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  • 14 minutes ago
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00:00uh all right so easiest bet on the board for me this week is always taking the points in the
00:05Steelers Ravens series you got to be kidding me I'm getting five and a half with Pittsburgh this
00:09week lock me into that total of 43 and a half it doesn't matter who is good and who is bad in this
00:16series it's usually two and a half or three and then the road team or the dog team covers so why
00:22in the world would this line be five and a half in this divisional rivalry mind and by the way
00:27the total 43 and a half this is not going to be this is going to be like 16 14 in the end this is
00:32the same game for eight years that they played out what what is different about this time around
00:37Craig nine of ten to the under in the last 10 times they've played they just they play to the under and
00:45we had a 34 17 game at the end of the year last year when the Steelers defense was uh no when the
00:53Steelers defense really started to fall apart there was a 34 17 game there but before that
00:5918 16 17 10 17 10 16 13 16 14 that's just the way this one lines up the Steelers don't put up a lot
01:09of points they throw everything short I think we're under in this game and given that we're in under and
01:15Tomlin being a home underdog uh or rather Tomlin being it's not not a home underdog but Tomlin being
01:21an underdog I think you're right if it's a lower scoring game you're liable to take the points five
01:26and a half is always a crooked number I think if you want to take the Ravens you probably split it up
01:31and think they get off to a good start the Steelers uh really the worst first quarter team in the league
01:37over the last couple of years I think it's 60 games in a row now they have not scored more than
01:42seven points in the first quarter so you like the Ravens there I think you'll see the field goal kickers
01:47play a role here so you want Boswell and Tyler loop props I think those are very live because you
01:53can see we talked about a 16 13 game that means five field goals so you can see a lot of scoring
01:59via the kickers in this one as well teams just always play close to one another it's like a playoff
02:05game every year uh Bengals bills 1 p.m eastern on Sunday uh bills you know to me clearly the better
02:12team probably would have been much bigger favorites had the Bengals not come through like they did
02:16on Thanksgiving night uh any reason to believe since he can keep this game close against Buffalo
02:21this week yes actually I I think there's a reason to think that they can he can keep it close but I
02:28think what you want to look for here is something that you and I talk about a lot on here and that's
02:34team totals I think you're looking at Bill's team total of 29 and a half pretty high but it's being
02:40bet to the over I think it goes to the 30 points this week
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