Selon M. Bolton, une intervention militaire américaine pourrait avoir un « effet décisif » en Iran - Vidéo Dailymotion

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Selon M. Bolton, une intervention militaire américaine pourrait avoir un « effet décisif » en Iran  John Bolton, ancien conseiller à la sécurité nationale du président Trump, estime que les États-Unis opteront pour des « frappes ciblées » contre l'Iran alors que la région se prépare à une intervention militaire. M. Trump a laissé entendre que l'aide américaine était « déjà en route »  LIRE L’ARTICLE : http://fr.euronews.com/2026/01/16/selon-m-bolton-une-intervention-militaire-americaine-pourrait-avoir-un-effet-decisif-en-ir  Abonnez-vous à notre chaine. Euronews est disponible sur Dailymotion en 12 langues

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03:04also needs to step in here.

03:05What can it do?

03:06Well, Europe hasn't done much of anything, unfortunately.

03:08I think they should be working with the United States.

03:11We should all be working more with the opposition

03:13to provide resources, communications, for example,

03:16to help them coordinate better inside Iran.

03:19I think the situation is different now

03:21for a couple of reasons.

03:22Number one, the protest after the murder of Masyamini

03:26for neglecting to wear the hijab

03:30that the Ayatollahs prescribed

03:31was not just an issue about the dress code.

03:35The regime's basis of legitimacy

03:37is that it speaks the will of God.

03:40And when people say,

03:41well, we don't think wearing the hijab comes from God,

03:44it comes from the Ayatollahs,

03:46you're just not attacking that issue.

03:48You're attacking the very legitimacy

03:50of the Ayatollahs themselves.

03:52And that influence is still there.

03:54Plus, this time, the economic circumstances in Iran

03:57are really bad, worse than ever.

04:00And that's why the protests are so widespread,

04:03countrywide at this point.

04:05We hear Trump talking about coming to the aid

04:07of the Iranian people.

04:09We heard similar language when it came to Venezuela,

04:12yet Mr. Trump seems to be completely comfortable

04:16at the moment with having Nicolás Maduro

04:18sit in a New York prison

04:20while his vice president, Delsi Rodríguez,

04:23is at the helm in Caracas.

04:25She is a key figurehead of the Maduro regime.

04:30So when you look at Venezuela,

04:31do you think Trump is really interested

04:33in changing autocracies into democracies?

04:36Or is it really, at the end,

04:38all about oil and the strength of the dollar and so on?

04:42Well, it's not really clear

04:43what Trump is interested in.

04:44I think we're on the verge

04:45of squandering an opportunity in Venezuela.

04:48I'm glad Maduro has been captured,

04:51but the regime in power in Caracas

04:53is the Maduro regime without Maduro.

04:56And if we're not careful,

04:57that regime will entrench itself

04:59and the people will still not be able

05:02to take control of the government.

05:03And it will also mean

05:04that there's not going to be

05:05any substantial external investment

05:08in Venezuela in the oil industry.

05:10So the poverty there will continue.

05:12Trump himself tweeted to the Iranian opposition,

05:15take control of your institutions.

05:17Well, that's what he should be saying

05:19in Venezuela as well.

05:20That is how you help overthrow

05:22the repressive regime.

05:24He is due to meet the opposition leader,

05:27Maria Corina Machado, very soon.

05:30Do you think that could change anything?

05:32Or is Trump really not interested

05:33in a proper democratic transition in Venezuela?

05:36Well, I think this is a good opportunity

05:38for Machado to say,

05:39look, if you don't have

05:41representative government in Venezuela,

05:43you're never going to have

05:44a rule of law society.

05:46You're going to be subject

05:47to the arbitrary will

05:48of the Maduro regime.

05:50And those circumstances mean

05:52foreign investors

05:52are not going to come in.

05:53They're not going to risk,

05:55especially in the oil sector,

05:57billions of dollars of investment

05:58that some dictator

06:00can just grab away from them.

