00:00But the focus now, down under the Australian Open, the men's Australian Open winner.
00:06Two heavy favorites, Yannick Sinner trading at 48 cents.
00:11Also, Carlos Alcarez trading at 43 cents.
00:15The next closest, one of the best tennis players in the history of the sport, Novak Djokovic.
00:20Eight cents here, Joe.
00:22So it looks like it's going to be Sinner, Alcarez, and nobody is surprised.
00:26How can you be surprised?
00:30I mean, it's rinse and repeat in this sport on the men's side.
00:34And then you can throw, you know, Sabalenka on the woman's side.
00:37And it's like, OK, just let me know what's happening here.
00:41When we get to that point, we should be good to go.
00:43Although it did look like Sinner maybe got pushed a little bit here earlier in the Australian Open
00:50and was able to escape it.
00:52But, I mean, ultimately, Dottie, if you were going to bet on this, the underdog, it very rarely happens here.
01:01To me, and especially in the predictive markets, we talked about this.
01:05They're telling you that, you know, the big three era is no longer the big three.
01:10It is basically the big two.
01:12And they are likely, in these majors, always going to be going up against one another.
01:17By the way, on Cal, Sinner opened up a 60% chance.
01:21That was on December the 30th.
01:22Then he crashed all the way down to, let me see, was it 40%?
01:27Because I think, did somebody drop out or something like somebody, he's playing, dropped out or something like that,
01:31and it crashed until he actually won that from the player dropping out.
01:34Now he sits there around that 48%, and Alcarez around 43%.
01:38See what happens here.
01:39Our guy, Ben Shelton, he's trading at 2% chance right now.
01:43Not much of a chance for him.
01:44Flip it over to Polymark here and take a look at the 2026 Women's Australian Open winner.
01:50Sabalenka's up top with Sfiontech and Rabakina at 14%, but Sabalenka, 55% chance.
01:56So a $100 investment on the yes for her will pay back $178.
02:03Yeah, and get it while you can, right?
02:05I mean, my goodness.
02:06I mean, this is something that she has done.
02:09I think she's won multiple Australian Open titles.
02:13She's reached the final three years in a row.
02:16You know, the fact that you can even get that kind of return by backing her, it's all about the surface, and she loves this surface.
02:25So it would be very hard to see her being upset between the men and the women.
02:29Yes, she opened up around a 35% chance here.
02:33Polymarket now sits today.
02:34Currently, right now, live, 55% chance to come home with them.
02:38Just scrolling down to see if I can find Anna Kornikova listed here, but I don't find her listed.
02:43Oh, well.
02:44No, no, no.
02:44Maybe it's coming later.
02:45It's going to be a bad point.
02:45You never know.
02:46Yeah.
02:47No, no, no.
02:49Fiontech, Joe.
02:49Get it right out here.
02:50Come on now.
02:51Oh, Fiontech.
02:51Pronunciation.
02:52Pronunciation.
02:53She's already lost.
02:54The Australian Open currently taking place right now.
02:57Is it Rod Laver Court?
02:58Did I get that right?
02:59I think it's Rod Laver Court or Arena where they play at the main course down there.
03:03Coco Gauff got tripped up here.
03:05Only had three winners.
03:0726 unforced errors.
03:09And I don't even know how this is possible.
03:10Usually when you watch Joe Tennis, it's all about like every other, you know, serve as
03:15an ace.
03:16Zero aces, five double faults.
03:19You're not going to win very many matches with no aces in tennis, Joe.
03:24Yeah, kind of crazy.
03:25And she didn't take it very well either.
03:29And she apparently is also not happy with the lack of privacy, Donnie, because she wants
03:35to be able to smash her rackets in peace and in privacy.
03:39But that did not happen.
03:42And now she believes there should be some sort of conversation regarding player privacy
03:47at the Australian Open because she wants to smash her rackets and scream and yell and
03:53kick holes in the wall.
03:54She would like to do that in private, Donnie.
03:56You know what?
03:58How about this, Joe?
03:58Like they have the court space out there.
04:00You have the one door on the wall.
04:02Gives you that safe space.
04:03You open it.
04:04It's soundproof.
04:04You close it.
04:05They give you like 10 seconds while you're live on a match.
04:08Go in there, bust a racket up, scream out loud.
04:10You come back out as if nothing ever happened.
04:12What do you think about that?
04:13I think it could work.
04:14No cameras in there.
04:15No sound.
04:16I like it.
