Cincinnati vs. New England Matchup Preview: Where Is the Value?

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00:00And I got to tell you, Joe let the cat out of the bag a little bit,

00:03that he likes the Cincinnati Bengals.

00:06Well, Joe, you're not alone.

00:09Uh-oh.

00:10I think Cincinnati might win this dang thing.

00:12I really do.

00:13I'm taking a plus of seven.

00:14I think this is a zigzag spot.

00:17Yeah.

00:18I am so serious.

00:20If you said, hey, do you want to bet Cincy plus?

00:24I don't know.

00:25What was this going to be?

00:26Six?

00:26Four?

00:27Four, three.

00:28With Burrow?

00:28Yeah.

00:29Or do you want to bet him plus seven and a half with Flacco?

00:32Give me the old man.

00:33I think this is a weird spot for New England now.

00:36Riding high.

00:37They win every week.

00:38I think it's eight in a row.

00:40You go in.

00:41You're like, all right, Cincy, this should be a rollover.

00:43And then it's Burrow.

00:44And you're like, oh, boy, we got to play Burrow.

00:46We got to lock in, dial in.

00:47And then it's Flacco.

00:48And then, ooh, that comes right down.

00:49And then you come down here a little bit.

00:51Seven and a half is a lot of points against the Cincy offense that we have seen

00:54move the football with Flacco.

00:57Still, that's the thing.

00:58I hate to say it, but so far, the way these games look with Flacco look exactly how they

01:03did last year with Joe Burrow.

01:04Maybe New England puts up 50 points, and that would be quite something.

01:08And maybe that's just how dialed in this group is.

01:10I think, despite everything I've said, I think Cincinnati is live here.

01:15I bet them plus seven and a half.

01:16I liked them today.

01:18Now, the only thing I'm struggling with is the 50 and a half, because perception is, oh,

01:23this game's going to be a rocket ship.

01:25Drake May and Tampa got through that a couple weeks ago, right?

01:29He's going to put up numbers.

01:30Everybody scores on Cincinnati's defense.

01:32And let's not forget, last year, it was flipped.

01:35Cincinnati started the year with New England and lost the game to Jacoby Brissett, right?

01:41Outright.

01:42Revenge.

01:43Revenge, right?

01:44Now, the numbers, Kevin, we're right on the numbers.

01:47So let me explain.

01:48So to your point, they've won eight straight New England.

01:51Hottest team in the NFL.

01:52They've won by an average margin of victory of 11.7 points per game, right?

01:57They're 5-0 on the road this year.

01:59They've won those games by an average margin of victory of 7.6 points per game.

02:06Right on the number.

02:07On the road.

02:08On the road.

02:09Right on the number.

02:10So let me.

02:11So there you go, baby.

02:13Give me.

02:14Throw me the ball, Gino.

02:16Remember that?

02:17But let me show.

02:17Let me come over the top with what you just said there.

02:19They've only won by a touchdown on the road once.

02:23It was against the Titans.

02:24Again, we all know.

02:26Titans don't count.

02:27I mean, that's just one of the most ridiculous.

02:29This potentially has the markings of maybe a.

02:32I'm going to say it's an under just because I can't buy in without Chase there.

02:37Now, maybe.

02:37Yeah.

02:38Yoshi Vash and, you know, all these other, you know, secondary options outside of T can step up.

02:43I do like Gusecki today at 40 plus.

02:46I altered him.

02:46He's back in that lineup.

02:48But I think it has the markings.

02:5023-20.

02:50Maybe New England wins.

02:53But I still think the seven and a half is premium.

02:56I like the Bengals today.

02:58But I don't know.

03:04You know, I think the only thing is perfect.

03:05But let's look at them.

03:05I don't know.

03:07But the finals got one.

03:07I just don't know.

03:08Let's go to theadyl.

03:09Maybe New England5.

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