00:00It's Benzinga bringing Wall Street to Main Street.
00:03Online prediction markets are drawing increased attention as bettors profit
00:07by wagering against public commitments made by Elon Musk, according to Benzinga.
00:13Users on platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket have earned tens of thousands of dollars
00:18by betting against outcomes such as a robo-taxi launch in California
00:22and Musk forming a third U.S. political party.
00:27On Friday, Kalshi showed a 14.5% chance that Tesla would launch its humanoid robot Optimus this year.
00:35Polymarket priced a 68% chance that Tesla will roll out unsupervised full self-driving by June 30th,
00:42while Kalshi showed 100% odds after Musk said safety monitors would be removed from robo-taxi operations in Texas.
00:50One better reported more than $36,000 in gains across resolved Musk-related bets.
00:55Interest in prediction markets has grown since a 2024 court ruling, allowed event contracts.
01:01For all things money, visit Benzinga.com.
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