A new low-pressure area (LPA 11a) has formed outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and has a “medium potential” of developing into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said on Monday afternoon, Nov. 3.
As of 2 p.m., the LPA was located 2,320 kilometers east of northeastern Mindanao.
PAGASA’s two-week tropical cyclone threat forecast shows that a Tropical Cyclone-like Vortex (TCLV1) may form in the eastern part of the Tropical Cyclone Information Domain (TCID) during Week 1 (Nov. 3–9).
00:00And bukod po sa mga weather systems na ito, kanina pong alas 2 ng hapon, meron tayong namataan naman na isa pang low pressure area sa labas ng ating area of responsibility.
00:11Ang last location na ito ay 2,320 kilometers sila nga ng northeastern Mindanao.
00:18Pusible po itong maging isang ganap na bagyo within the next 48 hours.
00:22Sa ngayon, wala pa po itong efekto sa anumang bahagi ng ating bansa, ngunit by weekend, nakikita po natin na papasok ito sa loob ng ating area of responsibility.
00:33For now po, mataas pa yung uncertainty ng track neto, nakikita po natin.
00:38Pero hindi po natin ni-roll out yung landfalling scenario natin, most likely dito sa area ng Luzon.
00:44But meron po tayong other scenario na magre-recurve lamang ito at hindi ito tatama sa anumang bahagi ng ating kalupaan.
00:52But then, dahil po LPA pa lamang ito and malayo pa sa ating kalupaan, ay mataas pa po yung uncertainty natin but continuous monitoring pa rin
01:01and patuloy na magantabay sa updates na ipapalabas po ng pag-asa.
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