06:02So for Trump's own purposes,

06:04putting the opposition

06:05in Venezuela in power is important.

06:07And perhaps she can persuade

06:09or explain to him

06:10why that's important.

06:11If he fails to do that,

06:13is that a strategic failure

06:15for the U.S., do you feel?

06:16I think it could well be.

06:17I think what the regime

06:19in Caracas is doing now

06:20is shoring up its support

06:21from the military,

06:23the police,

06:24the colectivos,

06:25the motorcycle gangs

06:26that they use

06:27to intimidate the population

06:29and strengthening their position,

06:31talking to China

06:32about China exploiting

06:34Venezuela's oil.

06:35So the moment's not lost yet,

06:37but it's just a clear mistake

06:39to stop with Maduro.

06:40And on Greenland,

06:42Trump has recently said

06:44that anything less

06:45than U.S. control

06:47of that territory,

06:48which belongs

06:49to the Kingdom of Denmark,

06:50is unacceptable to him.

06:53Do you think he's willing

06:54to use force,

06:56military force,

06:57to seize that territory?

06:59Ultimately,

07:00I don't think he will.

07:01I think just the talk, though,

07:03of using military forces

07:04is costing the U.S.

07:06in terms you can't

07:07even calculate,

07:08in terms of trust

07:09and good faith

07:10and our reputation.

07:13And if we can say there,

07:14there's a new poll out today

07:15that shows exactly 8%

07:17of the American people

07:18favor the use of force

07:20to take Greenland.

07:21I'd like to ask that 8%

07:22if they even know

07:23where Greenland is.

07:24Yet he seems to be

07:25doubling down, Mr. Bolton.

07:26He seems to be turning

07:27his back on diplomacy.

07:28His language is very clear.

07:30What could this mean

07:31for the U.S. reputation

07:32if he does move ahead

07:34with a seizure?

07:35And what could it mean

07:36for the NATO alliance?

07:38Well, I think it's a disaster

07:39for the United States,

07:40as I say,

07:40that we're even talking

07:41about this.

07:42And it would be

07:42infinitely worse

07:44if he did try

07:45and use military force.

07:46I think there'd be

07:47a political earthquake

07:48in this country.

07:50There is essentially

07:51zero support.

07:53And certainly in Congress,

07:55it would be a matter

07:56of grave concern.

07:57And I think many people

07:58believe that if it happened,

08:00it would be the end

08:00of the NATO alliance.

08:01and doing grave damage

08:05to U.S. national security,

08:06not to mention

08:07the other NATO allies.

08:08In the end,

08:09will we just see

08:10something more transactional?

08:12Do you think he'll opt

08:12for a deal,

08:13for example,

08:14by paying a lump sum

08:15to Greenlanders

08:16or striking some kind

08:17of agreement

08:18with the Danish government?

08:19Is he pushing here

08:20for a sale?

08:21Well, he will want

08:22to be able to declare

08:23a victory on something

08:24because, after all,

08:26the world is divided

08:27into winners and losers

08:28and he always wins.

08:30But it's not,

08:32it doesn't make it

08:33any easier

08:34to get to an agreement,

08:35which legitimately

08:36does concern

08:37U.S. national security,

08:38Canadian security,

08:40Danish security,

08:41the security

08:41of the entire

08:42NATO alliance

08:43against the growing

08:44Russian and Chinese

08:45threats in the Arctic Ocean.

08:47So a quiet approach

08:49to this,

08:49I think,

08:50could really move

08:51fairly rapidly

08:52based on the 1951

08:54Danish-U.S.

08:56Defense of Greenland Treaty.

08:57I'd like to ask you

08:58about Ukraine.

09:00Trump has been pushing

09:01for a very rapid deal

09:03to end Russia's war.

09:05It doesn't seem

09:06to be coming.