04:17I like it.
04:18But apparently that's the problem because there are cameras everywhere.
04:22Parking lots, gyms, hallways.
04:24Apparently not a very video safe space for players, according to Cocoa Golf.
04:29And then the best part about it is when it sounds like, hey, you know what?
04:32You don't have to play tennis.
04:34You don't have to be famous.
04:35You don't have to be a movie star.
04:36You can live your life outside of it.
04:37That's not fair.
04:38That's not the question here.
04:39Yes, it always is the question.
04:41If you want to make millions of dollars, you will be in the public space.
04:43That's why you make millions of dollars here.
04:45All right.
04:46More stuff.
04:47Complete performance by Carlos Alcaraz.
04:50Look at Alcaraz beating Alex.
04:51I'm going to try to get this one right.
04:52D.
04:53Minouar.
04:537-5-6-2-6-1.
04:55He moves on.
04:56Matter of fact, if you would have told me that Carlos Alcaraz never lost,
04:59like I probably would believe you, even though I know he has.
05:01Yeah, well, he did get pushed a little here early in the quarterfinals, but nothing crazy.
05:09We saw Sinner get pushed also, but that was more because he was cramping, but he ended up putting it together and ended up getting by.
05:18But this is one of the chalkiest tournaments, Donnie, that we've seen in a while because we've got, it looks like what?
05:26We've got all of the top four or five seeds on the women's side, as well as the men's side of all advanced past the quarterfinals here.
05:35So it's all chalk.
05:37It's like number one seed, number two seed, number, like no, all of the top players that you think would be here.
05:42Usually one of them gets upset, but we haven't necessarily seen that to this point.
05:47The higher seeds keep advancing.
05:50How about this?
05:51Yannick Sinner is a huge favorite over Ben Shelton.
05:54I'm seeing his highest minus 1,700 with that dog price plus 890 here.
05:59Any chance for the American to take down Bourne Sinner?
06:04No, I don't think it is.
06:06But again, Sinner was kind of pushed there, had to deal with some cramping issues and stuff.
06:10So we'll see what happens here.
06:12But, you know, Shelton was playing in the wee hours, I think, of the night there in order to be able to advance at this point.
06:19So we'll see.
06:21I mean, it's one or the other, right?
06:23If he beats Sinner, it's going to be either Alcarez or, you know, Novak waiting.
06:30So congrats one way or the other.
06:34If you get through Sinner, you got Alcarez.
06:36If you don't, well, then we're looking at likely Sinner and Alcarez once again.
06:40By the way, is this the tournament that does have like a curfew where you can't play too long at night?
06:45Is that this one or is that maybe the French Open?
06:47Like one of those where you're not allowed to physically go past a certain number or start?
06:51Who knows?
06:52Maybe it's this one or not at this point.
06:54Yeah, we got to ask some people that can help us out on that.
06:57Seth, look, we're learning with you people right now.
06:59We know the names to the game and we're going to have some fun with it.
07:02Djokovic taking on Musetti, the number four seed versus the number five seed here.
07:06Musetti only a plus 230 underdog.
07:08Can he pull the upset over Djoko?
07:09Feels like forever since we've seen him that small of a favorite, right?
07:15But again, Donnie, it's amazing.
07:17The one seed, the two seed, the three seed, the four.
07:20I mean, very rarely do we ever get that in tennis where all the top seeds keep playing
07:26one another here.
07:27And eventually it's likely going to be number one versus number one.
07:31Listen, I would not bet against him.
07:33He does like this surface.
07:35He's had experience.
07:36He's had success here.
07:39He's still a $2 favorite, even at 100 years old for a reason.
07:43Flip it over to women's side.
07:45How about this?
07:45A virtual draw right here versus Rabakina and Sfiantek.
07:49A minus 122 price on Rabakina here to knock off Sfiantek.
07:53Two names you should know in the women's game.
07:55I just like the fact that you pulled out Sfiantek there.
08:00Yeah.
08:01No, I think again, very chalky.
08:04And I'm shocked that she's not a bigger favorite, if we're being honest, because the numbers
08:09that I'm looking like in some spots here continue to rise in her favor.
08:13How about Pagula still playing tennis?
08:15Is this why we don't have a head coach in line already for the Buffalo Bills?
08:20Because the Pagula family is too worried about their daughter playing in a major down under.
08:24Maybe they're taking the plane back and forth, back and forth, going to these matches as
08:28it sits.
