Toledo Sits as Big Favorite: A Risky Bet Against Ball State?

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Transcript

00:00Let's get to college football and a little Maction here.

00:02But not Maction from midweek, Maction from Saturday.

00:05A 2 p.m. start.

00:06It's Ball State and it's Toledo.

00:08We saw the look-ahead line in the low 20s,

00:10now as high as 27.5 across the board,

00:15the total of 47.5.

00:16Toledo, a four-touchdown favorite over Ball State.

00:20Joe, what's the spread line here?

00:22Well, the thing that makes this so funny, Donnie,

00:25because we have told you now over the last couple of weeks

00:28and spread lines about Jason Candle,

00:31the head coach of Toledo,

00:32and his inability to burn money,

00:35really his ability to burn money

00:38as more than a touchdown favorite

00:40since he's been the head coach there.

00:42It has been absolutely horrific.

00:45The one bugaboo about him and Toledo

00:48is that anytime they are a big favorite,

00:51half the time they lose the game outright, Donnie.

00:54But that hasn't stopped the market, like you said.

00:56This thing opened up 22, 22.5,

00:59and now it's 26.5.

01:01Now, granted, Ball State, not a great football team, Donnie,

01:05but you know what?

01:06We have been here and we have done this before

01:09with Jason Candle and this Toledo team,

01:12and guess what?

01:13Not the first time he's been more than a two,

01:15three-touchdown favorite,

01:17and half the time he loses those games outright.

01:20I can only take the points with the dog here.

01:23If you like trends,

01:24this is a trend you want to run away from

01:26and back the dog here.