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A massive underwater volcano off the Oregon Coast — Axial Seamount — is now predicted to erupt in mid-to-late 2026, not 2025 as previously thought. Located nearly a mile beneath the ocean and 300 miles offshore, this volcano has erupted multiple times in recent decades. Scientists at Oregon State University are closely monitoring it using a powerful network of 140+ undersea instruments. With a new physics-based model, they hope to make eruption forecasts more accurate than ever. Even if it erupts, there's no danger to people — but it will reshape the ocean floor and help researchers better understand our planet’s fiery forces.
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00:00An underwater volcano off Oregon's coast is rumbling again,
00:03and scientists now predict it could erupt in 2026.
00:07Meet Axial Seamount, a massive volcano nearly a mile below the surface of the Pacific Ocean,
00:12300 miles west of Oregon.
00:15It's erupted 50 times in 800 years, and three times just in the last 30,
00:19in 1998, 2011, and 2015.
00:23Researchers thought it would blow in 2025.
00:26But now, they've changed their prediction to mid or late 2026.
00:30Why?
00:31Real-time data from over 140 undersea instruments showed the volcano is inflating,
00:36but slower than expected.
00:38Inflation is what happens when magma builds up inside a volcano.
00:41And while it's growing, it hasn't hit the danger zone yet.
00:44OSU scientists are now launching a new physics-based model to get even more precise.
00:49And this experiment could revolutionize how we predict volcanic eruptions around the world.
00:54If Axial erupts, don't worry.
00:56It's too deep and too far offshore to harm people.
00:58But it will reshape the ocean floor and give scientists a front-row seat to nature's hidden power.
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