09We have a 45 and a half.
00:10Over under initial thoughts when it comes to at least just the line and the total.
00:15I think the four and a half is legitimate when you just look at the performance now.
00:20Going back to back weeks for Sam Darnold, right?
00:22Only through for 140 yards.
00:25Against San Francisco, but wasn't turnover prone, stepped up and back to back meeting.
00:30He's now against the L.A. Rams, an explosive offense.
00:33And when he's pushed.
00:35He's answered the bell.
00:36So when you look at the quarterback comparison right now.
00:40And to what you brought up at the start of the show about how inconsistent Drake May and.
00:45New England's passing attack has been.
00:47I think it's a legitimate number.
00:48Four and a half.
00:49Forty six.
00:50Six and a half to me is a little intriguing when we think about New England's.
00:55Ability to potentially score points in the playoffs outside the matchup.
01:00Against Houston, where, you know, CJ Stroud committed multiple turnovers.
01:05I'd be, you know, I thought it would be in the area to be honest about 43 and a half.
01:1044 and a half, but 46 and a half to me is a high number.
01:13I like the over early.
01:15I like the over early on.
01:16Okay.
01:17Now, when it comes to either of these, do you expect any line?
01:20Because when I look at this, I would say if there's going to be any line movement, the first spot that I.
01:25Be looking is the four and a half moving to a five or five and a half in favor.
01:30Of Seattle, I think the overwhelming sentiment that we see from the public perception.
01:35Is that the defense from Seattle is so strong and consistently throughout the playoffs.
01:40As I said before, that Drake May is struggling versus good pass rushes.
01:44And that's what.
01:45We saw from Seattle throughout the playoffs.
01:47That's what we saw from Seattle throughout the entirety of the regular season.
01:50They finished with a top 12 defense in terms of DVOA ever.
01:54Not just this.
01:55This season, not just over the past five years, ever.
01:57They had one of the best DVOA defenses.
02:00And from Seattle.
02:00So I would say the line could move to five and a half.
02:03Do you expect any line movement in a major?
02:05Do you expect any line movement in a major way on either the spread or the total?
02:08I do, but I expect it.
02:10Is it the opposite way and I'll tell you why.
02:13So Seattle was the number one.
02:15seed. They've had both playoff games at home. And when you talk about
02:20New England, they are battle-tested on the road, right? They are the first team to win.
02:25Nine games on the road or on a neutral field in that type of environment.
02:30Has it been pretty? No, I'm not going to say. It would suggest that it's been, you know,
02:34I...
02:35But you can't take that away from New England, right? And now you're still...
02:40We still have now Seattle on a neutral field against a team that has been a dump.
02:45Dominant road team, that's where I think you'll get some buyback in on New England.
02:50And we might see fours or even three and a halves prior to this game.
02:55Kicking off. It's almost similar to the line movement, I believe, in what we saw with Denver.
03:00And New England, right? We saw five and a halves get up early. And then as we inch close...
03:05To kick off, we saw those three and a halves creep into the market and get as low...
03:10As low as three at a couple of books right before kickoff. That's what I'm suggesting.
03:15I also think that we might see this total at 46 and a half...
03:20Maybe get down to 45 and a half or a flat 45 across multiple books.
03:25Because I think the mindset is, I don't think New England or the perception...
03:30Is that Drake May and this offense could go toe-to-toe with how consistent...
03:35And JSN and Sam Donald have been in the passing attack.
03:38So that's where I think the line...
03:40We'll see how it plays out. But I do feel that if you like New England, this particular...
03:45Potentially could be as high as we get prior to kickoff.
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