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  • 5 days ago
Stay informed with the latest weather forecast video, covering rain patterns, temperature outlooks, and severe weather warnings. Updated every few days with expert analysis, from meteorologist Jane Bunn.
Transcript
00:00Hello and welcome to this Victorian Janesweather update for Monday.
00:04We have got fairly clear skies, but we're starting to see showers and thunderstorms kicking off to the west.
00:09That is going to sweep through over the next 24 to 48 hours.
00:13We've got our cyclone in the north, and the thing that we care about that is it will turn into a big ball of moisture.
00:19And whenever that can connect with our weather systems as they cross the south,
00:23then that's going to produce extra rain for us as they come through.
00:26So that's over the next week or two, whenever we've got wet weather, it's more than we would normally see with that weather system.
00:32So let's have a look today. Here is our heat pattern. It's all in through here.
00:36I'm going to put on a bit of a thing here, which is known as the dew point.
00:39We've got a lot of moisture that is coming down from the northeast.
00:42So our pattern has turned it so that we've got fairly nausally winds still at the coast they are on shore,
00:46but a nausally airflow. And so these purples, that's your Queensland really tropical humidity.
00:52Anything blue here is you're really feeling quite humid.
00:55And we're seeing that through Victoria.
00:57So keep that in mind that temperatures today feel even warmer than what they usually are.
01:02We've got fire danger that's in through here as well.
01:04OK, let's have a look day by day. Here we have Monday.
01:07The trough is here by the end of the day, so there's the risk of showers and thunderstorms coming in.
01:11They arrive in Melbourne very late.
01:13We've got this that cleared out of Gippsland during the morning.
01:16So there's Monday.
01:18Have a look at Tuesday.
01:19The rest of that moves through as the trough comes in.
01:21And that's when we're going to start to feel a little bit of a change in the air that won't be quite as hot or as humid as what it has been.
01:28Have a look at Wednesday.
01:29Here's our next weather system coming in.
01:31Having a look at the blues and the purple colour here versus the red colour.
01:35So the dotted lines that are in through there.
01:37There's the heat.
01:38There's the cold.
01:39We are right in the middle of that.
01:41So we're going to feel it as we go through Wednesday and Thursday with this cold air coming past.
01:45And this got fed by that moisture.
01:47So it brings a little bit more than you would normally expect with a cold front coming through.
01:52So that's what we're looking at during the day on Wednesday and then into Thursday.
01:55And there's the cold air moving through.
01:57So Thursday is the chilly's day of this little period.
02:01All right.
02:01So there's Thursday.
02:02Have a look at Friday.
02:03Hey, what do you know?
02:04The next weather system is kicking off.
02:06We've got a cold front that's moving in through there.
02:08It's fed by all of that moisture.
02:10This is a band of rain and thunderstorms.
02:12So it comes in during the day on Friday and then continues moving through as we go through Saturday.
02:17So the next one is Friday into Saturday.
02:20Have a look at Sunday.
02:21More cold air that is brewing in through here.
02:23Another connection to that tropical moisture.
02:25So by Monday, there's our next weather system that is coming in and the cold air that does come with it lasting into Tuesday next week.
02:33So this is going to add up to a fair bit, particularly if you're in the southern parts here.
02:37So it's the southwest and the western parts of Gippsland plus the ranges.
02:41It does steadily decrease as you head further inland, but not back to zero.
02:45We are still looking at 10 to 15 here and 15 to 25 just north of the ranges.
02:50So for Melbourne, let's unpack what this means.
02:52We're at 26 and 26.
02:54Have a look at our dew point temperature here.
02:5617.
02:57And that's very high for us.
02:59So it feels very, very humid during the afternoon.
03:01A bit of a taste of Queensland is coming in.
03:03So gorgeous conditions as we go through the day on Monday.
03:07Let's unpack this wet weather here.
03:09It is overnight.
03:10So here we have sunshine, then a little bit of cloud later on.
03:14There's nothing really today.
03:15But happy look here in the early hours of the morning.
03:17That's when that comes through.
03:19It's all clear by dawn and then we're back to sunshine.
03:22So it's overnight.
03:22You might not even know that it was actually there.
03:25So that's Monday into Tuesday.
03:26We're back up to 26.
03:27By the afternoon, we're in a southwesterly.
03:30The dew point's gone down to 11, so it'll start to feel a little bit cooler.
03:33Wednesday is our next burst of wet weather.
03:35It's 21 as the top, about 5 millimetres.
03:38It's in the morning and afternoon.
03:39We might get a thunderstorm in that.
03:41On Thursday, that's when our colder air is here, 18 or 19.
03:45We're in a southwesterly wind and we've got showers passing through.
03:49Dry during the day on Friday than at night.
03:51Let's have a look at the timing of this one.
03:53So here we go.
03:54Dry all through the day on Friday.
03:56Friday, day, dry.
03:58Evening is when that wet weather gets here, just like we saw last Saturday.
04:01Dry all during the day and then the rain arrived at night.
04:05So that takes us into Saturday.
04:06So it's one day earlier.
04:08That continues through the night and then clears up slowly during the morning.
04:12So there'll be a fair bit of cloud there.
04:13So it says light rain at times because we've got all of that cloud that is overhead.
04:17But it clears up by the afternoon as we move into Saturday.
04:20So heading back to there, temperatures Friday 23, then down to 18 for Saturday.
04:25You saw the cold outbreak come through.
04:2620 on Sunday and then 19 at this stage on Monday.
04:30Next Tuesday is looking cooler as that next system comes in.
04:33As always, head to follow Long Weather for the latest.
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