2026 World Cup Kalshi Odds: Spain & USA's Current Chances

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00:00Oh, because if we take a look at the Cal sheet markets today,

00:02excuse me, the 2026 Men's World Cup winner, you can bet on that.

00:07And Spain right now has an 18% chance to win the World Cup.

00:11So if we put $100 down on that, Joe, it pays back $5.56.

00:15But as Joe just pointed out, this is like we don't know who's playing who.

00:19Spain could have the easiest run, and you say, I bet it now.

00:23Whoa, I got lucky.

00:24Or, Joe, what?

00:26I have Spain.

00:26I don't even know if they're going to make it out of their group

00:28because of how tough it is here.

00:30It's hard to bet on this before we actually see the draw,

00:33but that's the fun of it.

00:34You could catch lightning in a bottle,

00:36or you could be like yesterday in that Detroit Lions game.

00:39Hey, man, love my guy Kennedy at wideout.

00:41Oh, no, Amon Ross St. Brown comes back.

00:43Dude doesn't even get a catch where he probably would have four or five

00:46if Amon Ross St. Brown.

00:48How do you play this out, Joe?

00:49Viable to bet it now?

00:50And also, just looking at the teams without who they play, who do you like?

00:54Well, you know, Donnie, I mean, we're talking about 48 countries

00:59going to be split into 12 groups of four for the group stages.

01:04So, you're right.

01:05I mean, it makes it difficult, but you can always, you know, look back.

01:09History tells us a lot with the World Cup, right?

01:12There are always going to be those blue bloods, much like March Madness, right, Donnie?

01:17There's always going to be those four or five teams that you're going, yeah,

01:22they are likely going to be there.

01:25And there's a reason why teams like Spain and a few others are going to be sitting

01:31at the top of the odds board right now.

01:33Been there, done that, experience.

01:35I don't think you can go wrong, Donnie, even before we know exactly

01:40what the group stage is going to look like in backing those teams.

01:44Soccer is the world's game.

01:45We understand that.

01:46It's just not the United States' game.

01:48But, Joe, you know me.

01:49I am a conspiracy theorist.

01:51Is it advantageous to give the U.S. team an advantageous draw here

01:57and not put them in a tough one?

01:59Because the longer the United States team comes in, the more revenue,

02:03the more ads come in, the more eyeballs stay on this thing.

02:06Could we be buying into this?

02:07Because the U.S. listed right now at 4%, Joe, $100 wager pays $2,500.

02:12Can you imagine the U.S. team, the national team, winning the World Cup?

02:17Yeah, no.

02:18No, I can't.

02:19Not even remotely close there, Donnie.

02:23But would it shock me if France or Spain or England or even Brazil

02:28is there at MetLife for the championship?

02:33No, it would not in any way, shape, or form.

02:37But, listen, I do think everything in stages, right?

02:40Team USA has come a long way, Donnie.

02:42A lot of controversy over the years.

02:46Well, a lot of people think this could be the best group that we have had in decades.

02:50So I would be pleasantly shocked, Donnie, to say the least,

02:54if they end up having a really great showing.

02:56Bye-bye.

02:57Bye-bye.

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