New LPA forms outside PAR; moderate chance of developing into tropical cyclone

Manila Bulletin

A new low-pressure area (LPA 11a) has formed outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and has a “medium potential” of developing into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said on Monday afternoon, Nov. 3.  As of 2 p.m., the LPA was located 2,320 kilometers east of northeastern Mindanao.  PAGASA’s two-week tropical cyclone threat forecast shows that a Tropical Cyclone-like Vortex (TCLV1) may form in the eastern part of the Tropical Cyclone Information Domain (TCID) during Week 1 (Nov. 3–9).  READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2025/11/03/new-lpa-forms-outside-par-moderate-chance-of-developing-into-tropical-cyclone

Transcript

00:00And bukod po sa mga weather systems na ito, kanina pong alas 2 ng hapon, meron tayong namataan naman na isa pang low pressure area sa labas ng ating area of responsibility.

00:11Ang last location na ito ay 2,320 kilometers sila nga ng northeastern Mindanao.

00:18Pusible po itong maging isang ganap na bagyo within the next 48 hours.

00:22Sa ngayon, wala pa po itong efekto sa anumang bahagi ng ating bansa, ngunit by weekend, nakikita po natin na papasok ito sa loob ng ating area of responsibility.

00:33For now po, mataas pa yung uncertainty ng track neto, nakikita po natin.

00:38Pero hindi po natin ni-roll out yung landfalling scenario natin, most likely dito sa area ng Luzon.

00:44But meron po tayong other scenario na magre-recurve lamang ito at hindi ito tatama sa anumang bahagi ng ating kalupaan.

00:52But then, dahil po LPA pa lamang ito and malayo pa sa ating kalupaan, ay mataas pa po yung uncertainty natin but continuous monitoring pa rin

01:01and patuloy na magantabay sa updates na ipapalabas po ng pag-asa.

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