00:00Rested and ready here the Green Bay Packers are, Joe.
00:02So let's talk about the quarterback situation today.
00:04You've got some pretty good numbers here listed.
00:06Caleb Williams, about 208.5 is his passing prop, along with Jordan Love, 222.5.
00:10Both of these guys, very nice numbers on throwing one-and-a-half touchdowns or more in this game.
00:15I know you're backing Caleb Williams, but does this feel like he has to be winning on his arm, Joe?
00:19I know he's very, you know, fleet of foot where he can get outside the pocket.
00:23He doesn't run a ton, but sometimes I change the landscape of, like,
00:26how do I operate with maybe trying to invest, let's just say, in a quarterback running,
00:30where in the playoffs everything matters.
00:32Like, you're going to take off a little bit sooner than you should
00:34because you know every single extra yard means something here.
00:37Give me a little Caleb Williams action today. What do you got?
00:39I took him 25-plus rushing and at any time touchdown.
00:42And the reason why, I go back to Jaden Daniels last year in the road performance
00:47where they were nine-and-a-half point dogs against Detroit.
00:50Now, Jaden ran it much more than Caleb did for the most part.
00:54But again, with the playoff, to pick up your first playoff win
00:58and to really, you know, rally the city of Chicago around you,
01:02I think if the game is on the line, he's going to tuck it and run.
01:05He didn't do it as much against San Francisco, didn't do it as much against Detroit.
01:10But in this matchup against an arch enemy divisional opponent in a playoff environment,
01:15I think he could take the game over with his legs.
01:18Again, I don't know if he's going to sit back there and just every opportunity he drops back,
01:23he's going to run.
01:24But if they give him a lane with the game on the line, he could go for 30, 40 yards easy, Donnie.
01:30Hey, looking around 21-and-a-half as his rushing prop right now.
01:33If we look at the other running backs in this game,
01:34we know that you're probably going to lean on Josh Jacobs.
01:37That number's been going higher all week.
01:38Why?
01:38Because Josh Jacobs has been banged up for the better part of the second half of the season.
01:43Didn't play last week, but now is not even on the injury report.
01:46Full practices all week, Joe.
01:47He's up to 78-and-a-half, where he was hovering around 69-and-a-half to 70-and-a-half early in the week.
01:52You take a look at the Chicago Bears, DeAndre Swift, 58-and-a-half live.
01:56Kyle Menungay, 40-and-a-half live.
01:57I do think the winner of this ground game is going to make a big difference,
02:00but also at the same time, Joe, if I ask you a Chicago Bears question,
02:03they do like to play Swift and Menungay here.
02:05But sometimes in these playoff games, do you rely more on the veteran back?
02:08Like, who do you trust in Swift or Menungay if you had the veteran back?
02:10I'm going to go Swift.
02:11I think it's go-line opportunities could be Menungay.
02:16He's a little bit of a more physical runner.
02:18But I do believe it's Swift to take over.
02:20If you go back to the big games as well, Philly, Swift had a big game.
02:24Both went over 100 that game.
02:25Yeah, San Francisco, Swift had, what do you have, two rushing touchdowns,
02:30over 80 yards on the ground.
02:32I mean, Swift is a guy that you can rely on.
02:34It's not to take away from Menungay.
02:36I just think, again, in this environment, they go,
02:38it's sort of like what Ben Johnson did with Jameer Gibbs in Montgomery last year.
02:43Right?
02:43It's like, oh, it should be Gibbs.
02:45It's Montgomery, the veteran.
02:47Kills you every single time at that point as you play it out, Joe.
02:49If we do look at the receiving props in this game,
02:52Christian Watson playing very well since coming back from the injury this year.
02:54He's at 53-and-a-half.
02:55But you look at the Chicago Bears, Joe,
02:57and if you like the Bears and you think that Caleb's going to get at least 200 passing yards,
03:01you've got discounts across the board.
03:02Roma Dunes hasn't played in a couple weeks.
03:04He's going to be back.
03:05He's their number one guy, Joe.
03:0632-and-a-half?
03:07Luther Burdens really took over that role.
03:0941-and-a-half at this point.
03:10DJ Moore, Joe, 26-and-a-half.
03:14That's a nice value across the board if you like the Bears today.
03:16Yeah, I'm going to go security blanket.
03:19I'm going to go Loveland.
03:20Loveland?
03:20I mean, again, wet track.
03:23Wet track.
03:23Double up with the tight ends, Joe.
03:25Come on.
03:25How about Swift receiving?
03:28What's he got?
03:2913-and-a-half.
03:30Cole Comecho, 11-and-a-half.
03:32Menungay.
03:32Five-and-a-half Menungay, Joe.
03:33A little dump pass.
03:34I think both of them.
03:35I think Swift and Menungay.
03:36Again, we hear about the rain and the potential wet track.
03:41How's it going to affect the passing attack?
03:43Again, I think Chicago will open it up a little bit more.
03:47But again, I mean, Burden's been a burden.
03:49I mean, Luther Burden could go 40 in one pass.
03:52Yeah.
03:53I don't like a Dunze just because coming right back into the offense.
03:57Hard to trust him.
03:57Yeah, I just feel like Green Bay is going to look to shut him down.
04:02Luther Burden and Loveland have really been the go-to guys for Caleb in the passing attack.
04:08He's had a great relationship with them.
04:10You want to take a shot on the Dunze in the red zone and any time touchdown, I don't think that's bad value.
04:16But I would go to the guys that he's been really cooking with in that offense.
04:22Being aggressive, Joe, with a lot of looks.
04:23These are some of the fun bets that we like to look at.
04:25Rushing props.
04:26DJ Moore.
04:27One and a half.
04:29One and a half is his rushing number.
04:31Plus 116.
04:32He gets one carry in this game.
04:34He's probably going to get two yards.
04:35Are they going to give him one carry?
04:36I think so.
04:37I think so.
04:37I think everything comes out.
04:39I think sometimes, Joe, in the playoffs where you hear coaches talk about, like, we saved some really good stuff we didn't want to put on tape in the regular season for moments that we really needed.
04:48Third and one jet sweep.
04:49Five-yard gain.
04:50Plus money.
04:51And that's what he's been saving in his back pocket.
04:53That's all year long he saved a jet sweep for DJ Moore.
04:57He's been saving a jet sweep for DJ Moore.
04:59Into the boundary just for this game.
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