09:07Europeans have pledged

09:08to very specific

09:09security guarantees

09:11by now.

09:12Do you think Trump

09:13is willing to do the same?

09:15Well, Trump may be willing

09:16to give security guarantees,

09:18but since it's still

09:19not clear he would even

09:20uphold Article 5

09:21of the NATO treaty,

09:23words on a piece of paper

09:25are not the real answer here.

09:26The only way

09:28you can have

09:28a guarantee

09:30of Ukrainian security

09:31is if Russian troops

09:32are moving backward

09:33rather than moving forward.

09:36So I'm worried

09:37about the whole

09:38ceasefire approach.

09:39I'm afraid it may

09:39give Russia an advantage

09:41and that in Europe

09:43people think

09:44if we can get a ceasefire

09:45that's a real answer.

09:47It's not.

09:47It just gives Russia

09:48a pause

09:49to regroup,

09:50rebuild its army,

09:51refurbish its economy.

09:53Putin wants

09:53a Russian empire.

09:54He's told us this

09:55for 20 years

09:56and in that kind

09:57of nationalist thinking

09:58there's no Russian empire

10:00without the whole

10:00of Ukraine.

10:01That's what Putin wants.

10:03Do you think

10:03there's a risk here

10:04that Trump

10:04is losing patience

10:05and will sell out

10:06the Ukrainians?

10:07Well, I think

10:08he's losing patience

10:08because it's not

10:09getting him

10:10the Nobel Peace Prize

10:11that's really

10:11the end objective

10:13for him

10:13on almost everything

10:14we've been talking about.

10:16I don't know

10:17that it would necessarily

10:17mean he would sell out

10:19Ukraine.

10:19He might just withdraw

10:20from the issue

10:21because it's not

10:22making him a winner.

10:24And if

10:24the U.S.

10:27continued to supply

10:28intelligence to Ukraine,

10:30if we continued

10:30to sell weapons

10:32and ammunition

10:32to our European

10:33NATO allies

10:34who could pass it

10:35on to Ukraine,

10:36that I think

10:37might be sufficient

10:38to keep Ukraine going.

10:40That's not

10:41an ideal outcome

10:42from my point of view,

10:43but I think

10:44if we could get

10:45that minimum,

10:45then let Trump

10:46walk away.

10:47Final question,

10:48Mr. Bolton.

10:49You know,

10:49Trump promised

10:50to pursue

10:51an America first

10:53policy,

10:54a less interventionist

10:56approach.

10:56Some would say

10:57he's doing

10:57the complete opposite.

10:59How would you

11:00rate his foreign policy

11:03so far

11:03in his second term?

11:05From one,

11:05second term,

11:06excuse me,

11:07from one to ten,

11:08how would you grade it?

11:10Well,

11:10around a two or three,

11:11I think a lot's incomplete.

11:13One thing we haven't

11:13talked about

11:14is his tariff policy,

11:16trade issues,

11:17which I do think

11:18are important

11:19for national security.

11:20they've been

11:20a complete disaster

11:21and harmed

11:23the United States

11:24in many ways,

11:25not just economic,

11:26but in reputational

11:27and political terms

11:28as well.

11:29So I don't think

11:30Trump really understands

11:31what he's doing.

11:32He doesn't have

11:33a national security

11:34grand strategy.

11:36Everything is transactional,

11:38episodic,

11:39ad hoc,

11:40and that's why

11:40he can completely

11:41reverse what he said

11:42during the campaign

11:43and not even see

11:45that he's contradicting

11:46himself.

11:46I think he's causing

11:47himself political

11:48difficulties with

11:49his own base

11:50for what he's doing,

11:51but that's his problem.

11:53Mr. Bolton,

11:53thank you so much

11:54for your time.

11:55Well,

11:55thanks for having me.

11:55– Sous-titrage FR 2021

Selon M. Bolton, une intervention militaire américaine pourrait avoir un « effet décisif » en Iran

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