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Can Mamdani Win Over Wall Street?
Bloomberg
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1 week ago
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00:00
It happened.
00:03
Zoran Mandani wins New York's mayoral election.
00:06
This is a historic win.
00:08
Tonight you have delivered a mandate for change.
00:12
This 34-year-old state assemblyman, largely unknown a year ago, got plenty of pushback.
00:18
I believe that Zoran Mandani is a threat to my constituents.
00:21
I disagree wholeheartedly with Zoran Mandani.
00:24
Yet, despite rattling even members of his own party, his bold ideas have struck a chord with New Yorkers.
00:30
Wall Street has been clearly humbled with this race.
00:34
Initially, they thought his campaign was a joke.
00:37
Then they worked hard to defeat him, used insults.
00:40
This is a story of a very savvy, young, upstart candidate who knew exactly what the pain points were of New Yorkers.
00:49
We're going to build a city where no one has to struggle to survive.
00:51
And he knew how to communicate to them.
00:54
In a way that his opponent simply wasn't able to.
00:58
We're voting you off the island.
01:00
And his popularity has gained a certain someone's attention.
01:04
Making many wonder if it could spill out over to the rest of the country.
01:08
For everyone.
01:09
He's a disaster.
01:10
That's a terrible thing for our country.
01:11
He's a communist.
01:12
There is a segment that is reaping the benefits of the market boom.
01:16
But there are many other segments of this society that have been languishing.
01:21
Something's clearly broken.
01:23
And that is how you get a mayor like Mamdani.
01:26
Also says something about where voters, not just in New York City, but maybe across the country,
01:31
are in terms of what they think the solutions are to the country's affordability problems.
01:36
So, how did the capital of capitalism end up electing a mayor who's a democratic socialist?
01:51
New York City.
01:53
The city that never sleeps.
01:55
But when New Yorkers do, they're usually in a rental.
01:59
Roughly two out of three lease their home.
02:01
New York City has been an expensive place for decades.
02:08
Our children can't afford to live anyway.
02:09
There was a candidate for governor named Jimmy McMillan who ran on a platform that he called
02:16
the rent is too damn high.
02:18
He also ran for mayor.
02:20
And he was sort of seen as a not serious candidate at the time.
02:24
But the argument, I think a lot of people would argue, was valid.
02:28
Rent burden is traditionally thought of as a problem for the working class.
02:32
But now it's knocking on the doors of the city's highest earners.
02:36
I'm talking about people who are earning between $100,000 and $300,000 a year who for the first
02:41
time are considered rent burdened.
02:44
They're spending more than a third of their take-home pay on their rent.
02:47
The rent is so crazy in the Bronx.
02:50
When pop stars are complaining about rent, you know the housing crunch is no joke.
02:56
The city has been really jolted by the effects of the pandemic.
03:02
And since then, we've seen the prices of rents spike astronomically.
03:06
Whether it's landlords clawing back COVID-era losses or tons of luxury development, rents
03:13
citywide climbed 27% between 2020 and 2024, outpacing other major U.S. metros.
03:21
But all costs of living are going up.
03:24
Grocery prices have been on the rise for most of the past five years, with New York City outpacing
03:29
the national average.
03:30
And full-time daycare can cost $26,000 a year per child.
03:37
The Mamdani campaign zeroed in on this crisis and offered up some pointed policies to address
03:43
them.
03:44
The question is, how much can he really achieve?
03:48
One of his most popular proposals is a rent freeze.
03:51
And the truth is, he could get this done.
03:54
The mayor appoints all nine members of this body called the Rent Guidelines Board.
04:03
Those members tend to vote the way that the mayor who appointed them wants them to.
04:09
The plan, however, would only apply to the city's nearly one million rent-stabilized apartments.
04:15
And questions remain how this will ease the strain on renters.
04:18
For people who live in those rent-stabilized apartments, freezing the rent is a really significant
04:24
factor in maintaining affordability for them.
04:27
The issue is that, according to the landlords, the costs of operating those buildings have become
04:33
really, really expensive.
04:35
And so there is this criticism of his plan, which is that it could actually result in lower
04:41
supply of apartments.
04:43
Two other campaign proposals were free buses and free child care for young kids, ideas that
04:49
are pretty popular with other New York politicians.
04:53
It's really possible that the state could agree to give him some money to fund fast and free
04:58
buses, which he said would cost about $750 million.
05:01
It's possible that they could give him some money to help pay for a little bit of the universal
05:07
child care program that he's promised.
05:09
Child care is more expensive than people's rent.
05:12
Another Mamdani idea is to launch city-run supermarkets.
05:17
Grocery prices are out of control.