08:28But Pagula here is a slight dog to any Simova, who's a minus 330 price.
08:34Yeah.
08:35Again, big favorites for a reason, Donnie here.
08:39As nicer story as it was for Pagula, but I just, I think her time is coming up.
08:44Maybe she can help hire the next Buffalo Bills head coach.
08:48What do you think?
08:48If she, once she gets knocked out of this, we'd be good to go.
08:52Something tells me this is going to be just chalky from here on out.
08:57Look, they interviewed Phillip Rivers.
08:59Why don't you just interview the daughter?
09:00Maybe the daughter, hey, you know what?
09:01I learned a lot.
09:01I played tennis at a high level.
09:02Put the headset on me.
09:04We'll make this thing go.
09:05I'll be a true CEO head coach at this point.
09:08Sabalenka and Svitolina.
09:09That's going to take place tomorrow, which sees Svitolina a plus 310 underdog.
09:14And Sabalenka, a minus 385 favorite as the tournament continues to move on down under.
09:19Yeah, well, like we said, I mean, betting against, you know, a three-time champion here
09:26who loves this surface and just, this is, she was the one to beat.
09:30She was always going to be the one to beat.
09:32She's still the one to beat here.
09:33And I don't think a big dog is going to upset her before she gets to that final.
09:38Tennis.
09:39You know, I do, like, if I say like tennis, like I do like women's tennis better than men's
09:43tennis.
09:44Cause I just think men's tennis too many times is just overpower the serve.
09:47And that's how you're going to win.
09:48Like I do like more of a volley back and forth.
09:51So I do like the women's side more.
09:53And I do think there's more intrigue on the women's side at times than the men's, because
09:56it just seems like it comes down to two people every single tournament.
09:59And I just need a little bit more.
10:01That's all.
10:02Yeah, no, I'm with you.
10:04And the problem, you know, the problem with Sabalenka is that when she served, when her
10:08serve is on, Donnie, she's unbeatable.
10:10You know, we saw this, you know, with Serena.
10:13Yeah, it's just the serve sets everything else up.
10:16And if you can't return it, you can't beat her.
10:19And she has very similar traits like that.
10:23There you go.
10:23So looking at Carlos Alkra is that top seed to possibly take it down for the men and have
10:27some fun.
10:27And by the way, Joe, are we too far away from having majors in tennis and also pickleball?
10:34How about that?
10:35Well, I mean, you know, listen, this, a lot of these guys could vary their next, their
10:42next career will be in the pickleball courts of Boca Raton or Delray Beach somewhere, Donnie.
10:48I can assure you of that.
10:49Some of these guys, in fact, should be on pickleball courts instead of tennis courts here
10:54right now.
10:54But yes, it is coming sooner rather than later.
10:57It'd be kind of weird seeing Novak, right?
10:59On a pickleball court.
11:01Retirement tour.
11:01It's weird.
11:03Yeah, a little retirement circuit that they have, like the Masters tournament here.
11:07If we take a look, I do see that you have doubles as well.
11:11You know, like with Wimbledon, it's like mixed doubles.
11:13They have so many tournaments.
11:14Like there's 90,000 Wimbledon champions here.
11:17Like I wonder if I would be a good doubles player, Joe.
11:20Do you think you could probably just be, because when you worry about yourself and be selfish,
11:23which I am most of the time, like, you know, you could play singles tennis.
11:27Doubles tennis, I think I'd be getting angry at my partner too much though.
11:30Totally different, totally different game, which is what makes anybody who's ever played
11:36pickleball trying to figure out, am I going to the net?
11:38Are you going to the net?
11:39Like what, what's going on?
11:41Should I play back?
11:42You know, it's very, it's not easy.
11:45It's a little, looks easier, but it's not with doubles.
11:48Now you've got to be in the tennis capital of the world down there.
11:51You've got to have more tennis courts than actual like car dealerships down there in your
11:54area.
11:54The old timers got to get out there and stretch their legs just a little bit, but certainly
11:59the pros are stretching the legs down under.
12:01What's the next tournament?
12:02Is it Wimbledon?
12:03Is it the French Open?
12:04Like what's the next one up on the docket for the majors?
12:07The French Open.
12:07I believe it's the French.
12:08Is the next up here.
12:09Then Wimbledon.
12:10Yeah.
12:10There you go.
12:11Breakfast at Wimbledon.
12:12One of the single worst events of my life.
12:14Get it off my TV.
12:15People.
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