05:19
The pilot program is actually cheaper than some of his other proposals and could end up
05:23
in the city budget.
05:24
The idea is to open a grocery store in each borough where the city is controlling the prices
05:30
in order to offer people a more affordable option.
05:33
In order to help pay for such programs, Mamdani has proposed a 2% tax increase on residents
05:39
earning more than $1 million a year, as well as a bump to the state's corporate tax rate.
05:44
This has Wall Street and some in the broader business community warning of blowback.
05:49
The reality is the services that we provide to the people of our city and our state significantly
06:00
rely on the profits of Wall Street.
06:03
Millionaires paid about 40% of all personal income taxes in New York state.
06:08
They are essential to the operation of things like the schools in New York.
06:15
But the rich are also earning a lot more.
06:18
Nearly 30% of all income reported in New York state went to millionaires.
06:22
And don't get Mamdani started about billionaires.
06:26
I don't think that we should have billionaires.
06:29
For a man who said he doesn't like the idea of billionaires running for an important seat
06:33
in a city full of them, once again revives conversations about the potential for the
06:38
power center shifting away from New York.
06:42
But Mamdani's control over taxes is very limited.
06:45
The mayor of New York City has almost no authority to raise revenue on his own.
06:50
He needs the approval of the state legislature and the approval of New York Governor Kathy
06:55
Hochul.
06:56
Any tax increase has to come across my desk first.
07:00
I will work with whomever the mayor is as long as they want to help foster my policies,
07:05
which is pro-growth, pro-business.
07:08
New York's finances aren't helped by this so-called big, beautiful bill slashing federal
07:12
funding to social programs nationwide.
07:15
Europe is facing a budget hole and it's also facing cuts from the federal government that
07:19
it's going to have to contend with in the years to come.
07:21
The jobs are basically where they were before the pandemic happened.
07:25
But subway ridership, for example, is 74% of where it was.
07:29
Office vacancy is double from what it was before the pandemic.
07:33
So the question is, will Mamdani get any money from Albany to run any of his social programs?
07:40
Or will New Yorkers actually be getting a tax increase regardless because of the budget gap
07:45
and that money probably won't go to Mamdani?
07:49
Yet a massive wealth flight from New York City seems unlikely.
07:53
And business leaders have softened on Mamdani.
07:56
I've seen some of this rhetoric before.
07:59
Not all of that rhetoric panned into the reality of a mass exodus from the city.
08:04
And oftentimes what happens is business leaders realize that simply repeating the threat of
08:10
leaving the city will be seen as somewhat of a selfish act.
08:15
Many of them are saying that they found him to be a good listener.
08:21
I can see why he's in a position he's in.
08:23
He was articulate, engaging.
08:25
If he becomes mayor, I will call him and offer my help.
08:29
Mamdani has shown a penchant for finding commonalities between groups.
08:32
For a long time in New York, the key to winning election has been to cobble together a coalition
08:39
of different ethnic groups.
08:41
What Mamdani has done is appeal to people on an economic argument.
08:46
Thank you to the next generation of New Yorkers who refuse to accept that the promise of a
08:53
better future was a relic of the past.
08:56
And he's managed to do this despite opposition and political attacks over his fierce criticism
09:02
of Israel, an issue that remains divisive within the Democratic Party.
09:07
All of this comes at a time of rising anti-Semitism in New York, home to the largest number of Jews
09:13
outside of Israel.
09:14
For someone who is so prominent a critic of the Israeli government to succeed and win in
09:20
New York City represents a sea change in the city's political alignment.
09:25
That has some New Yorkers and some Jewish New Yorkers really concerned.
09:30
To be Muslim in New York...
09:31
Mamdani himself has been the subject of Islamophobic attacks.
09:36
He'll be the first Muslim mayor of New York City ever in 400 years.
09:41
He'll be the first South Asian mayor.
09:43
The population of Asian Americans has grown to be somewhere around 15%.
09:48
It's the fastest growing ethnic group in New York City.
09:52
New York will remain a city of immigrants, a city built by immigrants, and as of tonight,
10:00
led by an immigrant.
10:02
Mamdani's brand of populism has some leaders in the Democratic Party taking notes.
10:06
This result will have a massive impact on how the Democratic Party decides to tackle the
10:15
midterm elections and the general election.
10:18
But in New York City, Mamdani's success will hinge on bringing everyone to the table.
10:27
It doesn't necessarily mean that they're going to take their business elsewhere, but it may
10:31
just mean that they don't invest in the future here.
10:34
Now that he is in office, they will have to engage with him to shape the city in the direction
10:40
that they would like to see it go.
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